Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Refining margins have become the key driver of energy profits as tight fuel markets, limited spare capacity, and geopolitical disruptions reshape the downstream outlook.</li>
<li>Refiners are capturing outsized profits as product markets remain tighter than crude, with delayed capacity recovery and supply disruptions supporting elevated crack spreads into Q3.</li>
<li>Refining margins are unlikely to normalise quickly, as refinery disruptions in the Middle East and Russia, coupled with limited spare capacity, continue to constrain global fuel supplies.</li>
</ul>


Refining margins have become the key driver of energy profits as tight fuel markets, limited spare capacity, and geopolitical disruptions reshape the downstream outlook.
Refiners are capturing outsized profits as product markets remain tighter than crude, with delayed capacity recovery and supply disruptions supporting elevated crack spreads into Q3.
Refining margins are unlikely to normalise quickly, as refinery disruptions in the Middle East and Russia, coupled with limited spare capacity, continue to constrain global fuel supplies.


The Refining Advantage: Why Fuel Markets, Not Crude Oil, Are Driving Energy Profits

Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

<ul><li>The Group III shortage continued reshaping global trade flows, as Asia increasingly steps in to fill the gap.</li><li>Asia showed tentative signs of export recovery, with Singapore shipments picking up and Taiwan loadings improving after two months of disruption.</li><li>China's strong June Group III production and base oils exports, together with India's rising shipments, showed Asia increasingly filling supply gaps left by the Middle East.</li></ul>

The Group III shortage continued reshaping global trade flows, as Asia increasingly steps in to fill the gap.Asia showed tentative signs of export recovery, with Singapore shipments picking up and Taiwan loadings improving after two months of disruption.China's strong June Group III production and base oils exports, together with India's rising shipments, showed Asia increasingly filling supply gaps left by the Middle East.

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 24 Jul '26

<ul><li>Large Group II cargo with a combination of light and heavy grades was set to load from Taiwan at the end of this week.</li><li>Shipment adds to a gradual pick-up in flows over the past week, although July volumes remain well down from month-earlier levels.</li><li>Singapore took delivery of additional supplies from Qatar, triggering a strong rebound in shipments from that market this month.</li></ul>

Large Group II cargo with a combination of light and heavy grades was set to load from Taiwan at the end of this week.Shipment adds to a gradual pick-up in flows over the past week, although July volumes remain well down from month-earlier levels.Singapore took delivery of additional supplies from Qatar, triggering a strong rebound in shipments from that market this month.

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 24 July

<ul><li>Taiwan cargo loadings stayed unusually low for a second week, leaving first-half July volumes below month-earlier levels.</li><li>Singapore took delivery of a swathe of shipments from the Netherlands and US, extending strong inflows over the previous week.</li><li>Singapore also received a large cargo from Qatar, after an almost complete pause in such flows for most of the past two months.</li></ul>

Taiwan cargo loadings stayed unusually low for a second week, leaving first-half July volumes below month-earlier levels.Singapore took delivery of a swathe of shipments from the Netherlands and US, extending strong inflows over the previous week.Singapore also received a large cargo from Qatar, after an almost complete pause in such flows for most of the past two months.

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 17 July

<ul><li>Supply remained tighter than expected as lower exports from Singapore and Taiwan offset the seasonal slowdown in demand.</li><li>Singapore's imports climbed to a five-year high while exports stayed unusually weak, pointing to subdued domestic production.</li><li>South Korea expanded exports to both Southeast Asia and the US, cementing its role as the market's key swing supplier.</li></ul>

Supply remained tighter than expected as lower exports from Singapore and Taiwan offset the seasonal slowdown in demand.Singapore's imports climbed to a five-year high while exports stayed unusually weak, pointing to subdued domestic production.South Korea expanded exports to both Southeast Asia and the US, cementing its role as the market's key swing supplier.

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 17 Jul '26

France

TOTAL S.A. explores for, produces, refines, transports, and markets oil and natural gas. The Company also operates a chemical division which produces polypropylene, polyethylene, polystyrene, rubber, paint, ink, adhesives, and resins. TOTAL operates gasoline filling stations in Europe, the United States, and Africa.

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TotalEnergies (TTE FP)

The Refining Advantage: Why Fuel Markets, Not Crude Oil, Are Driving Energy Profits

Refining margins drive energy profits amid tight markets, limited capacity, and geopolitical disruptions, with outsized profits expected to...

Mint Finance

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 24 Jul '26

The Group III shortage continued reshaping global trade flows, as Asia increasingly steps in to fill the gap. Asia showed tentative signs of...

Base Oil News

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 24 July

Large Group II cargo with a combination of light and heavy grades was set to load from Taiwan at the end of this week. Shipment adds to a gradual...

Base Oil News

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 17 July

Taiwan cargo loadings stayed unusually low for a second week, leaving first-half July volumes below month-earlier levels. Singapore took delivery...

Base Oil News

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 17 Jul '26

Supply remained tighter than expected as lower exports from Singapore and Taiwan offset the seasonal slowdown in demand. Singapore's imports...

Base Oil News

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

The Refining Advantage: Why Fuel Markets, Not Crude Oil, Are Driving Energy Profits

​Refining margins drive energy profits amid tight markets, limited capacity, and geopolitical disruptions, with outsized profits expected to...

Mint Finance

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 24 Jul '26

The Group III shortage continued reshaping global trade flows, as Asia increasingly steps in to fill the gap. Asia showed tentative signs of...

Base Oil News

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 24 July

Large Group II cargo with a combination of light and heavy grades was set to load from Taiwan at the end of this week. Shipment adds to a gradual...

Base Oil News

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 17 July

Taiwan cargo loadings stayed unusually low for a second week, leaving first-half July volumes below month-earlier levels. Singapore took delivery...

Base Oil News

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 17 Jul '26

Supply remained tighter than expected as lower exports from Singapore and Taiwan offset the seasonal slowdown in demand. Singapore's imports...

Base Oil News

Refining margins drive energy profits amid tight markets, limited capacity, and geopolitical disruptions, with outsized profits expected to...