IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

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Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lens-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45390:1" rel="noopener">Lens Technology (6613 HK)</a>, an industry-leading integrated one-stop precision manufacturing solution provider, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$600 million.     </li>
<li>In terms of revenue in 2024, Lens is a global leader in precision structural parts and modules integrated solutions for both consumer electronics and smart vehicle interaction systems.</li>
<li>The investment case is based on a well-performing core business, limited tariff impact, reduced reliance on Apple, strong margins, and robust cash generation. </li>
</ul>



Lens Technology (6613 HK), an industry-leading integrated one-stop precision manufacturing solution provider, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$600 million.     
In terms of revenue in 2024, Lens is a global leader in precision structural parts and modules integrated solutions for both consumer electronics and smart vehicle interaction systems.
The investment case is based on a well-performing core business, limited tariff impact, reduced reliance on Apple, strong margins, and robust cash generation. 


Lens Technology H Share Listing (6613 HK): The Investment Case

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Following our note last week, we received investor questions focused on 1) “20% US content rule” exemptions, 2) impact of China 34% tariff' on the US, 3) Vietnam proposed 0% tariff, 4) de-minimis rule removal, 5) bottom-fishing opportunities, and 6) company feedback/response on the new tariff. Below we offer perspectives on investor FAQs regarding the implications.</li><li>Despite sector valuation still being 15-20% away from the historical trough now, we would start to look for some quality names to accumulate on further weakness, including Xiaomi, AAC, Sunny Optical, BYDE and Q-tech.</li><li>“20% US content rule” exemptions in “Annex III” sub-document? The US White House published a sub-document, Annex II, for the US Reciprocal Tariffs.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Following our note last week, we received investor questions focused on 1) “20% US content rule” exemptions, 2) impact of China 34% tariff' on the US, 3) Vietnam proposed 0% tariff, 4) de-minimis rule removal, 5) bottom-fishing opportunities, and 6) company feedback/response on the new tariff. Below we offer perspectives on investor FAQs regarding the implications.Despite sector valuation still being 15-20% away from the historical trough now, we would start to look for some quality names to accumulate on further weakness, including Xiaomi, AAC, Sunny Optical, BYDE and Q-tech.“20% US content rule” exemptions in “Annex III” sub-document? The US White House published a sub-document, Annex II, for the US Reciprocal Tariffs.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - US Tariff Updates: Addressing FAQs After a Volatile Day

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Tongda’s 1H24 revenue/GPM beat market expectations mainly on Android recovery, Apple and Smart-tech business growth while net profit declined 34% YoY due to the disposal of Apple biz.</li><li>We spoke to mgmt. post 1H24 results, and expect earnings recovery on track in FY25/26E.</li><li>Looking forward, despite intensified competition in smartphone casing business in 2H24E, mgmt. is positive on spec upgrade of non-metal glastic casing, higher-margin Smart-tech business and better operating efficiency after business disposal in FY25-26E.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tongda’s 1H24 revenue/GPM beat market expectations mainly on Android recovery, Apple and Smart-tech business growth while net profit declined 34% YoY due to the disposal of Apple biz.We spoke to mgmt. post 1H24 results, and expect earnings recovery on track in FY25/26E.Looking forward, despite intensified competition in smartphone casing business in 2H24E, mgmt. is positive on spec upgrade of non-metal glastic casing, higher-margin Smart-tech business and better operating efficiency after business disposal in FY25-26E.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tongda (698 HK) - Non-Metal Casing Upgrade and Smart-Tech to Drive Earnings Recovery in FY25E

<ul><li>Tongda will report 1H24 results on 28 Aug. We estimate 1H24 revenue/net profit of HK$ 2.6bn/35mn (-10%/+82% YoY) mainly driven by Android smartphone recovery, inventory restocking from overseas household &amp; sports goods customers, network communications router demand pick-up on Wifi-7 upgrade and stabilized GPM for each segment.</li><li>Looking into 2H24/FY25E, we expect handset recovery with stable ASP and order wins in household &amp; sports goods.</li><li>We are also positive on Malaysian plant ramp-up to meet non-handset customers’ demand. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tongda will report 1H24 results on 28 Aug. We estimate 1H24 revenue/net profit of HK$ 2.6bn/35mn (-10%/+82% YoY) mainly driven by Android smartphone recovery, inventory restocking from overseas household &amp; sports goods customers, network communications router demand pick-up on Wifi-7 upgrade and stabilized GPM for each segment.Looking into 2H24/FY25E, we expect handset recovery with stable ASP and order wins in household &amp; sports goods.We are also positive on Malaysian plant ramp-up to meet non-handset customers’ demand. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tongda (698 HK) - 1H24E Preview: Eyes on Android Recovery and Smart Tech Growth

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

<ul>
<li>Low volatility investing has taken the mantle from Dividend yield as the top strategy during July</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics (285 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> are rated BUYs as their businesses show improvement.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingdee-international-sftwr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37:1" rel="noopener">Kingdee International Software (268 HK)</a> is seeing a softening in its SME business, however there is  potential to gain market share from foreign ERP companies given the pledged government's policies.
</li>
</ul>


Low volatility investing has taken the mantle from Dividend yield as the top strategy during July
BYD Electronics (285 HK) and Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) are rated BUYs as their businesses show improvement.  

Kingdee International Software (268 HK) is seeing a softening in its SME business, however there is  potential to gain market share from foreign ERP companies given the pledged government's policies.



BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 29)

Hong Kong

Tongda Group Holdings Limited is a supplier of high-precision components of consumer electronic products. The Company uses its in-mould lamination ("IML") technology for customers in the in the PRC.   The Group has established a solid presence in handset, electrical appliance and notebook computer casings and related products.

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Tongda Group Holdings (698 HK)

Technology - US Tariff Updates: Addressing FAQs After a Volatile Day

Following our note last week, we received investor questions focused on 1) “20% US content rule” exemptions, 2) impact of China 34% tariff' on the...

CMB International

Tongda (698 HK) - Non-Metal Casing Upgrade and Smart-Tech to Drive Earnings Recovery in FY25E

Tongda’s 1H24 revenue/GPM beat market expectations mainly on Android recovery, Apple and Smart-tech business growth while net profit declined 34%...

CMB International

Tongda (698 HK) - 1H24E Preview: Eyes on Android Recovery and Smart Tech Growth

We lowered our FY24-25E EPS by 23-32% to reflect Apple business disposal and Android market competition. Maintain BUY with new TP of HK$0.13, based...

CMB International

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 29)

Low volatility investing is performing well in July. BYD Electronics has seen better Apple related and NEV sales and Alibaba is increasing some...

David Mudd

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Lens Technology H Share Listing (6613 HK): The Investment Case

Lens Technology has launched an H Share listing to raise US$600 million. The H Shares will be listed on 9 July. In this note, I discuss the...

Arun George

Technology - US Tariff Updates: Addressing FAQs After a Volatile Day

Following our note last week, we received investor questions focused on 1) “20% US content rule” exemptions, 2) impact of China 34% tariff' on the...

CMB International

Tongda (698 HK) - Non-Metal Casing Upgrade and Smart-Tech to Drive Earnings Recovery in FY25E

Tongda’s 1H24 revenue/GPM beat market expectations mainly on Android recovery, Apple and Smart-tech business growth while net profit declined 34%...

CMB International

Tongda (698 HK) - 1H24E Preview: Eyes on Android Recovery and Smart Tech Growth

We lowered our FY24-25E EPS by 23-32% to reflect Apple business disposal and Android market competition. Maintain BUY with new TP of HK$0.13, based...

CMB International

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 29)

Low volatility investing is performing well in July. BYD Electronics has seen better Apple related and NEV sales and Alibaba is increasing some...

David Mudd