Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>As we progress in earnings season in line with our previous Playbook, this one focuses on select consumer names. </li>
<li>Names discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/titan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12630:1" rel="noopener">Titan Co Ltd (TTAN IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedant-fashions-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34260:1" rel="noopener">Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/go-fashion-india-private-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36625:1" rel="noopener">Go Fashion India (GOCOLORS IN)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shoppers-stop-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12804:1" rel="noopener">Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN)</a>.  </li>
<li>Most names expect a soft Q1, and SHOP is targeting the most aggressive expansion.</li>
</ul>


As we progress in earnings season in line with our previous Playbook, this one focuses on select consumer names. 
Names discussed include Titan Co Ltd (TTAN IN), Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN) , Go Fashion India (GOCOLORS IN) &amp; Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN).  
Most names expect a soft Q1, and SHOP is targeting the most aggressive expansion.


Earnings Playbook | Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN) | Target of Quadrupling Network

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>UltraTech Cement: We maintain BUY on UltraTech (UTCEM) with an unchanged target price of INR 10,820 (16.5x Mar-26E consolidated EBITDA)</li><li>We continue to like UTCEM for its robust growth and margin outlook and balance sheet management</li><li>During Q4FY24, UTCEM reported all-around performance: volumes rose 11/28% YoY/QoQ and the margin remained flattish and strong at INR 1173/MT</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

UltraTech Cement: We maintain BUY on UltraTech (UTCEM) with an unchanged target price of INR 10,820 (16.5x Mar-26E consolidated EBITDA)We continue to like UTCEM for its robust growth and margin outlook and balance sheet managementDuring Q4FY24, UTCEM reported all-around performance: volumes rose 11/28% YoY/QoQ and the margin remained flattish and strong at INR 1173/MTContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: UltraTech Cement, Trent, Supreme Industries

<ul><li>Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~13.1% YoY in Q4FY24 (ex-jewellery: ~12%)</li><li>Q4 is likely to be the last quarter contending with a high base</li><li>Wedding season hasn’t been as upbeat as expected</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~13.1% YoY in Q4FY24 (ex-jewellery: ~12%)Q4 is likely to be the last quarter contending with a high baseWedding season hasn’t been as upbeat as expectedContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Discretionary  - Soft Quarter, Green Shoots Visible in Value Fashion

Consumer Discretionary - Soft Quarter, Green Shoots Visible in Value Fashion

<ul>
<li>Our flash checks across a couple of dealers indicate pressure on margins across the industry. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/voltas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19924:1" rel="noopener">Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN)</a> is trying hard to gain market share.</li>
<li>Other names discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pnb-housing-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23613:1" rel="noopener">PNB Housing Finance Ltd (PNBHOUSI IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedant-fashions-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34260:1" rel="noopener">Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/varun-beverages-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23653:1" rel="noopener">Varun Beverages (VBL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/schaeffler-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6434:1" rel="noopener">Schaeffler India (SCHFL IN)</a> show up as interesting ARs to read. </li>
</ul>


Our flash checks across a couple of dealers indicate pressure on margins across the industry. Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) is trying hard to gain market share.
Other names discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd (PNBHOUSI IN), Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN) and Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN). 

Varun Beverages (VBL IN) and Schaeffler India (SCHFL IN) show up as interesting ARs to read. 


[#22] Namaste India 🙏 | Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Margin Pressure to Continue

India

Trent Limited operates a chain of retail stores that sell fashion apparel, cosmetics, perfumery products and toiletry items. The Company sells apparel for men, women and children. Trent sells its cosmetics products under the "Westside" and "Trent" brand names.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Trent Ltd (TRENT IN)

Earnings Playbook | Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN) | Target of Quadrupling Network

We focus on select consumer names in the earnings season. Most names expect a soft Q1, with Shoppers Stop targeting aggressive expansion.

Pranav Bhavsar

HSIE Results Daily: UltraTech Cement, Trent, Supreme Industries

UltraTech Cement: We maintain BUY on UltraTech (UTCEM) with an unchanged target price of INR 10,820 (16.5x Mar-26E consolidated EBITDA)

HDFC Securities

Consumer Discretionary - Soft Quarter, Green Shoots Visible in Value Fashion

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~13.1% YoY in Q4FY24 (ex-jewellery: ~12%). Q4 is likely to be the last quarter contending with a...

HDFC Securities

Consumer Discretionary - Soft Quarter, Green Shoots Visible in Value Fashion

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~13.1% YoY in Q4FY24 (ex-jewellery: ~12%). Q4 is likely to be the last quarter contending with a...

HDFC Securities

[#22] Namaste India 🙏 | Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Margin Pressure to Continue

Industry margins under pressure, Voltas Ltd striving for market share. Other companies discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd, Vedant Fashions,...

Pranav Bhavsar

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Earnings Playbook | Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN) | Target of Quadrupling Network

We focus on select consumer names in the earnings season. Most names expect a soft Q1, with Shoppers Stop targeting aggressive expansion.

Pranav Bhavsar

HSIE Results Daily: UltraTech Cement, Trent, Supreme Industries

UltraTech Cement: We maintain BUY on UltraTech (UTCEM) with an unchanged target price of INR 10,820 (16.5x Mar-26E consolidated EBITDA)

HDFC Securities

Consumer Discretionary - Soft Quarter, Green Shoots Visible in Value Fashion

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~13.1% YoY in Q4FY24 (ex-jewellery: ~12%). Q4 is likely to be the last quarter contending with a...

HDFC Securities

Consumer Discretionary - Soft Quarter, Green Shoots Visible in Value Fashion

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~13.1% YoY in Q4FY24 (ex-jewellery: ~12%). Q4 is likely to be the last quarter contending with a...

HDFC Securities

[#22] Namaste India 🙏 | Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Margin Pressure to Continue

​Industry margins under pressure, Voltas Ltd striving for market share. Other companies discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd, Vedant Fashions,...

Pranav Bhavsar

Industry margins under pressure, Voltas Ltd striving for market share. Other companies discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd, Vedant Fashions,...