IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kanzhun-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33368:1" rel="noopener">Kanzhun (BZ US)</a> is the largest online recruitment platform in China, as measured by the average MAU in 2020, according to CIC. Its BOSS Zhipin mobile app connects job seekers and enterprise users. Kanzhun has filed for a Nasdaq IPO to raise proceeds of $800 million, according to press reports.  In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kanzhun-ipo-initiation-search-and-employ" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51969" rel="noopener">Kanzhun IPO Initiation: Search and Employ</a>, we opined that Kanzhun’s strong growth in users and fast-paced revenue growth suggests another “growth at all costs” strategy. Encouragingly, the high revenue visibility, declining loss margin and cash generation suggest that Kanzhun can eventually deliver this growth profitability. For investors willing to brave the risk that the current market selloff in high growth stocks persists, we concluded that the Kanzhun story warrants a closer look.<div class="content-highlight">In this note, we compare Kanzhun’s key financial metrics to its listed peers, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/51-job-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:532:1" rel="noopener">51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wise-talent-information-tech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27177:1" rel="noopener">Wise Talent Information Tech (6100 HK)</a>/Tongdao Liepin. 51jobs is in the midst of a $79.05 in cash privatisation bid from a consortium consisting of DCP, Ocean Link Partners and Mr Rick Yan, 51job's CEO since 2000 - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/51job-s-updated-privatisation-bid" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51071" rel="noopener">51job’s Updated Privatisation Bid</a>. Our analysis suggests that Kanzhun provides a growth and revenue visibility vs margin and cash generation trade-off in comparison to its listed peers.   </div>

Kanzhun (BZ US) is the largest online recruitment platform in China, as measured by the average MAU in 2020, according to CIC. Its BOSS Zhipin mobile app connects job seekers and enterprise users. Kanzhun has filed for a Nasdaq IPO to raise proceeds of $800 million, according to press reports.  In Kanzhun IPO Initiation: Search and Employ, we opined that Kanzhun’s strong growth in users and fast-paced revenue growth suggests another “growth at all costs” strategy. Encouragingly, the high revenue visibility, declining loss margin and cash generation suggest that Kanzhun can eventually deliver this growth profitability. For investors willing to brave the risk that the current market selloff in high growth stocks persists, we concluded that the Kanzhun story warrants a closer look.In this note, we compare Kanzhun’s key financial metrics to its listed peers, 51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US) and Wise Talent Information Tech (6100 HK)/Tongdao Liepin. 51jobs is in the midst of a $79.05 in cash privatisation bid from a consortium consisting of DCP, Ocean Link Partners and Mr Rick Yan, 51job's CEO since 2000 - 51job’s Updated Privatisation Bid. Our analysis suggests that Kanzhun provides a growth and revenue visibility vs margin and cash generation trade-off in comparison to its listed peers.   

Kanzhun IPO: Growth/Margin Trade-Off Vs Peers

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kanzhun-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33368:1" rel="noopener">Kanzhun (BZ US)</a> is the largest online recruitment platform in China, as measured by the average monthly active users (MAU) in 2020, according to CIC. Its BOSS Zhipin mobile app connects job seekers and enterprise users as is positioned in the mid-to-high-end segment (white and gold-collar users) compared to local peers.Kanzhun is backed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> (12.2% of outstanding shares), Banyan Partners (9.4%), Coatue Management (7.8%), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goldman-sachs-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:785:1" rel="noopener">Goldman Sachs Group (GS US)</a> (7.3%), Sequoia Capital and Tiger Global. Kanzhun has filed for a Nasdaq IPO to raise proceeds of $800 million, according to press reports.  Kanzhun is a play on the gradual shift of the China recruitment service market to online platforms. China’s online recruitment market size as measured by revenue is forecasted to increase from RMB55.1 billion in 2020 to RMB223.4 billion in 2025 (CAGR of 32.3%), according to CIC. The penetration rate of online recruitment to the total market is forecasted to increase from 32% in 2020 to 50% in 2025, according to CIC.<div class="content-highlight">
Kanzhun is well-positioned to benefit from this sizeable market opportunity, in our view. At first sight, the strong growth in users and fast-paced revenue growth but ongoing losses suggests another “growth at all costs” strategy. In comparison, local listed peers such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/51-job-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:532:1" rel="noopener">51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wise-talent-information-tech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27177:1" rel="noopener">Wise Talent Information Tech (6100 HK)</a> are growing much slower but are profitable.
Encouragingly, Kanzhun's high revenue visibility and declining loss margin suggest that Kanzhun can eventually deliver high growth with profits. The upfront payment model of the online recruitment market means that like its peers, Kanzhun is cash generative. For investors willing to brave the current market selloff in high growth stocks, we think that the Kanzhun story warrants a closer look.  
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Kanzhun (BZ US) is the largest online recruitment platform in China, as measured by the average monthly active users (MAU) in 2020, according to CIC. Its BOSS Zhipin mobile app connects job seekers and enterprise users as is positioned in the mid-to-high-end segment (white and gold-collar users) compared to local peers.Kanzhun is backed by Tencent (700 HK) (12.2% of outstanding shares), Banyan Partners (9.4%), Coatue Management (7.8%), Goldman Sachs Group (GS US) (7.3%), Sequoia Capital and Tiger Global. Kanzhun has filed for a Nasdaq IPO to raise proceeds of $800 million, according to press reports.  Kanzhun is a play on the gradual shift of the China recruitment service market to online platforms. China’s online recruitment market size as measured by revenue is forecasted to increase from RMB55.1 billion in 2020 to RMB223.4 billion in 2025 (CAGR of 32.3%), according to CIC. The penetration rate of online recruitment to the total market is forecasted to increase from 32% in 2020 to 50% in 2025, according to CIC.
Kanzhun is well-positioned to benefit from this sizeable market opportunity, in our view. At first sight, the strong growth in users and fast-paced revenue growth but ongoing losses suggests another “growth at all costs” strategy. In comparison, local listed peers such as 51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US) and Wise Talent Information Tech (6100 HK) are growing much slower but are profitable.
Encouragingly, Kanzhun's high revenue visibility and declining loss margin suggest that Kanzhun can eventually deliver high growth with profits. The upfront payment model of the online recruitment market means that like its peers, Kanzhun is cash generative. For investors willing to brave the current market selloff in high growth stocks, we think that the Kanzhun story warrants a closer look.  


Kanzhun IPO Initiation: Search and Employ

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

The Hang Seng Indexes Company Limited (HSIL) announced the results of its review of the Hang Seng Family of Indexes post market close on 26 February. The constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 12 March.For the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) there are 36 inclusions and 29 deletions, taking the number of index constituents up to 500.Although there are almost no assets indexed to the HSCI, the index forms the basis of stocks that are eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. Stocks that are included in the HSCI and subsequently included in the Stock Connect program get inflows from mainland investors. Secondary Listings are not eligible for inclusion in the Stock Connect program.Of the 36 inclusions, 4 are already a part of Stock Connect by virtue of having listed A-shares, 2 are Secondary listings and will not be included in Stock Connect, 9 will be added to Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Connect, while 21 stocks will only be added to Shenzhen Stock Connect.Of the 29 index deletions, 13 are not a part of Stock Connect, 7 will continue to remain a part of Stock Connect by virtue of having listed A-shares, while 9 will be deleted from the Stock Connect program.We identify 4 stocks that could sell off ahead of their removal from the Stock Connect Buy list, while Biotech stocks could be in focus ahead of their inclusion in the Stock Connect Buy and Sell list.

The Hang Seng Indexes Company Limited (HSIL) announced the results of its review of the Hang Seng Family of Indexes post market close on 26 February. The constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 12 March.For the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) there are 36 inclusions and 29 deletions, taking the number of index constituents up to 500.Although there are almost no assets indexed to the HSCI, the index forms the basis of stocks that are eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. Stocks that are included in the HSCI and subsequently included in the Stock Connect program get inflows from mainland investors. Secondary Listings are not eligible for inclusion in the Stock Connect program.Of the 36 inclusions, 4 are already a part of Stock Connect by virtue of having listed A-shares, 2 are Secondary listings and will not be included in Stock Connect, 9 will be added to Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Connect, while 21 stocks will only be added to Shenzhen Stock Connect.Of the 29 index deletions, 13 are not a part of Stock Connect, 7 will continue to remain a part of Stock Connect by virtue of having listed A-shares, while 9 will be deleted from the Stock Connect program.We identify 4 stocks that could sell off ahead of their removal from the Stock Connect Buy list, while Biotech stocks could be in focus ahead of their inclusion in the Stock Connect Buy and Sell list.

HSCI Index Rebalance & Stock Connect: Inclusions & Exclusions

Renrui Human Resources / Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renrui-human-resources-techn" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28134:1" rel="noopener">Renrui Human Resources (6919 HK)</a> is the largest company operating in China’s flexible staffing services market by revenue in 2018, accounting for a 2.5% market share. Renrui has launched a Hong Kong IPO to raise net proceeds of HK$971 million ($124 million) at the mid-point of the IPO price range.<div class="content-highlight">In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/renrui-hr-technology-ipo-initiation-not-the-perfect-candidate" target="_blank" rel="noopener">our initiation note</a>, we stated that on the surface, Renrui appears to be heading in the right direction as the 1H19 results demonstrated robust growth, margin progression and cash generation. However, a closer look reveals several areas of caution. Our valuation analysis shows that the IPO price range is unattractive. Consequently, we would not participate in the IPO. </div>

Renrui Human Resources (6919 HK) is the largest company operating in China’s flexible staffing services market by revenue in 2018, accounting for a 2.5% market share. Renrui has launched a Hong Kong IPO to raise net proceeds of HK$971 million ($124 million) at the mid-point of the IPO price range.In our initiation note, we stated that on the surface, Renrui appears to be heading in the right direction as the 1H19 results demonstrated robust growth, margin progression and cash generation. However, a closer look reveals several areas of caution. Our valuation analysis shows that the IPO price range is unattractive. Consequently, we would not participate in the IPO. 

Renrui HR Technology IPO: Valuation Unappealing

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renrui-human-resources-techn" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28134:1" rel="noopener">Renrui Human Resources (6919 HK)</a> is the largest company operating in China’s flexible staffing services market by revenue in 2018, accounting for a 2.5% market share. Renrui has launched a Hong Kong IPO to raise net proceeds of HK$971 million ($124 million) at the mid-point of the IPO price range.<div class="content-highlight">On the surface, Renrui appears to be heading in the right direction as the 1H19 results demonstrated robust growth, margin progression and cash generation. However, a closer look reveals several areas of caution. On balance, we are inclined to err on the side of caution by sitting out this IPO. </div>

Renrui Human Resources (6919 HK) is the largest company operating in China’s flexible staffing services market by revenue in 2018, accounting for a 2.5% market share. Renrui has launched a Hong Kong IPO to raise net proceeds of HK$971 million ($124 million) at the mid-point of the IPO price range.On the surface, Renrui appears to be heading in the right direction as the 1H19 results demonstrated robust growth, margin progression and cash generation. However, a closer look reveals several areas of caution. On balance, we are inclined to err on the side of caution by sitting out this IPO. 

Renrui HR Technology IPO Initiation: Not the Perfect Candidate

China

Tongdao Liepin Group operates as a online talent service platform. The Company offers online personal career files, online job search, online recruitment, talent solutions, and other related services. Tongdao Liepin Group also provides talent community network and other services.

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Tongdao Liepin Group (6100 HK)

Kanzhun IPO: Growth/Margin Trade-Off Vs Peers

We compare Kanzhun’s key financial metrics to its listed peers, 51jobs and Liepin. Kanzhun provides a growth/revenue visibility vs margin/cash...

Arun George

Kanzhun IPO Initiation: Search and Employ

Kanzhun has filed for an $800 m raise, according to press reports. For investors willing to brave the current market selloff in high growth stocks,...

Arun George

HSCI Index Rebalance & Stock Connect: Inclusions & Exclusions

There are 36 inclusions/ 29 exclusions for the Hang Seng Composite Index. 9 stocks will be deleted from the Stock Connect Buy list & there are a...

Brian Freitas

Renrui HR Technology IPO: Valuation Unappealing

Renrui Human Resources (6919 HK) is the largest company operating in China’s flexible staffing services market by revenue in 2018, accounting for a...

Arun George

Renrui HR Technology IPO Initiation: Not the Perfect Candidate

Renrui Human Resources (6919 HK) is the largest company operating in China’s flexible staffing services market by revenue in 2018, accounting for a...

Arun George

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