Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>US base oils demand likely to stay muted.</li><li>Expectations of growing surplus supplies boost attraction of maintaining lower stocks and procuring smaller top-up volumes more frequently.</li><li>Buyers could seek to maintain sufficient volumes to cover any supply-disruptions as market heads into time of year when Atlantic hurricane activity typically peaks.</li></ul>

US base oils demand likely to stay muted.Expectations of growing surplus supplies boost attraction of maintaining lower stocks and procuring smaller top-up volumes more frequently.Buyers could seek to maintain sufficient volumes to cover any supply-disruptions as market heads into time of year when Atlantic hurricane activity typically peaks.

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 11 August

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: High production at Z&amp;G.</li>
<li>Low risk exploration drilling in Austria to start in 4Q25/1Q26 – 2Q25 net production of 303 boe/d was higher than our expectations of ~270 boe/d following a 5 well intervention programme at the Zisterdorf and Gaiselberg fields in the Vienna Basin.</li>
<li>The programme included (1) repair of subsurface equipment, (2) clean out of a down hole sand control (3) perforation of a new oil production zone in a well.</li>
</ul>


ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: High production at Z&amp;G.
Low risk exploration drilling in Austria to start in 4Q25/1Q26 – 2Q25 net production of 303 boe/d was higher than our expectations of ~270 boe/d following a 5 well intervention programme at the Zisterdorf and Gaiselberg fields in the Vienna Basin.
The programme included (1) repair of subsurface equipment, (2) clean out of a down hole sand control (3) perforation of a new oil production zone in a well.


<ul><li>US base oils demand likely to stay lower amid signs of healthy availability of supply.</li><li>Healthy availability of supply, buyers’ sufficient stocks and seasonal slowdown in consumption incentivize buyers to hold back.</li><li>Ongoing fall in US base oils export prices adds to signs of weaker domestic demand.</li></ul>

US base oils demand likely to stay lower amid signs of healthy availability of supply.Healthy availability of supply, buyers’ sufficient stocks and seasonal slowdown in consumption incentivize buyers to hold back.Ongoing fall in US base oils export prices adds to signs of weaker domestic demand.

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 4 August

<ul><li>US base oils export price-premium to feedstock/competing fuel prices extends fall at end-July 2025.</li><li>Weaker base oils export margins and signs of rising surplus supply could incentivize refiners to adjust output.</li><li>Steadier domestic base oils margins, and steady removal of surplus supplies in overseas markets, could instead curb any such moves.</li></ul>

US base oils export price-premium to feedstock/competing fuel prices extends fall at end-July 2025.Weaker base oils export margins and signs of rising surplus supply could incentivize refiners to adjust output.Steadier domestic base oils margins, and steady removal of surplus supplies in overseas markets, could instead curb any such moves.

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 4 August

<ul><li>Group II heavy-grade base oils premium to light grades is almost the same in US, Europe and Asia markets at same time and for first time in more than five years.</li><li>Similar price-spreads in all those markets contrast with diverging fundamentals driving those similar price-spreads, especially in Europe.</li><li>Similar price-spreads in US vs other markets follow sustained weakness of US heavy-grade prices because of persistent surplus supply.</li></ul>

Group II heavy-grade base oils premium to light grades is almost the same in US, Europe and Asia markets at same time and for first time in more than five years.Similar price-spreads in all those markets contrast with diverging fundamentals driving those similar price-spreads, especially in Europe.Similar price-spreads in US vs other markets follow sustained weakness of US heavy-grade prices because of persistent surplus supply.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 4 August

France

TOTAL S.A. explores for, produces, refines, transports, and markets oil and natural gas. The Company also operates a chemical division which produces polypropylene, polyethylene, polystyrene, rubber, paint, ink, adhesives, and resins. TOTAL operates gasoline filling stations in Europe, the United States, and Africa.

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TotalEnergies (TTE FP)

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 11 August

US base oils demand likely to stay muted. Expectations of growing surplus supplies boost attraction of maintaining lower stocks and procuring...

Base Oil News

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 08/08/2025

The programme included (1) repair of subsurface equipment, (2) clean out of a down hole sand control (3) perforation of a new oil production zone...

Auctus Advisors

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 4 August

US base oils demand likely to stay lower amid signs of healthy availability of supply. Healthy availability of supply, buyers’ sufficient stocks...

Base Oil News

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 4 August

US base oils export price-premium to feedstock/competing fuel prices extends fall at end-July 2025. Weaker base oils export margins and signs of...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 4 August

Group II heavy-grade base oils premium to light grades is almost the same in US, Europe and Asia markets at same time and for first time in more...

Base Oil News

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