HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:872:1" rel="noopener">Link REIT (823 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-entertainment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:806:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK)</a> are massive laggards YTD.</li>
<li>As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. </li>
</ul>


Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.

Li Auto (2015 HK), Link REIT (823 HK), China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK), Hang Lung Properties (101 HK) and Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK) are massive laggards YTD.
As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. 


HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tbo-tek" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36284:1" rel="noopener">TBO Tek (0395045D IN)</a> is looking to raise approximately US$200m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>TBO Tek is a global travel distribution platform. Its two-sided technology platform serves companies involved in the travel industry such as hotels, airlines, travel agencies and travel management companies.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we talked about the company’s historical performance. In this note, we talk about its refiling updates and undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



TBO Tek (0395045D IN) is looking to raise approximately US$200m in its upcoming India IPO.
TBO Tek is a global travel distribution platform. Its two-sided technology platform serves companies involved in the travel industry such as hotels, airlines, travel agencies and travel management companies.
In our previous note, we talked about the company’s historical performance. In this note, we talk about its refiling updates and undertake a peer comparison.


TBO Tek Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates & Peer Comparison

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The top five smartphone producers’ market shares got closer in the first quarter.</li>
<li>The China Immigration Office announced that entry and exit of people increased by 305% YoY in 1Q24.</li>
<li>China Passenger Car Association expected that new energy vehicle sales volume will grow by 37% YoY in April.</li>
</ul>


The top five smartphone producers’ market shares got closer in the first quarter.
The China Immigration Office announced that entry and exit of people increased by 305% YoY in 1Q24.
China Passenger Car Association expected that new energy vehicle sales volume will grow by 37% YoY in April.


China Consumption Weekly (29 Apr 2024): Weird Phone Mkt, Encouraging Car and Travel Mkts

Tongcheng Travel Holdings  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-travel-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK)</a> has a solid FY23 and 4Q23 with massive net profit recovery. Earnings momentum for FY24 and FY25 look to stay impressive.</li>
<li>FY23 is a record year of profit, demonstrating its ability to gain market share after COVID-19 disruption. Further volume growth will lead to better operating leverage.</li>
<li>Net cash reached Rmb2.3bn, up 90.4% YoY, showcasing its cash-generating ability. The first-time dividend payout also reflected management's confidence on the outlook.</li>
</ul>



Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK) has a solid FY23 and 4Q23 with massive net profit recovery. Earnings momentum for FY24 and FY25 look to stay impressive.
FY23 is a record year of profit, demonstrating its ability to gain market share after COVID-19 disruption. Further volume growth will lead to better operating leverage.
Net cash reached Rmb2.3bn, up 90.4% YoY, showcasing its cash-generating ability. The first-time dividend payout also reflected management's confidence on the outlook.


Tongcheng Travel (780 HK): Riding the High Tide

<ul>
<li>In March 2024, BYD’s Sales volume increased by 46% YoY and Li Auto’s sales volume increased by 39% YoY.</li>
<li>AliPay announced that foreigners’ consumption amount in China in March was ten times of last year.</li>
<li>Facing stagnancy and competition, Alibaba’s Taobao removed service charges from its retailers.</li>
</ul>


In March 2024, BYD’s Sales volume increased by 46% YoY and Li Auto’s sales volume increased by 39% YoY.
AliPay announced that foreigners’ consumption amount in China in March was ten times of last year.
Facing stagnancy and competition, Alibaba’s Taobao removed service charges from its retailers.


China Consumption Weekly (8 Apr 2024): BYD, Li Auto, Trip.com, Alibaba

China

Trip.com Group Limited provides online travel agency services. The Company offers mobile applications, hotel reservations, flight ticketing, package tours, corporate travel management, and train ticketing services. Trip.com Group provides services worldwide.

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Trip.com Group (9961 HK)

HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Li Auto, Link REIT, China Mengniu, Hang Lung Properties, and Galaxy Entertainment are massive laggards YTD but the recent rebound from the trough...

Osbert Tang, CFA

TBO Tek Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates & Peer Comparison

TBO Tek (0395045D IN) is looking to raise approximately US$200m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about its refiling updates and...

Ethan Aw

China Consumption Weekly (29 Apr 2024): Weird Phone Mkt, Encouraging Car and Travel Mkts

The top five smartphone producers’ market shares got closer in 1Q24. China entry and exit people increased by 305% YoY in 1Q24. Authorities...

Ming Lu

Tongcheng Travel (780 HK): Riding the High Tide

According to www.fliggy.com, outbound travel bookings during the 5-day Labour Day holiday have doubled this year. This was achieved on a high base...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Consumption Weekly (8 Apr 2024): BYD, Li Auto, Trip.com, Alibaba

In March 2024, BYD’s Sales volume increased by 46% YoY and Li Auto increased by 39% YoY. AliPay announced foreigners’ consumption amount in China...

Ming Lu

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