Equity Long-Short

Mo Aziz

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tuhu sets up operations in Malaysia, its first overseas expansion outside of Greater China.</li>
<li>We think Tuhu can dominate the market within 3-4 years, as there are no local establishments that can match its infrastructure, know-how, and capital base. </li>
<li>Fair value of HKD23 implies 22x FY26 PE - average for US peers. A bargain with 3-year CAGR of 30%, net cash, and churns high free cash flow.</li>
</ul>


Tuhu sets up operations in Malaysia, its first overseas expansion outside of Greater China.
We think Tuhu can dominate the market within 3-4 years, as there are no local establishments that can match its infrastructure, know-how, and capital base. 
Fair value of HKD23 implies 22x FY26 PE - average for US peers. A bargain with 3-year CAGR of 30%, net cash, and churns high free cash flow.


Tuhu Car (9690 HK | BUY | TP:HKD23): Tuhu Goes International, the Next Engine of Growth

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 28th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma, Innovent Bio, Minimax, Kuaishou, Ping An.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 28th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma, Innovent Bio, Minimax, Kuaishou, Ping An.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 28th): Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma, Minimax

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Aug 28th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK), Link Reit (823 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Link Reit (823 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Aug 28th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK), Link Reit (823 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Link Reit (823 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Aug 28th): Tencent, Kuaishou, Link Reit, J&T Express, Tuhu Car

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the final rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs for the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We do not expect any changes for the HSTECH index in December 2024. However, we expect there to be capping flows of US$1,079mn one-way.</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.
In this insight, we take a look at the final rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs for the December 2024 index rebal event.
We do not expect any changes for the HSTECH index in December 2024. However, we expect there to be capping flows of US$1,079mn one-way.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Dec 24: Midea Group Question Mark and Final Rankings for Exp ADDs/DELs

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tuhu-car-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36012:1" rel="noopener">Tuhu Car (9690 HK)</a> is poised to capture the lion share of China's automotive aftersales service industry that is forecasted to grow at 7.3% CAGR from 2023:30. </li>
<li>Tuhu is on an inflection of high earnings growth (+30% CAGR) as it has reached scalability, cost efficiency, and its younger shops are maturing profitably.    </li>
<li>Our fair value of HKD24 implies 25x FY25 PE - average for US peers. A bargain with 3-year CAGR of 30%, net cash, and churns high free cash flow.</li>
</ul>



Tuhu Car (9690 HK) is poised to capture the lion share of China's automotive aftersales service industry that is forecasted to grow at 7.3% CAGR from 2023:30. 
Tuhu is on an inflection of high earnings growth (+30% CAGR) as it has reached scalability, cost efficiency, and its younger shops are maturing profitably.    
Our fair value of HKD24 implies 25x FY25 PE - average for US peers. A bargain with 3-year CAGR of 30%, net cash, and churns high free cash flow.


Tuhu Car (9690 HK | BUY | TP:HKD24): Poised to Capture China's Auto Aftersales Service Market

China

Tuhu Car operates as an integrated online and offline platform for automotive services in China. The company offers a wide range of products and services, including tires, chassis parts, auto maintenance, repair, car detailing, and auto accessories, along with advertising, franchise, and SaaS solutions. Tuhu Car was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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Tuhu Car (9690 HK)

Tuhu Car (9690 HK | BUY | TP:HKD23): Tuhu Goes International, the Next Engine of Growth

Tuhu expands to Malaysia, poised to dominate market with strong infrastructure and growth potential, offering a bargain investment opportunity.

Mo Aziz

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 28th): Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma, Minimax

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Aug 28th): Tencent, Kuaishou, Link Reit, J&T Express, Tuhu Car

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Dec 24: Midea Group Question Mark and Final Rankings for Exp ADDs/DELs

Our current estimate of US$1,079mn one-way capping flow translates to a turnover of 4.4%. The final capping flows will be decided based on the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Tuhu Car (9690 HK | BUY | TP:HKD24): Poised to Capture China's Auto Aftersales Service Market

Tuhu Car (9690 HK) set to dominate China's automotive aftersales industry with high earnings growth potential and attractive valuation.

Mo Aziz

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tuhu Car (9690 HK | BUY | TP:HKD23): Tuhu Goes International, the Next Engine of Growth

​Tuhu expands to Malaysia, poised to dominate market with strong infrastructure and growth potential, offering a bargain investment opportunity.

Mo Aziz

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 28th): Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma, Minimax

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Aug 28th): Tencent, Kuaishou, Link Reit, J&T Express, Tuhu Car

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Dec 24: Midea Group Question Mark and Final Rankings for Exp ADDs/DELs

Our current estimate of US$1,079mn one-way capping flow translates to a turnover of 4.4%. The final capping flows will be decided based on the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Tuhu Car (9690 HK | BUY | TP:HKD24): Poised to Capture China's Auto Aftersales Service Market

​Tuhu Car (9690 HK) set to dominate China's automotive aftersales industry with high earnings growth potential and attractive valuation.

Mo Aziz

Tuhu expands to Malaysia, poised to dominate market with strong infrastructure and growth potential, offering a bargain investment opportunity.

Tuhu Car (9690 HK) set to dominate China's automotive aftersales industry with high earnings growth potential and attractive valuation.