Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities, Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Research

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities

Leading, full-service investment firm in Thailand

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Securities is a well known securities company with 40 years experience in the industry, serving more than 60,000 clients. We offer one - stop service providing full range of financial products and services including extensive Brokerage, Proprietary Trading (Equities and Bonds), Advisory Services, Structured Products.

Moreover, our new research team tailored for institutional clients to focus on mid to small cap of Thai equities and trading strategies. Our services offered to our premium clients also include arrangement of company or site visits to with the managements of Thai listed companies.

Note: Effective on 1 March 2022, Country Group Securities PCL changed its name to Pi Securities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Conference call came with positive tone on 22E performance. Upgrade to HOLD rating with TP of Bt5.09 based on the tender offer price under the DTAC merger. However</li>
<li>TRUE’s stock price crashed yesterday as investors have sold on fact of merger progress. We will revise our forecast once management of TRUE reveals detailed plans regarding the merger.</li>
<li>Maintain our 22E forecast that TRUE will not be profitable, despite improvements. TRUE’s management expects to turn a profit in 2022. However, we do not believe that the revenue growth</li>
</ul>


Conference call came with positive tone on 22E performance. Upgrade to HOLD rating with TP of Bt5.09 based on the tender offer price under the DTAC merger. However
TRUE’s stock price crashed yesterday as investors have sold on fact of merger progress. We will revise our forecast once management of TRUE reveals detailed plans regarding the merger.
Maintain our 22E forecast that TRUE will not be profitable, despite improvements. TRUE’s management expects to turn a profit in 2022. However, we do not believe that the revenue growth


TRUE: 22E Net Profit Will Continue to Be at a Loss, Despite Management’s View

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are currently 43 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>One new deal this week: the unconditional Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hock-seng-lee-berhad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19887:1" rel="noopener">Hock Seng Lee (HSL MK)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/western-areas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15497:1" rel="noopener">Western Areas (WSA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-pharmaceutical-industries-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19399:1" rel="noopener">Australian Pharmaceutical Industries (API AU)</a>, True/DTAC, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/g-j-steel-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14759:1" rel="noopener">G J Steel PCL (GJS TB)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are currently 43 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
One new deal this week: the unconditional Offer for Hock Seng Lee (HSL MK).
Key updates took place for: Crown Resorts (CWN AU), Western Areas (WSA AU), Australian Pharmaceutical Industries (API AU), True/DTAC, and G J Steel PCL (GJS TB).


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Crown Resorts, GJ Steel, Western Areas, Aussie Pharma, DTAC/True

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng announced the results of the March rebalance post market close Friday. Two adds for the HSI, one set of changes for HSCEI, three sets for HSTECH.</li>
<li>An ad hoc rebalance was announced for the KOSDAQ150 following Osstem being designated an 'Administrative Issue'. In IPO world, we have LIC in India and SBI Sumishin NetBank coming up.</li>
<li>Friday was the review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the ASX200 Index. The ATO has provided Aventus with the tax ruling and that creates a timing issue.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng announced the results of the March rebalance post market close Friday. Two adds for the HSI, one set of changes for HSCEI, three sets for HSTECH.
An ad hoc rebalance was announced for the KOSDAQ150 following Osstem being designated an 'Administrative Issue'. In IPO world, we have LIC in India and SBI Sumishin NetBank coming up.
Friday was the review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the ASX200 Index. The ATO has provided Aventus with the tax ruling and that creates a timing issue.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, S&P/ASX, SET50, LIC, SBI Sumishin, Crown

<ul>
<li>The market cap review period for the June rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> starts in a couple of weeks.</li>
<li>Using the last close, we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jmt-network-services-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8581:1" rel="noopener">JMT Network Services (JMT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bangkok-life-assurance-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16237:1" rel="noopener">Bangkok Life Assurance (BLA)</a> as potential inclusions, replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ratch-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15338:1" rel="noopener">Ratch Group PCL (RATCH TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kce-electronics-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1892:1" rel="noopener">KCE Electronics PCL (KCE TB)</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ratch-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15338:1" rel="noopener">Ratch Group PCL</a> is the lowest ranked index constituent and needs to move 15% higher to avoid deletion. Passive trackers will need to sell nearly 4 days of ADV.</li>
</ul>


The market cap review period for the June rebalance of the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) starts in a couple of weeks.
Using the last close, we see JMT Network Services (JMT) and Bangkok Life Assurance (BLA) as potential inclusions, replacing Ratch Group PCL (RATCH TB) and KCE Electronics PCL (KCE TB).

Ratch Group PCL is the lowest ranked index constituent and needs to move 15% higher to avoid deletion. Passive trackers will need to sell nearly 4 days of ADV.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview (June): Two Changes, Maybe Three

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are currently 46  - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Three new deals this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nagoya-railroad-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8652:1" rel="noopener">Nagoya Railroad (9048 JP)</a> buying <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meitetsu-transport-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1475:1" rel="noopener">Meitetsu Transport (9077 JP)</a>; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hakuhodo-dy-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8736:1" rel="noopener">Hakuhodo Dy (2433 JP)</a>'s Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/soldout-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35570:1" rel="noopener">SoldOut (6553 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/i-o-data-device-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13393:1" rel="noopener">I O Data Device (6916 JP)</a>'s MBO. </li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/senex-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18390:1" rel="noopener">Senex Energy (SXY AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mesco-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16253:1" rel="noopener">Mesco Inc (1737 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are currently 46  - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Three new deals this week: Nagoya Railroad (9048 JP) buying Meitetsu Transport (9077 JP); Hakuhodo Dy (2433 JP)'s Offer for SoldOut (6553 JP), I O Data Device (6916 JP)'s MBO. 
Key updates took place for: Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP), Senex Energy (SXY AU), Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), Mesco Inc (1737 JP), Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP).


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Mapletree, Senex, Shinsei Bank, Mesco, Singapore Press Holdings

Thailand

True Corporation PCL is an integrated telecommunications provider. The Company offers a wide range of voice, video, and data services, including dial-up and broadband Internet services, pay television, fixed-line phone, online games, and mobile phone services.

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True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB)

TRUE: 22E Net Profit Will Continue to Be at a Loss, Despite Management’s View

Conference call came with positive tone on 22E performance. Upgrade to HOLD rating with TP of Bt5.09 based on the tender offer price under the DTAC...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Crown Resorts, GJ Steel, Western Areas, Aussie Pharma, DTAC/True

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, S&P/ASX, SET50, LIC, SBI Sumishin, Crown

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview (June): Two Changes, Maybe Three

JMT and BLA could replace RATCH and KCE in the SET50 index at the June rebalance. There could be an adhoc change if the DTAC/TRUE merger is...

Brian Freitas

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Mapletree, Senex, Shinsei Bank, Mesco, Singapore Press Holdings

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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