Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dechra-pharmaceuticals-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21908:1" rel="noopener">Dechra Pharmaceuticals (DPH LN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/network-international-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28918:1" rel="noopener">Network International Holdings (NETW LN)</a> are currently involved in takeover situations. When those deals close, intra-review changes can be triggered.</li>
<li>Including these changes, there could be up to one F100 change and seven F250 changes between now and the end of the year.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2023 Rebalance.

Dechra Pharmaceuticals (DPH LN) and Network International Holdings (NETW LN) are currently involved in takeover situations. When those deals close, intra-review changes can be triggered.
Including these changes, there could be up to one F100 change and seven F250 changes between now and the end of the year.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Dec 23: ~7 Changes Possible; LONG Playtech SHORT 888 Interesting

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>There could be a couple of intra-review changes in the next 2-3 months but the intra-review replacement names could depend on the timing of these changes.</li>
<li>Separately, I see one regular ADD and DELETE for F250 in December 2023 but many names are close to the border and index change expectations could change if prices fluctuate.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2023 Rebalance.
There could be a couple of intra-review changes in the next 2-3 months but the intra-review replacement names could depend on the timing of these changes.
Separately, I see one regular ADD and DELETE for F250 in December 2023 but many names are close to the border and index change expectations could change if prices fluctuate.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Dec 23: Dechra, Network International, and Other Potential Changes

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Empiric Student Property / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's final predictions for index changes for the  F100 and F250 indices for the June 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>The index changes are likely to be confirmed after market close today.</li>
<li>We expect one change for the F100 index and six changes for the F250 index.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's final predictions for index changes for the  F100 and F250 indices for the June 2023 Rebalance.
The index changes are likely to be confirmed after market close today.
We expect one change for the F100 index and six changes for the F250 index.


Quiddity Final Thoughts for F100/​250 June 23: Multiple High-Impact Changes Likely

European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The NewMed/Capricorn reverse takeover should be approved at an EGM. Investors opposing the deal (mainly event-driven funds) hold in aggregate at least c. 33.6% of cash-rich Capricorn. </li>
<li>The approval threshold is 50% (vs. 75% in Tullow's merger), which should favour the approval. But the +6.9% spread (as of 28 November), reveals it'll be challenging.</li>
<li>First Tullow sought CNE's cash pile, now NewMed seeks CNE's Middle East assets and a coveted London listing. Unless NewMed sweetens the terms, this deal may not happen either.</li>
</ul>


The NewMed/Capricorn reverse takeover should be approved at an EGM. Investors opposing the deal (mainly event-driven funds) hold in aggregate at least c. 33.6% of cash-rich Capricorn. 
The approval threshold is 50% (vs. 75% in Tullow's merger), which should favour the approval. But the +6.9% spread (as of 28 November), reveals it'll be challenging.
First Tullow sought CNE's cash pile, now NewMed seeks CNE's Middle East assets and a coveted London listing. Unless NewMed sweetens the terms, this deal may not happen either.


NewMed Energy/​Capricorn: Positive Spread

<ul>
<li>Capricorn Energy withdrew the recommendation to merge with Tullow to instead merge with NewMed Energy LP thorugh a reverse takeover  to create one of the largest European E&amp;P companies.</li>
<li>Capricorn shareholders will receive an upfront dividend and a residual interest in a MENA gas champion (which, unlike Tullow, does not need Capricorn's large cash balance to develop fields).</li>
<li>The deal offers certainty for Capricorn's shareholders. Chances to complete are high. Gross spread is 5.8%. Long Capricorn or setting up the spread (but NewMed is not massively liquid).</li>
</ul>


Capricorn Energy withdrew the recommendation to merge with Tullow to instead merge with NewMed Energy LP thorugh a reverse takeover  to create one of the largest European E&amp;P companies.
Capricorn shareholders will receive an upfront dividend and a residual interest in a MENA gas champion (which, unlike Tullow, does not need Capricorn's large cash balance to develop fields).
The deal offers certainty for Capricorn's shareholders. Chances to complete are high. Gross spread is 5.8%. Long Capricorn or setting up the spread (but NewMed is not massively liquid).


NewMed Energy/Capricorn: Agreed Reverse Takeover, Bye Bye Tullow

United Kingdom

Tullow Oil is an independent upstream oil and gas company focused on exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas, primarily in Africa. It has core producing assets offshore Ghana, including the Jubilee and TEN fields. The company is headquartered in London, United Kingdom, and was founded in 1985.

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Tullow Oil (TLW LN)

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Dec 23: ~7 Changes Possible; LONG Playtech SHORT 888 Interesting

The top 7 F250 Potential ADDs currently have ~10 days of volume to buy and up to a couple of these names could be added on an intra-review basis...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Dec 23: Dechra, Network International, and Other Potential Changes

Tullow Oil, Kier Group, and AO world are currently the top 3 F250 potential ADDs. Alfa Financial, ASOS, and XP power are next in line. There could...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Final Thoughts for F100/250 June 23: Multiple High-Impact Changes Likely

The F100 and F250 data cutoff has passed. The announcement of changes should come today after the London close. We see multiple high-impact...

Travis Lundy

NewMed Energy/Capricorn: Positive Spread

Althugh the terms were greatly improved vs. the failed Tullow berger, top shareholders have spoken out against the sale to NewMed and argue that...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

NewMed Energy/Capricorn: Agreed Reverse Takeover, Bye Bye Tullow

With the announcement of the combination with Tullow, Capricorn put itself up for sale. The deal with NewMed provides arguably more security to...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

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Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Dec 23: ~7 Changes Possible; LONG Playtech SHORT 888 Interesting

The top 7 F250 Potential ADDs currently have ~10 days of volume to buy and up to a couple of these names could be added on an intra-review basis...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Dec 23: Dechra, Network International, and Other Potential Changes

Tullow Oil, Kier Group, and AO world are currently the top 3 F250 potential ADDs. Alfa Financial, ASOS, and XP power are next in line. There could...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Final Thoughts for F100/​250 June 23: Multiple High-Impact Changes Likely

The F100 and F250 data cutoff has passed. The announcement of changes should come today after the London close. We see multiple high-impact...

Travis Lundy

NewMed Energy/​Capricorn: Positive Spread

Althugh the terms were greatly improved vs. the failed Tullow berger, top shareholders have spoken out against the sale to NewMed and argue that...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

NewMed Energy/Capricorn: Agreed Reverse Takeover, Bye Bye Tullow

With the announcement of the combination with Tullow, Capricorn put itself up for sale. The deal with NewMed provides arguably more security to...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Dec 23: ~7 Changes Possible; LONG Playtech SHORT 888 Interesting

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Dec 23: Dechra, Network International, and Other Potential Changes

Quiddity Final Thoughts for F100/250 June 23: Multiple High-Impact Changes Likely

NewMed Energy/Capricorn: Positive Spread