Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A Bloomberg <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-12-10/topcon-gets-buyout-offers-from-kkr-eqt-as-japan-m-a-heats-up" target="_blank" rel="noopener">article</a> today said <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/topcon-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:738:1" rel="noopener">Topcon Corp (7732 JP)</a> is weighing takeover bids received from KKR and EQT. ValueAct has been pressuring the company for 18mos (5+% in May23)</li>
<li>ValueAct has apparently been pushing the company to divest assets and concentrate on core ops, or go private (and have someone else do it). </li>
<li>This is further evidence of the METI-enabled "Bad Cop-Good Cop Routine" which could expand M&amp;A and governance activity dramatically. </li>
</ul>


A Bloomberg article today said Topcon Corp (7732 JP) is weighing takeover bids received from KKR and EQT. ValueAct has been pressuring the company for 18mos (5+% in May23)
ValueAct has apparently been pushing the company to divest assets and concentrate on core ops, or go private (and have someone else do it). 
This is further evidence of the METI-enabled "Bad Cop-Good Cop Routine" which could expand M&amp;A and governance activity dramatically. 


Thinking About Topcon (7732) And the New METI-Enabled Bad Cop-Good Cop Routine

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>India is limiting Chinese participation in Indian subsidiaries while seeking investments from Taiwan, diversifying its economic ties.</li><li>AWS is committing significant funds to establish data centers in Taiwan, anticipating obstacles in securing renewable energy sources.</li><li>Elephantech is seeking collaborators to scale up their eco-friendly PCB manufacturing operations to meet the escalating demand. Join the sustainable production movement.</li></ul>

India is limiting Chinese participation in Indian subsidiaries while seeking investments from Taiwan, diversifying its economic ties.AWS is committing significant funds to establish data centers in Taiwan, anticipating obstacles in securing renewable energy sources.Elephantech is seeking collaborators to scale up their eco-friendly PCB manufacturing operations to meet the escalating demand. Join the sustainable production movement.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Jun-2024): India limits Chinese participation, woos Taiwanese investments.

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Nikkei surged over 2,200 points, or +6.6%, this week, outperforming global markets </li>
<li>Strong results from Fast Retailing (+13% wow) and a sharp move higher for gaming heavyweight Nintendo (+13%) key stocks behind the index move</li>
<li>Activist Dalton and its listed fund have been very active in the past week, adding to seventeen positions</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei surged over 2,200 points, or +6.6%, this week, outperforming global markets 
Strong results from Fast Retailing (+13% wow) and a sharp move higher for gaming heavyweight Nintendo (+13%) key stocks behind the index move
Activist Dalton and its listed fund have been very active in the past week, adding to seventeen positions


Japan Weekly | Market on Fire; Dalton Deploying Dollars

<ul>
<li>Topix fell 2.3% due to Wall Street losses as Jerome Powell cited high inflation, and global stocks were pressured by surging bond yields.</li>
<li>Major Movers: Small-cap, high growth stocks got killed, especially on any slight earnings miss. Consumer staples, regional banks outperformed</li>
<li>Activist Watch: Investors lifting stakes in Rinnai (-3.4%), Topcon (+1.6%) and Kureha (+1%); Yaizu Suisan's outcome remains uncertain after a failed tender offer</li>
</ul>


Topix fell 2.3% due to Wall Street losses as Jerome Powell cited high inflation, and global stocks were pressured by surging bond yields.
Major Movers: Small-cap, high growth stocks got killed, especially on any slight earnings miss. Consumer staples, regional banks outperformed
Activist Watch: Investors lifting stakes in Rinnai (-3.4%), Topcon (+1.6%) and Kureha (+1%); Yaizu Suisan's outcome remains uncertain after a failed tender offer


Japan Weekly | Stocks Sink; Activists Lift Stakes in Rinnai, Topcon, Kureha

<ul>
<li>Market Watch: This week, the Topix Index gained 44pts (2%) to close at 2,309, influenced by Wall Street's response to US inflation data and expectations of extended elevated interest rates.</li>
<li>Major Movers: Lasertec (6920) surged +17%, Fast Retailing (9983) rose +12%, and Monotaro (3064) declined -18%</li>
<li>Activist Watch: ValueAct lifted its stake in Topcon. I like the LT fundamentals for the company and look forward to positive dialogue with the activist</li>
</ul>


Market Watch: This week, the Topix Index gained 44pts (2%) to close at 2,309, influenced by Wall Street's response to US inflation data and expectations of extended elevated interest rates.
Major Movers: Lasertec (6920) surged +17%, Fast Retailing (9983) rose +12%, and Monotaro (3064) declined -18%
Activist Watch: ValueAct lifted its stake in Topcon. I like the LT fundamentals for the company and look forward to positive dialogue with the activist


Japan Weekly | Lasertec, Fast Retailing, Monotaro, Topcon

Japan

Topcorn Corporation manufactures and sells measuring equipment and medical equipment primarily for ophthalmologist use. The Company also manufactures industrial products including projectors and optical devices.

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Topcon Corp (7732 JP)

Thinking About Topcon (7732) And the New METI-Enabled Bad Cop-Good Cop Routine

The METI Guideline on Corporate Takeovers has enabled a BadCop-GoodCop routine to be played out by activists and PE funds. Topcon may be a victim....

Travis Lundy

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Jun-2024): India limits Chinese participation, woos Taiwanese investments.

India is pushing for restrictions on Chinese involvement, Taiwan is attracting investments, AWS is investing in Taiwan data centers, Elephantech...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Japan Weekly | Market on Fire; Dalton Deploying Dollars

Nikkei outperforms global markets with a 6.6% surge, driven by strong performances from Fast Retailing and Nintendo, while activist Dalton adds to...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Weekly | Stocks Sink; Activists Lift Stakes in Rinnai, Topcon, Kureha

Wall Street losses and concerns over inflation led to a 2.3% drop in Topix, while small-cap stocks suffered. Activist investors increased their...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Weekly | Lasertec, Fast Retailing, Monotaro, Topcon

Topix Index rises despite US inflation data and expectations for higher interest rates. Lasertec and Fast Retailing see gains, while Monotaro...

Mark Chadwick

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Thinking About Topcon (7732) And the New METI-Enabled Bad Cop-Good Cop Routine

The METI Guideline on Corporate Takeovers has enabled a BadCop-GoodCop routine to be played out by activists and PE funds. Topcon may be a victim....

Travis Lundy

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Jun-2024): India limits Chinese participation, woos Taiwanese investments.

India is pushing for restrictions on Chinese involvement, Taiwan is attracting investments, AWS is investing in Taiwan data centers, Elephantech...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Japan Weekly | Market on Fire; Dalton Deploying Dollars

​Nikkei outperforms global markets with a 6.6% surge, driven by strong performances from Fast Retailing and Nintendo, while activist Dalton adds to...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Weekly | Stocks Sink; Activists Lift Stakes in Rinnai, Topcon, Kureha

​Wall Street losses and concerns over inflation led to a 2.3% drop in Topix, while small-cap stocks suffered. Activist investors increased their...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Weekly | Lasertec, Fast Retailing, Monotaro, Topcon

​Topix Index rises despite US inflation data and expectations for higher interest rates. Lasertec and Fast Retailing see gains, while Monotaro...

Mark Chadwick

Nikkei outperforms global markets with a 6.6% surge, driven by strong performances from Fast Retailing and Nintendo, while activist Dalton adds to...

Wall Street losses and concerns over inflation led to a 2.3% drop in Topix, while small-cap stocks suffered. Activist investors increased their...

Topix Index rises despite US inflation data and expectations for higher interest rates. Lasertec and Fast Retailing see gains, while Monotaro...