Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In April, reportedly <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renault-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21536:1" rel="noopener">Renault (RNO FP)</a> might sell <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nissan-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:72:1" rel="noopener">Nissan (7201 JP)</a> shares to support EV investments. We have news talks are coming to a head. The results won't be pretty.</li>
<li>The Nikkei says the JIP consortium is the "Preferred Bidder" for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>. That is a stalking horse. The proposed price of ¥2.5trn is also a stalking horse</li>
<li>Reportedly the Widjaja Family may be looking to take Indonesian/Australian energy/met coal play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a> private.</li>
</ul>


In April, reportedly Renault (RNO FP) might sell Nissan (7201 JP) shares to support EV investments. We have news talks are coming to a head. The results won't be pretty.
The Nikkei says the JIP consortium is the "Preferred Bidder" for Toshiba Corp (6502 JP). That is a stalking horse. The proposed price of ¥2.5trn is also a stalking horse
Reportedly the Widjaja Family may be looking to take Indonesian/Australian energy/met coal play Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP) private.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Renault/Nissan, Toshiba, Golden Energy, Bilibili, Shinsei, Macau Casinos

<ul>
<li>There are 49 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Three new (possible) deals discussed this week: KKR's tilt for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elmo-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24342:1" rel="noopener">Elmo (ELO AU)</a>; Widjaja Family's move on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>, Chu's bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingston-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3566:1" rel="noopener">Kingston Financial (1031 HK)</a>
</li>
<li>Key updates took place for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pushpay-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13737:1" rel="noopener">Pushpay Holdings (PPH NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">Total Access Communication (DTAC TB)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ptb-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19198:1" rel="noopener">PTB Group (PTB AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 49 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Three new (possible) deals discussed this week: KKR's tilt for Elmo (ELO AU); Widjaja Family's move on Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP), Chu's bid for Kingston Financial (1031 HK)

Key updates took place for Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), Pushpay Holdings (PPH NZ), True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB) / Total Access Communication (DTAC TB), and PTB Group (PTB AU).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Elmo Software; Golden Energy, Kingston Financial, Pushpay

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/glp-j-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11009:1" rel="noopener">GLP J-REIT (3281 JP)</a> is looking to raise  around US$220m in its placement to acquire five assets, and increase its stake in a sixth one.</li>
<li>We have covered a number of past deals by the company, almost all of which have done well.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



GLP J-REIT (3281 JP) is looking to raise  around US$220m in its placement to acquire five assets, and increase its stake in a sixth one.
We have covered a number of past deals by the company, almost all of which have done well.
In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


GLP J-REIT Placement - Most of the past Deals Have Done Well, This One Could Be Tricky

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>Overnight, a few news outlets are running with the story that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a> has granted "preferred bidder" status to the Japan Industrial Partners (JIP)-led consortium bid.</li>
<li>JIP had originally signed up with public-private fund JIC, forming one of the four bids (the other three being CVC, Bain, and Brookfield) but JIP and JIC split last month.</li>
<li>"Preferred Bidder status" is just that. It's not exclusive, but one can read between the lines. But the articles have interesting details, including the first trial ballon price leak.</li>
</ul>


Overnight, a few news outlets are running with the story that Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) has granted "preferred bidder" status to the Japan Industrial Partners (JIP)-led consortium bid.
JIP had originally signed up with public-private fund JIC, forming one of the four bids (the other three being CVC, Bain, and Brookfield) but JIP and JIC split last month.
"Preferred Bidder status" is just that. It's not exclusive, but one can read between the lines. But the articles have interesting details, including the first trial ballon price leak.


Toshiba (6502) - JIP Gets Preferred Bidder Status and We Get The First Price Leak

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10928:1" rel="noopener">SBI Holdings (8473 JP)</a>'s subsidiary has reportedly filed its application to become a Bank Holding Company, the definition being a company holding a 50% or greater stake in a bank.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-cycle-carriage-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:347:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP)</a> is expensive here - relative to historical values -  and from an implied stub perspective, has only briefly been exceeded twice in the last decade.</li>
<li>Expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel (KEP SP)</a> to re-rate after the spinoff. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a> distribution supported by both better profitability and much larger order books can be managed reasonably cleanly. </li>
</ul>



SBI Holdings (8473 JP)'s subsidiary has reportedly filed its application to become a Bank Holding Company, the definition being a company holding a 50% or greater stake in a bank.

Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP) is expensive here - relative to historical values -  and from an implied stub perspective, has only briefly been exceeded twice in the last decade.
Expect Keppel (KEP SP) to re-rate after the spinoff. The Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) distribution supported by both better profitability and much larger order books can be managed reasonably cleanly. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Shinsei Bank, Jardine Cycle, Keppel Corp, Eagle Cement, Hitachi Transport

Japan

Toshiba Corporation manufactures and markets electrical and electronic products. The Company's products include digital products such as PCs and televisions, NAND flash memories, and system LSIs (large-scale integrated), as well as social infrastructures such as power generators, medical equipment, and home appliances.

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Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)

Last Week In Event SPACE: Renault/Nissan, Toshiba, Golden Energy, Bilibili, Shinsei, Macau Casinos

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Elmo Software; Golden Energy, Kingston Financial, Pushpay

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

GLP J-REIT Placement - Most of the past Deals Have Done Well, This One Could Be Tricky

GLP J-REIT is looking to raise around US$220m in its placement to acquire five assets, and increase its stake in a sixth one. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

Toshiba (6502) - JIP Gets Preferred Bidder Status and We Get The First Price Leak

A Nikkei article says JIP is Toshiba's Preferred Bidder and that JIC will be asked to finish its bid. Meaning? JIP is the ONLY acceptable bid. It's...

Travis Lundy

Last Week in Event SPACE: Shinsei Bank, Jardine Cycle, Keppel Corp, Eagle Cement, Hitachi Transport

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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