Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since mid-April we discussed how downside was limited on MSCI ACWI and EURO STOXX 50, and May 2nd discussed it was "quite possible" the lows were in.</li>
<li>Now, the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM indexes have all broken out to new multi-year highs. Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact; expect higher prices ahead.</li>
<li>China (MSCI China) continues to lead the EM turnaround, and we remain bullish on the space. We highlight many large-cap EM buys within Communications, Technology, Discretionary; we remain bullish miners.</li>
</ul>


Since mid-April we discussed how downside was limited on MSCI ACWI and EURO STOXX 50, and May 2nd discussed it was "quite possible" the lows were in.
Now, the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM indexes have all broken out to new multi-year highs. Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact; expect higher prices ahead.
China (MSCI China) continues to lead the EM turnaround, and we remain bullish on the space. We highlight many large-cap EM buys within Communications, Technology, Discretionary; we remain bullish miners.


Bullish Outlook Intact; EM and China Continue to Bottom; Buys in Comms, Tech, Discretionary, Miners

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>PDD US/SHEIN/AMZN US: Temu opens up platform to brand merchants (+/-/-)</li>
<li>TCOM US/3690 HK/ATAT US  :  Visa-free policy for 12 countries including France extended until December 31, 2025.(+/+/+)</li>
<li>700 HK: After the release of new limited skins for &lt;League of Legends: Wild Rift&gt;, there has been a noticeable rebound in grossing rankings.(+)</li>
</ul>


PDD US/SHEIN/AMZN US: Temu opens up platform to brand merchants (+/-/-)
TCOM US/3690 HK/ATAT US  :  Visa-free policy for 12 countries including France extended until December 31, 2025.(+/+/+)
700 HK: After the release of new limited skins for &lt;League of Legends: Wild Rift&gt;, there has been a noticeable rebound in grossing rankings.(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:PDD US/SHEIN/AMZN US/TCOM US/3690 HK/ ATAT US/700 HK

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

<ul>
<li>ATAT US/TCOM US : The international hotel management group maintains a cautious attitude towards China throughout the year.（-/-）</li>
<li>1211HK/LIUS/NIOUS/XPEVUS/1810HK:EV sales solid in the 5th week of April 2024, NIO continues to benefit from SU7 overflow, BYD continues to be strong, and Xiaomi deliveries decline for three consecutive weeks.(+/+/+/-/-)</li>
<li>300274 SZ / 300750 SZ/ 1211 HK : Tesla's Shanghai energy storage gigafactory was approved, mainly producing energy storage for export, benefiting China's supply chain.(+/+/ -)</li>
</ul>


ATAT US/TCOM US : The international hotel management group maintains a cautious attitude towards China throughout the year.（-/-）
1211HK/LIUS/NIOUS/XPEVUS/1810HK:EV sales solid in the 5th week of April 2024, NIO continues to benefit from SU7 overflow, BYD continues to be strong, and Xiaomi deliveries decline for three consecutive weeks.(+/+/+/-/-)
300274 SZ / 300750 SZ/ 1211 HK : Tesla's Shanghai energy storage gigafactory was approved, mainly producing energy storage for export, benefiting China's supply chain.(+/+/ -)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATATUS/TCOMUS/1211HK/LIUS/NIO US/XPEVUS/1810HK/300274SZ/300750 SZ/BEKEUS

<ul>
<li>TCOM US /3690 HK /ATAT US : Domestic tourism strong but outbound tourism weak during May Day holiday; strong transportation but weak accommodation.(-/+/-)</li>
<li>700 HK:  Tencent's New Mobile Game &lt;One Piece: Ambition&gt; Will Undergo Public Testing Next Week（+）</li>
<li>BABA US/JD US/PDD US/2618 HK: MOFCOM publishes commerce data for Labor Day Holiday (+/+/+/+)</li>
</ul>


TCOM US /3690 HK /ATAT US : Domestic tourism strong but outbound tourism weak during May Day holiday; strong transportation but weak accommodation.(-/+/-)
700 HK:  Tencent's New Mobile Game &lt;One Piece: Ambition&gt; Will Undergo Public Testing Next Week（+）
BABA US/JD US/PDD US/2618 HK: MOFCOM publishes commerce data for Labor Day Holiday (+/+/+/+)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:TCOM US /3690 HK /ATAT US/700 HK/BABA US/JD US/PDD US/2618 HK/Douyin

<ul>
<li>TCOM US/ATAT US: The increase in rainfall will negatively impact travels during the Labor Day holiday.(-/-)</li>
<li>META US/MSFT US /GOOGL US /SNAP US: The application of AI in advertising on short video and social platforms may result in greater efficiency than search advertising.（///////）</li>
<li>3690 HK: Meituan plans to expand into the Middle East Riyadh via KeeTa.（-）</li>
</ul>


TCOM US/ATAT US: The increase in rainfall will negatively impact travels during the Labor Day holiday.(-/-)
META US/MSFT US /GOOGL US /SNAP US: The application of AI in advertising on short video and social platforms may result in greater efficiency than search advertising.（///////）
3690 HK: Meituan plans to expand into the Middle East Riyadh via KeeTa.（-）


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:TCOM US/ATAT US/METAUS/MSFTUS /GOOGLUS /SNAPUS/3690HK/NTESUS/SHEINUS

China

Trip.com Group Ltd. provides online travel agency services. The Company offers mobile applications, hotel reservations, flight ticketing, package tours, corporate travel management, and train ticketing services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Trip.com (TCOM US)

Bullish Outlook Intact; EM and China Continue to Bottom; Buys in Comms, Tech, Discretionary, Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact $ACWI; EM and China Continue to Lead; U.S. Dollar (DXY), WTI Crude Oil, and Gasoline Prices Rolling Over; Buys in: Comms,...

Vermilion Research

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:PDD US/SHEIN/AMZN US/TCOM US/3690 HK/ ATAT US/700 HK

Temu allows brand merchants on platform, visa-free policy extended for 12 countries, limited skins boost grossing rankings for League of Legends:...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATATUS/TCOMUS/1211HK/LIUS/NIO US/XPEVUS/1810HK/300274SZ/300750 SZ/BEKEUS

International hotel group cautious on China, EV sales strong in April with NIO benefiting, Tesla's Shanghai gigafactory approved for energy...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:TCOM US /3690 HK /ATAT US/700 HK/BABA US/JD US/PDD US/2618 HK/Douyin

Domestic tourism strong but outbound tourism weak during 5.1 holiday; Tencent's new mobile game to undergo public testing next week; MOFCOM...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:TCOM US/ATAT US/METAUS/MSFTUS /GOOGLUS /SNAPUS/3690HK/NTESUS/SHEINUS

rainfall will impact travel during Labor Day. Meituan expand into the Middle East Riyadh. NPPA released the game code. SHEIN designated asVLOP....

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Bullish Outlook Intact; EM and China Continue to Bottom; Buys in Comms, Tech, Discretionary, Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact $ACWI; EM and China Continue to Lead; U.S. Dollar (DXY), WTI Crude Oil, and Gasoline Prices Rolling Over; Buys in: Comms,...

Vermilion Research

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:PDD US/SHEIN/AMZN US/TCOM US/3690 HK/ ATAT US/700 HK

​Temu allows brand merchants on platform, visa-free policy extended for 12 countries, limited skins boost grossing rankings for League of Legends:...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATATUS/TCOMUS/1211HK/LIUS/NIO US/XPEVUS/1810HK/300274SZ/300750 SZ/BEKEUS

​International hotel group cautious on China, EV sales strong in April with NIO benefiting, Tesla's Shanghai gigafactory approved for energy...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:TCOM US /3690 HK /ATAT US/700 HK/BABA US/JD US/PDD US/2618 HK/Douyin

​Domestic tourism strong but outbound tourism weak during 5.1 holiday; Tencent's new mobile game to undergo public testing next week; MOFCOM...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:TCOM US/ATAT US/METAUS/MSFTUS /GOOGLUS /SNAPUS/3690HK/NTESUS/SHEINUS

rainfall will impact travel during Labor Day. Meituan expand into the Middle East Riyadh. NPPA released the game code. SHEIN designated asVLOP....

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Temu allows brand merchants on platform, visa-free policy extended for 12 countries, limited skins boost grossing rankings for League of Legends:...

International hotel group cautious on China, EV sales strong in April with NIO benefiting, Tesla's Shanghai gigafactory approved for energy...

Domestic tourism strong but outbound tourism weak during 5.1 holiday; Tencent's new mobile game to undergo public testing next week; MOFCOM...