Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Oversold tech/SPE/AI surging after Trump delayed reciprocal tariffs on all but China, with the SOX up the most of all time.</li>
<li>Expect similar moves with oversold tech beta likely to open &gt;+10%.</li>
<li>Banks and life insurance  should continue to fare well given the persistently high yields, and names with high export ratios to the US.</li>
</ul>


Oversold tech/SPE/AI surging after Trump delayed reciprocal tariffs on all but China, with the SOX up the most of all time.
Expect similar moves with oversold tech beta likely to open &gt;+10%.
Banks and life insurance  should continue to fare well given the persistently high yields, and names with high export ratios to the US.


Japan Morning Connection: Trump Pulls off One of the Greatest Ruses of All Time

<ul>
<li>TSMC higher on news from the day before it is investing heavily in US fab capacity.</li>
<li>Continental AG -11.6% after earnings miss sets a poor tone for JP tire makers Bridgestone, Toyo, Yokohama and Sumitomo.</li>
<li>All eyes on Trumps speech to congress this morning, although markets should be firm off the open.</li>
</ul>


TSMC higher on news from the day before it is investing heavily in US fab capacity.
Continental AG -11.6% after earnings miss sets a poor tone for JP tire makers Bridgestone, Toyo, Yokohama and Sumitomo.
All eyes on Trumps speech to congress this morning, although markets should be firm off the open.


Japan Morning Connection: Volatile Session but Pointing Higher on Potential for a Tariff Flip-Flop

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since early November 2023 we have been expecting global equities (MSCI ACWI) to stage a year-end rally that would continue into the early part of 2024.</li>
<li>As we progress through the “early part” of 2024, more global indexes and Sectors are breaking out and starting to participate in the upside. This is classic bull market behavior.</li>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities. Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Energy/Coal, and Polish Banks</li>
</ul>


Since early November 2023 we have been expecting global equities (MSCI ACWI) to stage a year-end rally that would continue into the early part of 2024.
As we progress through the “early part” of 2024, more global indexes and Sectors are breaking out and starting to participate in the upside. This is classic bull market behavior.
Our outlook remains bullish; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities. Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Energy/Coal, and Polish Banks


Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; Buys in Discretionary

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX positive on day, +2.5%WoW; SOX +5.4%WoW;  PCE Inflation sets stage for benign Fed; INTEL, KLC puts damper on tech party; TELSA delivers again; AMEX not seeing consumer weakness; </li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs vs Cash +0.1%; USDJPY 129.88; Tokyo Dec CPI highest since 1981; GS sees highest base pay hike in decades.;  Fanuc 3Q beats on Robots; Sagawa hikes prices</li>
<li>DAILY. NUGGETS. Stealth Immigration - Foreigner workers in Japan hit all time high 1.82 million/2.7% of labour force. Clear policy on Immigration needed to help secure Japan's  future. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX positive on day, +2.5%WoW; SOX +5.4%WoW;  PCE Inflation sets stage for benign Fed; INTEL, KLC puts damper on tech party; TELSA delivers again; AMEX not seeing consumer weakness; 
JAPAN. NKY Futs vs Cash +0.1%; USDJPY 129.88; Tokyo Dec CPI highest since 1981; GS sees highest base pay hike in decades.;  Fanuc 3Q beats on Robots; Sagawa hikes prices
DAILY. NUGGETS. Stealth Immigration - Foreigner workers in Japan hit all time high 1.82 million/2.7% of labour force. Clear policy on Immigration needed to help secure Japan's  future. 


Good Morning Japan |SPX Break Out In Sight ! ; PCE Inflation Delivers; Fed +25bps ? ; Awful INTEL

<p>Our outlook remains unchanged as the weight of the evidence continues to suggest a mixed, but overall constructive market. Cyclical value Sectors continue to be our favorite areas to overweight (i.e., Energy, Materials, Manufacturing, and Transportation), while defensive Sectors also continue to be worth a look (i.e., Staples, Health Care, and Real Estate). </p>

Our outlook remains unchanged as the weight of the evidence continues to suggest a mixed, but overall constructive market. Cyclical value Sectors continue to be our favorite areas to overweight (i.e., Energy, Materials, Manufacturing, and Transportation), while defensive Sectors also continue to be worth a look (i.e., Staples, Health Care, and Real Estate). 

Global Equity Strategy: Value Remains Leadership But Defensives Improving

Japan

Toyo Tire Corporation manufactures and markets rubber and chemical goods.  The Company's products include motor vehicle tires, aluminum alloy wheels, office equipment parts, heat resistant board, and automobile parts such as bumpers and air bag systems.  Toyo Tire & Rubber has its  subsidiaries in the  US, Australia, Canada, Germany, and China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Toyo Tire Corporation (5105 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Pulls off One of the Greatest Ruses of All Time

Oversold Tech surging after delay on reciprocal tariffs, with SOX hitting record highs. Expect gains in oversold tech beta and strong performance...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Volatile Session but Pointing Higher on Potential for a Tariff Flip-Flop

TSMC rises on news of investment in US fab capacity, Continental AG drops after earnings miss sets poor tone for JP tire makers.

Andrew Jackson

Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; Buys in Discretionary

Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Overall Outlook Intact; $DXY Rolling Over; Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

Good Morning Japan |SPX Break Out In Sight ! ; PCE Inflation Delivers; Fed +25bps ? ; Awful INTEL

NKY Futs vs Cash +0.1%; Tokyo Dec CPI highest since 1981; GS sees highest base pay hike in decades.; Fanuc 3Q beats on Robots; Sagawa hikes...

Mark Chadwick

Global Equity Strategy: Value Remains Leadership But Defensives Improving

Cyclical value Sectors continue to be our favorite areas to overweight, while defensive Sectors also continue to be worth a look (i.e., Staples,...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Pulls off One of the Greatest Ruses of All Time

Oversold ​Tech surging after delay on reciprocal tariffs, with SOX hitting record highs. Expect gains in oversold tech beta and strong performance...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Volatile Session but Pointing Higher on Potential for a Tariff Flip-Flop

​TSMC rises on news of investment in US fab capacity, Continental AG drops after earnings miss sets poor tone for JP tire makers.

Andrew Jackson

Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; Buys in Discretionary

Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Overall Outlook Intact; $DXY Rolling Over; Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

Good Morning Japan |SPX Break Out In Sight ! ; PCE Inflation Delivers; Fed +25bps ? ; Awful INTEL

NKY Futs vs Cash +0.1%; Tokyo Dec CPI highest since 1981; GS sees highest base pay hike in decades.; Fanuc 3Q beats on Robots; Sagawa hikes...

Mark Chadwick

Global Equity Strategy: Value Remains Leadership But Defensives Improving

Cyclical value Sectors continue to be our favorite areas to overweight, while defensive Sectors also continue to be worth a look (i.e., Staples,...

Vermilion Research

Oversold Tech surging after delay on reciprocal tariffs, with SOX hitting record highs. Expect gains in oversold tech beta and strong performance...

TSMC rises on news of investment in US fab capacity, Continental AG drops after earnings miss sets poor tone for JP tire makers.