Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent (TRENT IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics (BHE IN)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ltimindtree-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22778:1" rel="noopener">LTIMindtree (LTIM IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/divi-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4871:1" rel="noopener">Divi's Laboratories (DIVI IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> at the close on 27 September.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade at least 5 days of ADV and over 11 days of delivery volume in the stocks.</li>
<li>All the index changes are also changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> and there will be opposing flows (though much smaller in size) for the stocks.</li>
</ul>



Trent (TRENT IN) and Bharat Electronics (BHE IN) will replace LTIMindtree (LTIM IN) and Divi's Laboratories (DIVI IN) in the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) at the close on 27 September.
Passive trackers will need to trade at least 5 days of ADV and over 11 days of delivery volume in the stocks.
All the index changes are also changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) and there will be opposing flows (though much smaller in size) for the stocks.


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: Trent, BEL to Replace Divi's Lab, LTIMindtree

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Consumer demand remains sluggish: Prolonged heat waves, a slowdown in discretionary spending, and a lighter wedding season in Q1 have kept consumption demand in the discretionary space subdued.</li><li>Premium vs. Value: While the premium segment remains strong, the value segment has shown some recovery but remains a mixed bag.</li><li>Going forward, volume growth is expected to pick up in rural regions, driven by a better monsoon and rural recovery.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer demand remains sluggish: Prolonged heat waves, a slowdown in discretionary spending, and a lighter wedding season in Q1 have kept consumption demand in the discretionary space subdued.Premium vs. Value: While the premium segment remains strong, the value segment has shown some recovery but remains a mixed bag.Going forward, volume growth is expected to pick up in rural regions, driven by a better monsoon and rural recovery.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Siemens: Siemens India Ltd (SIL) delivered weak standalone Q3FY24 revenue/EBITDA/APAT of INR 47.6/6.1/5.3bn, missing our estimates by 13.3/22.1/18.9%</li><li>EBITDA margin was 12.8%(+148bps/-207bps YoY/QoQ) vs our estimate of 14.2%</li><li>SIL received new orders worth INR 62.5bn (+18/+17.1% YoY/QoQ), which is strong, considering the slowdown in bid/order process amid election season</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Siemens: Siemens India Ltd (SIL) delivered weak standalone Q3FY24 revenue/EBITDA/APAT of INR 47.6/6.1/5.3bn, missing our estimates by 13.3/22.1/18.9%EBITDA margin was 12.8%(+148bps/-207bps YoY/QoQ) vs our estimate of 14.2%SIL received new orders worth INR 62.5bn (+18/+17.1% YoY/QoQ), which is strong, considering the slowdown in bid/order process amid election seasonContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Siemens, Trent, Infoedge, Balkrishna Industries, Astral, Gujarat State Petronet

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Trent's Q1FY25 numbers exceeded expectations. The company achieved robust revenue growth, increasing by 57% YoY to Rs 3,992 Cr.</li><li>This growth was driven by increased footfalls, and strong performance across brands, concepts, categories, and channels, despite subdued market sentiments and heightened competitive intensity.</li><li>The company’s EBITDA grew by 67% YoY, with EBITDA margins expanding by 88 bps YoY to 15.3%, driven by gross margin expansion. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Trent's Q1FY25 numbers exceeded expectations. The company achieved robust revenue growth, increasing by 57% YoY to Rs 3,992 Cr.This growth was driven by increased footfalls, and strong performance across brands, concepts, categories, and channels, despite subdued market sentiments and heightened competitive intensity.The company’s EBITDA grew by 67% YoY, with EBITDA margins expanding by 88 bps YoY to 15.3%, driven by gross margin expansion. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Trent Ltd - Strong Performance Continues; Maintain BUY

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/v-mart-retail-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1987:1" rel="noopener">V-Mart Retail (VMART IN)</a>  is an omni-channel value retailer, providing a range of products aimed at Bharat’s middle and lower middle class</li>
<li>The company has implemented a cluster strategy that has supported its expansion across India. In FY24, V-Mart opened 46 new stores nationwide.</li>
<li>Being over-indexed to value, V-MART has posted slower revenue growth compared to the recent past. New Warehouse and tigher control over inventory could boost cashflows further. </li>
</ul>



V-Mart Retail (VMART IN)  is an omni-channel value retailer, providing a range of products aimed at Bharat’s middle and lower middle class
The company has implemented a cluster strategy that has supported its expansion across India. In FY24, V-Mart opened 46 new stores nationwide.
Being over-indexed to value, V-MART has posted slower revenue growth compared to the recent past. New Warehouse and tigher control over inventory could boost cashflows further. 


Narrative and Numbers | V-Mart Retail (VMART IN) | FY24

India

Trent Limited operates a chain of retail stores that sell fashion apparel, cosmetics, perfumery products and toiletry items. The Company sells apparel for men, women and children. Trent sells its cosmetics products under the "Westside" and "Trent" brand names.

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Trent Ltd (TRENT IN)

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: Trent, BEL to Replace Divi's Lab, LTIMindtree

Trent and Bharat Electronics will replace LTIM and Divi Lab in the NIFTY50. There is over 5x ADV/11x delivery volume to trade in the stocks. There...

Brian Freitas

Top Sector Ideas - Retail (Q1FY25)

Premium vs. Value: While the premium segment remains strong, the value segment has shown some recovery but remains a mixed bag.

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: Siemens, Trent, Infoedge, Balkrishna Industries, Astral, Gujarat State Petronet

Siemens India Ltd (SIL) delivered weak standalone Q3FY24 revenue/EBITDA/APAT of INR 47.6/6.1/5.3bn, missing our estimates by 13.3/22.1/18.9%

HDFC Securities

Trent Ltd - Strong Performance Continues; Maintain BUY

Trent's Q1FY25 numbers exceeded expectations. The company achieved robust revenue growth, increasing by 57% YoY to Rs 3,992 Cr.

Axis Direct

Narrative and Numbers | V-Mart Retail (VMART IN) | FY24

V-Mart Retail targets Bharat's middle class with omni-channel strategy, slower revenue growth due to focus on value, expansion with cluster...

Pranav Bhavsar

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: Trent, BEL to Replace Divi's Lab, LTIMindtree

Trent and Bharat Electronics will replace LTIM and Divi Lab in the NIFTY50. There is over 5x ADV/11x delivery volume to trade in the stocks. There...

Brian Freitas

Top Sector Ideas - Retail (Q1FY25)

Premium vs. Value: While the premium segment remains strong, the value segment has shown some recovery but remains a mixed bag.

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: Siemens, Trent, Infoedge, Balkrishna Industries, Astral, Gujarat State Petronet

Siemens India Ltd (SIL) delivered weak standalone Q3FY24 revenue/EBITDA/APAT of INR 47.6/6.1/5.3bn, missing our estimates by 13.3/22.1/18.9%

HDFC Securities

Trent Ltd - Strong Performance Continues; Maintain BUY

Trent's Q1FY25 numbers exceeded expectations. The company achieved robust revenue growth, increasing by 57% YoY to Rs 3,992 Cr.

Axis Direct

Narrative and Numbers | V-Mart Retail (VMART IN) | FY24

​V-Mart Retail targets Bharat's middle class with omni-channel strategy, slower revenue growth due to focus on value, expansion with cluster...

Pranav Bhavsar

V-Mart Retail targets Bharat's middle class with omni-channel strategy, slower revenue growth due to focus on value, expansion with cluster...