Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 30th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Trip.Com, Shk Ppt, Anta Sports, Tencent, Baba, CCB, Jd, Meituan.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 30th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Trip.Com, Shk Ppt, Anta Sports, Tencent, Baba, CCB, Jd, Meituan.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Trip.Com, Shk Ppt, Anta Sports, Tencent, Baba, CCB, Jd, Meituan

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In 2Q24, total revenue increased by 14% YoY and hotel booking revenue increased by 20%.</li>
<li>We believe the company has been riding on the recovery of the travel market and will see historical high quarter in 3Q24.</li>
<li>We also believe the stock still has an upside of 18% after one day’s surge.</li>
</ul>


In 2Q24, total revenue increased by 14% YoY and hotel booking revenue increased by 20%.
We believe the company has been riding on the recovery of the travel market and will see historical high quarter in 3Q24.
We also believe the stock still has an upside of 18% after one day’s surge.


Trip.com (9961 HK): Stock Surged After 2Q24 Result, Upside Narrowed to 18%

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Tongcheng Travel Holdings  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-travel-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK)</a> is still suffering from cost pressure, with adjusted net profit increased by 10.9% in 2Q24, despite a 48.1% revenue growth.</li>
<li>Both GMV and MPU growth rates have slowed in 2Q24 when compared with 1Q24, and revenue may also decelerate in 2H24 given the higher base for comparison.</li>
<li>The market will need some time to see if the moderating earnings trend will sustain, negatively affecting investor interests. Potential earnings downgrade is also a challenge.</li>
</ul>



Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK) is still suffering from cost pressure, with adjusted net profit increased by 10.9% in 2Q24, despite a 48.1% revenue growth.
Both GMV and MPU growth rates have slowed in 2Q24 when compared with 1Q24, and revenue may also decelerate in 2H24 given the higher base for comparison.
The market will need some time to see if the moderating earnings trend will sustain, negatively affecting investor interests. Potential earnings downgrade is also a challenge.


Tongcheng Travel (780 HK): Seems like a Cost Issue

<ul>
<li>Guangzhou Automobile sales volume of new energy vehicle decreased by 38% YoY in June and by 31% YoY in 1H24.</li>
<li>BYD plans to invest US$1 billion to build a factory in Turkey.</li>
<li>AliPay announced that foreigners’ consumption amount in China in 1H24 was eight times of last year.</li>
</ul>


Guangzhou Automobile sales volume of new energy vehicle decreased by 38% YoY in June and by 31% YoY in 1H24.
BYD plans to invest US$1 billion to build a factory in Turkey.
AliPay announced that foreigners’ consumption amount in China in 1H24 was eight times of last year.


China Consumption Weekly (15 Jul 2024): Seres, BYD, Guangzhou Automobile,Trip.com

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

<ul>
<li>During 2Q2024, the 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +7.1%y/y, down slightly from the +8.7% reported during 1Q2024.</li>
<li>Overall, 61% of companies delivered positive EPS surprises, and 57% delivered positive Sales surprises, a marked improvement from the previous quarter.</li>
<li>Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.</li>
</ul>


During 2Q2024, the 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +7.1%y/y, down slightly from the +8.7% reported during 1Q2024.
Overall, 61% of companies delivered positive EPS surprises, and 57% delivered positive Sales surprises, a marked improvement from the previous quarter.
Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.


Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 2Q2024

China

Trip.com Group Limited provides online travel agency services. The Company offers mobile applications, hotel reservations, flight ticketing, package tours, corporate travel management, and train ticketing services. Trip.com Group provides services worldwide.

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Trip.com Group (9961 HK)

HK Short Interest Weekly: Trip.Com, Shk Ppt, Anta Sports, Tencent, Baba, CCB, Jd, Meituan

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 30th and highlight short interest changes in Trip.Com, Shk Ppt, Anta...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Trip.com (9961 HK): Stock Surged After 2Q24 Result, Upside Narrowed to 18%

In 2Q24, total revenue increased by 14% YoY. We believe the company has been riding on the recovery of the travel market. We also believe the stock...

Ming Lu

Tongcheng Travel (780 HK): Seems like a Cost Issue

Tongcheng Travel faces cost pressure as adjusted net profit rises by 10.9% in 2Q24 despite strong revenue growth. Slowing growth and potential...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Consumption Weekly (15 Jul 2024): Seres, BYD, Guangzhou Automobile,Trip.com

GAC sales volume of new energy vehicle decreased by 31% YoY in 1H24. BYD will build a factory in Turkey. AliPay' foreigner consumption amount in...

Ming Lu

Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 2Q2024

In this quarterly insight, we analyse recent GEM reporting trends by looking at Sales and EPS growth, size and percentage of positive surprises,...

Wium Malan, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Short Interest Weekly: Trip.Com, Shk Ppt, Anta Sports, Tencent, Baba, CCB, Jd, Meituan

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 30th and highlight short interest changes in Trip.Com, Shk Ppt, Anta...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Trip.com (9961 HK): Stock Surged After 2Q24 Result, Upside Narrowed to 18%

In 2Q24, total revenue increased by 14% YoY. We believe the company has been riding on the recovery of the travel market. We also believe the stock...

Ming Lu

Tongcheng Travel (780 HK): Seems like a Cost Issue

​Tongcheng Travel faces cost pressure as adjusted net profit rises by 10.9% in 2Q24 despite strong revenue growth. Slowing growth and potential...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Consumption Weekly (15 Jul 2024): Seres, BYD, Guangzhou Automobile,Trip.com

GAC sales volume of new energy vehicle decreased by 31% YoY in 1H24. BYD will build a factory in Turkey. AliPay' foreigner consumption amount in...

Ming Lu

Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 2Q2024

In this quarterly insight, we analyse recent GEM reporting trends by looking at Sales and EPS growth, size and percentage of positive surprises,...

Wium Malan, CFA

Tongcheng Travel faces cost pressure as adjusted net profit rises by 10.9% in 2Q24 despite strong revenue growth. Slowing growth and potential...