Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Verisilicon Microelectronics S / Index Rebalance

Verisilicon Microelectronics S (688521 CH)

<ul>
<li>There could be up to 4 constituent changes for the STAR&amp;CHINEXT 50 Index in December. The announcement of the changes will be made after market close on 28 November.</li>
<li>There will be between 0.1-0.35x ADV to trade in the changes but some of the forecast adds will have same-way flow from passive trackers of other indices.</li>
<li>The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes in July and August before giving up all the gains (and more) in a near one-way move over the last month.</li>
</ul>


There could be up to 4 constituent changes for the STAR&amp;CHINEXT 50 Index in December. The announcement of the changes will be made after market close on 28 November.
There will be between 0.1-0.35x ADV to trade in the changes but some of the forecast adds will have same-way flow from passive trackers of other indices.
The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes in July and August before giving up all the gains (and more) in a near one-way move over the last month.


STAR&CHINEXT 50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes in December

Victory Giant Technology -A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 12 changes at the December rebalance with the Information Technology sector gaining 2 index spots and a smaller number of changes in the other sectors.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 2.7% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 69.8bn (US$9.8bn). There are 8 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> over the last 5 months while the forecast deletes have underperformed the index.</li>
</ul>


There could be 12 changes at the December rebalance with the Information Technology sector gaining 2 index spots and a smaller number of changes in the other sectors.
We estimate one-way turnover of 2.7% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 69.8bn (US$9.8bn). There are 8 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.
The forecast adds have outperformed the CSI 300 Index over the last 5 months while the forecast deletes have underperformed the index.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 12 Changes a Side as Trade Nears US$10bn

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 300 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Wuliangye, China Life, SHANGHAI PUDONG DEVELOPMENT BANK, BYD, PING AN INSURANCE, CHONGQING ZHIFEI BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES, GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 300 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Wuliangye, China Life, SHANGHAI PUDONG DEVELOPMENT BANK, BYD, PING AN INSURANCE, CHONGQING ZHIFEI BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES, GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE, Ping An Insurance.


CSI 300 Index Earning Revision (Oct): Wuliangye, China Life, SPDB, BYD

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of STAR50 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on SUPCON TECHNOLOGY, SHENGYI ELECTRONICS, TRANSSION, TRINA SOLAR, CAMBRICON TECHNOLOGIES, Trina Solar, Shengyi Electronics, Cambricon Technologies, Transsion, Supcon Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of STAR50 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on SUPCON TECHNOLOGY, SHENGYI ELECTRONICS, TRANSSION, TRINA SOLAR, CAMBRICON TECHNOLOGIES, Trina Solar, Shengyi Electronics, Cambricon Technologies, Transsion, Supcon Technology.


STAR50 Index Earning Revision (Oct): SUPCON TECHNOLOGY, SHENGYI ELECTRONICS, TRANSSION, TRINA SOLAR

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of STAR50 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on LOONGSON TECHNOLOGY, TRINA SOLAR, Xinjiang Daqo, SHENGYI ELECTRONICS, QI AN XIN TECHNOLOGY, NATIONAL SILICON INDUSTRY, JINKO SOLAR, Shengyi Electronics, Qi An Xin Technology, Jinko Solar.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of STAR50 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on LOONGSON TECHNOLOGY, TRINA SOLAR, Xinjiang Daqo, SHENGYI ELECTRONICS, QI AN XIN TECHNOLOGY, NATIONAL SILICON INDUSTRY, JINKO SOLAR, Shengyi Electronics, Qi An Xin Technology, Jinko Solar.


STAR50 Index Earning Revision (Sep): LOONGSON TECHNOLOGY, TRINA SOLAR, Xinjiang Daqo

China

Trina Solar Co., Ltd. operates as a photovoltaic smart energy overall solution provider. The Company produces solar photovoltaic power plant equipment, polycrystalline ingots, single crystal silicon rods, silicon wafers, solar cells, photovoltaic modules, and other products. Trina Solar markets its products throughout worldwide.

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Trina Solar (688599 CH)

STAR&CHINEXT 50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes in December

There could be up to 4 changes in Dec. The forecast adds will have same-way flow from passive trackers of other indices. There is between 0.1-0.35x...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 12 Changes a Side as Trade Nears US$10bn

There could be 12 changes in Dec. Estimate one-way turnover is 2.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$9.8bn. The adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

CSI 300 Index Earning Revision (Oct): Wuliangye, China Life, SPDB, BYD

We analyzed CSI 300's consensus for Oct 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Wuliangye (000858 CH), China Life (601628 CH), SHANGHAI PUDONG...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

STAR50 Index Earning Revision (Oct): SUPCON TECHNOLOGY, SHENGYI ELECTRONICS, TRANSSION, TRINA SOLAR

We analyzed STAR50's consensus for Oct 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in SUPCON TECHNOLOGY (688777 CH), SHENGYI ELECTRONICS (688183 CH),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

STAR50 Index Earning Revision (Sep): LOONGSON TECHNOLOGY, TRINA SOLAR, Xinjiang Daqo

We analyzed STAR50's consensus for Sep 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in LOONGSON TECHNOLOGY (688047 CH), TRINA SOLAR (688599 CH), Xinjiang...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)