Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong Dollar continues to trade at the strong end of its band  resulting in upward pressure on HIBOR in turn causing a further unwind of the HKD carry trade.</li>
<li>HSI shows the strongest market breadth in 15 years as nearly all members trade above 200 DMA.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xtep-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18118:1" rel="noopener">Xtep International (1368 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-education-group-holdin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18218:1" rel="noopener">China Education Group (839 HK)</a> all had breakouts to form uptrends.  All are part of the consumption sector in China
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong Dollar continues to trade at the strong end of its band  resulting in upward pressure on HIBOR in turn causing a further unwind of the HKD carry trade.
HSI shows the strongest market breadth in 15 years as nearly all members trade above 200 DMA.

Xtep International (1368 HK) , Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) and China Education Group (839 HK) all had breakouts to form uptrends.  All are part of the consumption sector in China



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (OCTOBER 14)

Equity Bottom-Up

Tongcheng Travel Holdings  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong is showing strong market momentum as consumer staples, consumer discretionary, healthcare and tech surge on increased momentum.</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xtep-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18118:1" rel="noopener">Xtep International (1368 HK)</a> had a good 1H24 and benefited from better consumer sentiment. Analysts are upgrading <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-travel-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK) on an improved outlook.</a></li>
<li>Goldman Sachs upgraded their rating on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bilibili-inc-83a27302-cd7d-4e6a-a1de-bcf93eb022c3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32215:1" rel="noopener">Bilibili (9626 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bilibili-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26793:1" rel="noopener">Bilibili (BILI US)</a> to a BUY with improving user MAU/DAU measures and the success of its newly launched game.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong is showing strong market momentum as consumer staples, consumer discretionary, healthcare and tech surge on increased momentum.
Xtep International (1368 HK) had a good 1H24 and benefited from better consumer sentiment. Analysts are upgrading Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK) on an improved outlook.
Goldman Sachs upgraded their rating on Bilibili (9626 HK) , Bilibili (BILI US) to a BUY with improving user MAU/DAU measures and the success of its newly launched game.


BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (September 28)

Haidilao International Holding / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong is now the top-performing major world market this year.  With a large valuation disparity, both Hong Kong's and China's markets have more upside potential.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haidilao-international-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27044:1" rel="noopener">Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a> are benefiting from the improvement in consumer sentiment with government stimulus targeting housing payments and consumption.
</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/citic-securities-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:463:1" rel="noopener">Citic Securities (H) (6030 HK)</a> surged in anticipation of increased market trading and IPOs.  Industry consolidation is also part of the improved sentiment.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong is now the top-performing major world market this year.  With a large valuation disparity, both Hong Kong's and China's markets have more upside potential.

Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK) and Anta Sports Products (2020 HK) are benefiting from the improvement in consumer sentiment with government stimulus targeting housing payments and consumption.

Citic Securities (H) (6030 HK) surged in anticipation of increased market trading and IPOs.  Industry consolidation is also part of the improved sentiment.


The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (September 27)

Global TMT Analyst, Ex-PM, 30 years experience

Neil Campling

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/topsports-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28153" rel="noopener">Topsports International Holdings (6110 HK)</a> miss suggests inventory fire sale ahead. Negative for demand in China, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nike-inc-cl-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6658:1" rel="noopener">Nike (NKE US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a> and the whole sector</li>
<li>Chinese consumers aren't buying <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bayerische-motoren-werke-ag-bmw-72824b26-c157-46b2-bafe-650cb75a091f" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21591:1" rel="noopener">Bayerische Motoren Werke (BMW) (BMW GR)</a> or going to the Movies</li>
<li>But Americans are still walking in Westerns Boots <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boot-barn-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11647:1" rel="noopener">Boot Barn Holdings (BOOT US)</a> </li>
</ul>



Topsports International Holdings (6110 HK) miss suggests inventory fire sale ahead. Negative for demand in China, Nike (NKE US), Anta Sports Products (2020 HK) and the whole sector
Chinese consumers aren't buying Bayerische Motoren Werke (BMW) (BMW GR) or going to the Movies
But Americans are still walking in Westerns Boots Boot Barn Holdings (BOOT US) 


Global Consumer (Midweek Update): Consumer Woes Persist, Especially in China.

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 23rd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent (700 HK), China Mobile (941 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 23rd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent (700 HK), China Mobile (941 HK).


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Aug 23rd): Tencent, China Mobile

China

Topsports International Holdings Limited operates as a sports shoes and apparel retailer. The Company sells sports shoes, sports shirts, and other products. Topsports International Holdings markets its products throughout China.

Topsports International Holdings (6110 HK)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Topsports International Holdings (6110 HK)

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (OCTOBER 14)

HKD strengthens, HIBOR moves higher and HK shorts become more expensive. HK market breadth reached its highest level in 15 years last week. Xtep,...

David Mudd

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (September 28)

Hong Kong market continues to re-rate on the back of PBOC stimulus. XTEP and Tongcheng benefit from improved consumer sentiment and earnings...

David Mudd

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (September 27)

HSI is the top performing major global index heading into 4Q2024. Haidilao and Anta both benefit from improved sentiment in consumer sector. Citic...

David Mudd

Global Consumer (Midweek Update): Consumer Woes Persist, Especially in China.

Topsports miss signals inventory fire sale in China, impacting Nike, Anta Sports Products, and the sector as a whole. Chinese consumers shun...

Neil Campling

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Aug 23rd): Tencent, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent (700 HK), China Mobile (941 HK).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (OCTOBER 14)

HKD strengthens, HIBOR moves higher and HK shorts become more expensive. HK market breadth reached its highest level in 15 years last week. Xtep,...

David Mudd

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (September 28)

Hong Kong market continues to re-rate on the back of PBOC stimulus. XTEP and Tongcheng benefit from improved consumer sentiment and earnings...

David Mudd

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (September 27)

HSI is the top performing major global index heading into 4Q2024. Haidilao and Anta both benefit from improved sentiment in consumer sector. Citic...

David Mudd

Global Consumer (Midweek Update): Consumer Woes Persist, Especially in China.

​Topsports miss signals inventory fire sale in China, impacting Nike, Anta Sports Products, and the sector as a whole. Chinese consumers shun...

Neil Campling

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Aug 23rd): Tencent, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent (700 HK), China Mobile (941 HK).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Topsports miss signals inventory fire sale in China, impacting Nike, Anta Sports Products, and the sector as a whole. Chinese consumers shun...