Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In line with forecasts, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indusind-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1558:1" rel="noopener">Indusind Bank</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index</a> after the close of trading on 20 June.</li>
<li>Passive funds are estimated to buy 3-4 days of ADV in the adds and sell 1-10 days of ADV in the deletes. That increase to 3.5-17 days of delivery volume.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indusind-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1558:1" rel="noopener">Indusind Bank (IIB IN)</a> stock has dropped recently due to a large quarterly loss and allegations of fraud. The stock is also a potential deletion from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>.</li>
</ul>


In line with forecasts, Trent and Bharat Electronics will replace Nestle India and Indusind Bank in the S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index after the close of trading on 20 June.
Passive funds are estimated to buy 3-4 days of ADV in the adds and sell 1-10 days of ADV in the deletes. That increase to 3.5-17 days of delivery volume.

Indusind Bank (IIB IN) stock has dropped recently due to a large quarterly loss and allegations of fraud. The stock is also a potential deletion from the NIFTY Index.


SENSEX Index Rebalance: Trent, Bharat Electronics to Replace Nestle, IndusInd Bank

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Schloss Bangalore Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/schloss-bangalore-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43983:1" rel="noopener">Schloss Bangalore Ltd (SCHBL IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$409m in its India IPO. The deal has been downsized from an earlier size of around US$600m.</li>
<li>It is a luxury hospitality company which owns, operates, manages and develops luxury hotels and resorts under ‘The Leela’ brand, through direct ownership and hotel management agreements with third-party owners.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates.</li>
</ul>



Schloss Bangalore Ltd (SCHBL IN) is looking to raise about US$409m in its India IPO. The deal has been downsized from an earlier size of around US$600m.
It is a luxury hospitality company which owns, operates, manages and develops luxury hotels and resorts under ‘The Leela’ brand, through direct ownership and hotel management agreements with third-party owners.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates.


Schloss Bangalore IPO - Growth Has Softened; Corporate Structure Reorganised

Belrise Industries / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/belrise-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44122:1" rel="noopener">Belrise Industries (9156339Z IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$255m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Belrise Industries is an automotive component manufacturing company based in India offering a diverse range of safety critical systems and other engineering solutions for two-wheelers, three-wheelers, four-wheelers, commercial and agri-vehicles.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.</li>
</ul>



Belrise Industries (9156339Z IN) is looking to raise about US$255m in its upcoming India IPO.
Belrise Industries is an automotive component manufacturing company based in India offering a diverse range of safety critical systems and other engineering solutions for two-wheelers, three-wheelers, four-wheelers, commercial and agri-vehicles.
In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.


Belrise Industries Pre-IPO - Expansion Plans and Related Party Risks

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there could be two changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent Ltd (TRENT IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics (BHE IN)</a> are high probability inclusions while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indusind-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1558:1" rel="noopener">Indusind Bank (IIB IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India (NEST IN)</a> are high probability deletions.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indusind-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1558:1" rel="noopener">Indusind Bank (IIB IN)</a> is also a potential <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> deletion in September and there will be continued pressure on the stock.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there could be two changes for the S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX) at the June rebalance.

Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) and Bharat Electronics (BHE IN) are high probability inclusions while Indusind Bank (IIB IN) and Nestle India (NEST IN) are high probability deletions.

Indusind Bank (IIB IN) is also a potential NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) deletion in September and there will be continued pressure on the stock.


SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Trent, Bharat Electronics Could Replace IndusInd Bank, Nestle

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Bajaj Finance: Bajaj Finance’s (BAF) Q4FY25 earnings missed our estimates on account of elevated credit costs (2.3% annualised), despite steady AUM growth (+26% YoY) and improving operating efficiency</li><li>A challenging macro continued to take a toll on asset quality as credit costs trended north of management guidance (2.1% for FY25) even as the management guided for marginal moderation in FY26 credit costs to ~1.9%</li><li>BAF’s post-pandemic cross-functional investments are gradually reflecting in higher throughput and efficiency gains (C/I at 33%, opex-to-AUM at 3.9%), which are likely to sustain over FY26E-FY27E</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Bajaj Finance: Bajaj Finance’s (BAF) Q4FY25 earnings missed our estimates on account of elevated credit costs (2.3% annualised), despite steady AUM growth (+26% YoY) and improving operating efficiencyA challenging macro continued to take a toll on asset quality as credit costs trended north of management guidance (2.1% for FY25) even as the management guided for marginal moderation in FY26 credit costs to ~1.9%BAF’s post-pandemic cross-functional investments are gradually reflecting in higher throughput and efficiency gains (C/I at 33%, opex-to-AUM at 3.9%), which are likely to sustain over FY26E-FY27EContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Finance, Trent, Ambuja Cement, Oberoi Realty, IndiaMART InterMESH

India

Trent Limited operates a chain of retail stores that sell fashion apparel, cosmetics, perfumery products and toiletry items. The Company sells apparel for men, women and children. Trent sells its cosmetics products under the "Westside" and "Trent" brand names.

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Trent Ltd (TRENT IN)

SENSEX Index Rebalance: Trent, Bharat Electronics to Replace Nestle, IndusInd Bank

Trent and Bharat Electronics will replace Nestle and IndusInd Bank in the Sensex from 23 June. The changes were forecast and there is positioning...

Brian Freitas

Schloss Bangalore IPO - Growth Has Softened; Corporate Structure Reorganised

Schloss Bangalore Limited (SBL) is looking to raise about US$409m in its India IPO. The deal has been downsized from an earlier size of around...

Akshat Shah

SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Trent, Bharat Electronics Could Replace IndusInd Bank, Nestle

With the review period complete, Trent and Bharat Electronics could replace IndusInd Bank and Nestle in the Sensex in June. IndusInd Bank is also a...

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Finance, Trent, Ambuja Cement, Oberoi Realty, IndiaMART InterMESH

Bajaj Finance’s (BAF) Q4FY25 earnings missed our estimates on account of elevated credit costs (2.3% annualised), despite steady AUM growth (+26%...

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SENSEX Index Rebalance: Trent, Bharat Electronics to Replace Nestle, IndusInd Bank

Trent and Bharat Electronics will replace Nestle and IndusInd Bank in the Sensex from 23 June. The changes were forecast and there is positioning...

Brian Freitas

Schloss Bangalore IPO - Growth Has Softened; Corporate Structure Reorganised

Schloss Bangalore Limited (SBL) is looking to raise about US$409m in its India IPO. The deal has been downsized from an earlier size of around...

Akshat Shah

Belrise Industries Pre-IPO - Expansion Plans and Related Party Risks

Belrise Industries Limited is looking to raise about US$255m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the company’s historical...

Akshat Shah

SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Trent, Bharat Electronics Could Replace IndusInd Bank, Nestle

With the review period complete, Trent and Bharat Electronics could replace IndusInd Bank and Nestle in the Sensex in June. IndusInd Bank is also a...

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Finance, Trent, Ambuja Cement, Oberoi Realty, IndiaMART InterMESH

Bajaj Finance’s (BAF) Q4FY25 earnings missed our estimates on account of elevated credit costs (2.3% annualised), despite steady AUM growth (+26%...

HDFC Securities