Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

The S&amp;P 500’s steady uptrend remains intact. The large-cap (S&amp;P 500) vs. small-cap (S&amp;P 600) ratio is breaking out to multi-month highs; prompting our recommendation to shift to an overweight of large-caps. We are also seeing bullish price and RS inflections for developed int’l markets particularly due to strength in Japan, which helps support our bullish outlook for the U.S.  In addition to a complete strategy recap, we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within the Energy and Transportation Sectors.

The S&amp;P 500’s steady uptrend remains intact. The large-cap (S&amp;P 500) vs. small-cap (S&amp;P 600) ratio is breaking out to multi-month highs; prompting our recommendation to shift to an overweight of large-caps. We are also seeing bullish price and RS inflections for developed int’l markets particularly due to strength in Japan, which helps support our bullish outlook for the U.S.  In addition to a complete strategy recap, we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within the Energy and Transportation Sectors.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Shifting to Large-Cap Overweight, Energy Improving

The last several months have been that of digestion and consolidation. While Sector and group leadership have taken a back seat to stock selection, rotations still seem to be the norm.  We have suggested that the current sector rotations are reminiscent of 1994. If conditions in the current market are indeed mimicking those of 1994, we would expect that sectors that are oversold are likely to bounce, and sectors that are overbought are likely to suffer pullbacks, which makes technical tools such as relative strength less viable.In our July Strategy we outline this thesis and highlight opportunities within the Technology, Health Care, Financial and Energy Sectors.

The last several months have been that of digestion and consolidation. While Sector and group leadership have taken a back seat to stock selection, rotations still seem to be the norm.  We have suggested that the current sector rotations are reminiscent of 1994. If conditions in the current market are indeed mimicking those of 1994, we would expect that sectors that are oversold are likely to bounce, and sectors that are overbought are likely to suffer pullbacks, which makes technical tools such as relative strength less viable.In our July Strategy we outline this thesis and highlight opportunities within the Technology, Health Care, Financial and Energy Sectors.

Outside of weakness in interest-rate sensitive segments, namely REITs and Utilities, the latter which is breaking down to 15-year relative strength lows, U.S. equity market technicals remain constructive. And allowing for occasional back and filling, we expect this bullish trend to continue. In today's report, we outline our investment thesis and highlight actionable names in energy service stocks.

Outside of weakness in interest-rate sensitive segments, namely REITs and Utilities, the latter which is breaking down to 15-year relative strength lows, U.S. equity market technicals remain constructive. And allowing for occasional back and filling, we expect this bullish trend to continue. In today's report, we outline our investment thesis and highlight actionable names in energy service stocks.

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Equity Bottom-Up

China Oilfield Services / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Business continues to grow as sales, profits and margins rise</li>
<li>The overall industry supply demand dynamics continue to be supportive</li>
<li>Key business drivers such as capacity utilisation and rates moving in the right direction</li>
</ul>


Business continues to grow as sales, profits and margins rise
The overall industry supply demand dynamics continue to be supportive
Key business drivers such as capacity utilisation and rates moving in the right direction


China Oilfield Services (2883.HK) – Interim Results Show Continued Strong Growth

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Transocean's recent quarterly earnings results present a dual narrative with strong operational performance reflecting positively on the company's strategic initiatives and market positioning, while also highlighting areas of concern that potential investors should consider.</li><li>In terms of positive developments, Transocean reported adjusted EBITDA of $284 million with contract drilling revenues of $861 million, translating to an impressive EBITDA margin of approximately 33%.</li><li>This strong performance is a testament to the company's operational efficiency, marked by a revenue efficiency of approximately 97% in the quarter.</li></ul>

Transocean's recent quarterly earnings results present a dual narrative with strong operational performance reflecting positively on the company's strategic initiatives and market positioning, while also highlighting areas of concern that potential investors should consider.In terms of positive developments, Transocean reported adjusted EBITDA of $284 million with contract drilling revenues of $861 million, translating to an impressive EBITDA margin of approximately 33%.This strong performance is a testament to the company's operational efficiency, marked by a revenue efficiency of approximately 97% in the quarter.

Transocean Ltd.: Advanced Drilling Technology Adoption & Other Major Developments! - Financial Forecasts

Switzerland

Transocean Ltd. is an offshore drilling contractor.  The Company owns or operates mobile offshore drilling units, inland drilling barges, and other assets utilized in the support of offshore drilling activities worldwide. Transocean specializes in technically demanding segments of the offshore drilling business, including deepwater and harsh environment drilling services.

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Transocean Ltd (RIG US)

U.S. Equity Strategy: Shifting to Large-Cap Overweight, Energy Improving

The S&P 500’s steady uptrend remains intact. The large-cap (S&P 500) vs. small-cap (S&P 600) ratio is breaking out to multi-month...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy:

The last several months have been that of digestion and consolidation. While Sector and group leadership have taken a back seat to stock selection,...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy Weekly

Outside of weakness in interest-rate sensitive segments, namely REITs and Utilities, the latter which is breaking down to 15-year relative strength...

Vermilion Research

China Oilfield Services (2883.HK) – Interim Results Show Continued Strong Growth

Oil and oil-related stocks have started to move. This one is a capital cycle story. The offshore oil services industry has minimal new entrants as...

Rikki Malik

Transocean Ltd.: Advanced Drilling Technology Adoption & Other Major Developments! - Financial Forecasts

Transocean's recent quarterly earnings results present a dual narrative with strong operational performance reflecting positively on the company's...

Baptista Research

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