Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Asia Group I heavy-neutrals price falls vs ex-tank UAE price since early-August to widest discount in more than two years.</li><li>Wider price-discount facilitates arbitrage to move surplus supplies from Asia to Middle East.</li><li>Asia’s surplus Group I supplies rise amid pick-up in imports from other regions like Europe, as well as recovery in output in markets like Thailand after plant-maintenance work.</li></ul>

Asia Group I heavy-neutrals price falls vs ex-tank UAE price since early-August to widest discount in more than two years.Wider price-discount facilitates arbitrage to move surplus supplies from Asia to Middle East.Asia’s surplus Group I supplies rise amid pick-up in imports from other regions like Europe, as well as recovery in output in markets like Thailand after plant-maintenance work.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 13 October

<ul><li>Global base oils prices mostly hold firm versus feedstock/competing fuel prices amid further drop in crude oil prices.</li><li>Mostly-steady outright base oils prices and lower crude prices cushion impact of strong gasoil premium to crude oil.</li><li>Strong gasoil crack-spread incentivizes any refinery moves to trim output levels to focus more on light grades than heavy grades.</li></ul>

Global base oils prices mostly hold firm versus feedstock/competing fuel prices amid further drop in crude oil prices.Mostly-steady outright base oils prices and lower crude prices cushion impact of strong gasoil premium to crude oil.Strong gasoil crack-spread incentivizes any refinery moves to trim output levels to focus more on light grades than heavy grades.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 13 October

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>erica Energy (SQZ LN)C; Target price of £3.05 per share: Another operational setback at Triton; value and distribution profile intact – Operational issues with the flare system at the Triton FPSO have resulted in a temporary suspension of production.</li>
<li>Production is likely to restart shortly at very low rates until the root cause is identified and resolved.</li>
<li>In the absence of further clarity, we conservatively assume that Triton production will be constrained until the scheduled Bittern pipeline shutdown in November.</li>
</ul>


erica Energy (SQZ LN)C; Target price of £3.05 per share: Another operational setback at Triton; value and distribution profile intact – Operational issues with the flare system at the Triton FPSO have resulted in a temporary suspension of production.
Production is likely to restart shortly at very low rates until the root cause is identified and resolved.
In the absence of further clarity, we conservatively assume that Triton production will be constrained until the scheduled Bittern pipeline shutdown in November.


<ul><li>Global base oils prices recover vs feedstock/gasoil prices after crude oil prices reverse recent gains.</li><li>Firmer base oils price-differentials ease pressure on refiners to trim run-rates at time of year when supply often starts to outpace demand.</li><li>Firmer price-differentials coincide with lighter round of plant-maintenance in coming weeks vs H1 2025.</li></ul>

Global base oils prices recover vs feedstock/gasoil prices after crude oil prices reverse recent gains.Firmer base oils price-differentials ease pressure on refiners to trim run-rates at time of year when supply often starts to outpace demand.Firmer price-differentials coincide with lighter round of plant-maintenance in coming weeks vs H1 2025.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 6 October

<ul><li>Global Group I brightstock prices stay unusually high relative to other grades.</li><li>Brightstock price-strength helps to cushion impact of lower prices for lighter-grade base oils, supporting firm Group I base oils margins in markets like Europe.</li><li>Firm Group I base oil margins incentivize refiners to maintain high output.</li></ul>

Global Group I brightstock prices stay unusually high relative to other grades.Brightstock price-strength helps to cushion impact of lower prices for lighter-grade base oils, supporting firm Group I base oils margins in markets like Europe.Firm Group I base oil margins incentivize refiners to maintain high output.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 6 October

France

TOTAL S.A. explores for, produces, refines, transports, and markets oil and natural gas. The Company also operates a chemical division which produces polypropylene, polyethylene, polystyrene, rubber, paint, ink, adhesives, and resins. TOTAL operates gasoline filling stations in Europe, the United States, and Africa.

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TotalEnergies (TTE FP)

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 13 October

Asia Group I heavy-neutrals price falls vs ex-tank UAE price since early-August to widest discount in more than two years. Wider price-discount...

Base Oil News

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 13 October

Global base oils prices mostly hold firm versus feedstock/competing fuel prices amid further drop in crude oil prices. Mostly-steady outright base...

Base Oil News

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 10/10/2025

Please click here to access the financial metrics for Auctus' coverage universe AUCTUS...

Auctus Advisors

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 6 October

Global base oils prices recover vs feedstock/gasoil prices after crude oil prices reverse recent gains. Firmer base oils price-differentials ease...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 6 October

Global Group I brightstock prices stay unusually high relative to other grades. Brightstock price-strength helps to cushion impact of lower prices...

Base Oil News

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