External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In Q3, while 2W demand failed to pick up even in the festive season, PV, tractor and CV demand remained healthy</li><li>Supply chain constraints for major OEMs seem to have eased QoQ.</li><li>Export demand continues to be weak, given the geopolitical tensions</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

In Q3, while 2W demand failed to pick up even in the festive season, PV, tractor and CV demand remained healthySupply chain constraints for major OEMs seem to have eased QoQ.Export demand continues to be weak, given the geopolitical tensionsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Autos (Q3FY23 Results Preview): CVs could outperform in Q3

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT of Auto OEMs to grow at 17%/39%/45% YoY in Q3FY23.</li><li>However, we expect Auto OEMs to post de-growth of 6%/1.5%/2.3% on a sequential basis, which would be led by volume de-growth as OEM’s wholesale volumes declined in Dec’22 post-festive season due to the normalization of channel inventories.</li><li>On the other hand, EBITDA margins are expected to expand both YoY/QoQ led by price hikes taken in the quarter, RM tailwinds, and FX benefits. Exports for 2W Auto OEMs continue to remain weak.</li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT of Auto OEMs to grow at 17%/39%/45% YoY in Q3FY23.However, we expect Auto OEMs to post de-growth of 6%/1.5%/2.3% on a sequential basis, which would be led by volume de-growth as OEM’s wholesale volumes declined in Dec’22 post-festive season due to the normalization of channel inventories.On the other hand, EBITDA margins are expected to expand both YoY/QoQ led by price hikes taken in the quarter, RM tailwinds, and FX benefits. Exports for 2W Auto OEMs continue to remain weak.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto Q3FY23 Preview - Margin Recovery Likely in Q3

<ul><li>We expect the Q3FY23 earnings season is likely to be a mixed bag.</li><li>While the season will be led by sequential margin expansion driven by moderation in commodity prices and an uptick in credit growth, the export-oriented themes are likely to be laggards.</li><li>We believe the broad-based earnings momentum which remained robust for multiple quarters is likely to take a brief pause in Q3FY23. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We expect the Q3FY23 earnings season is likely to be a mixed bag.While the season will be led by sequential margin expansion driven by moderation in commodity prices and an uptick in credit growth, the export-oriented themes are likely to be laggards.We believe the broad-based earnings momentum which remained robust for multiple quarters is likely to take a brief pause in Q3FY23. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>The domestic CV wholesales registered positive sales momentum as it posted growth of 21%/18% YoY/MoM in Dec’22, driven by the pick-up in infrastructure spending and replacement demand by fleet operators.</li><li>Tractors demand continues to surprise positively with 28% YoY growth, primarily led by positive agri-sentiments.</li><li>The domestic PV wholesale volumes grew 8% YoY but declined 15% MoM on maintenance shutdown by most OEMs, non availability of semi-conductors for some models, and lower demand for entry-level segment vehicles.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

The domestic CV wholesales registered positive sales momentum as it posted growth of 21%/18% YoY/MoM in Dec’22, driven by the pick-up in infrastructure spending and replacement demand by fleet operators.Tractors demand continues to surprise positively with 28% YoY growth, primarily led by positive agri-sentiments.The domestic PV wholesale volumes grew 8% YoY but declined 15% MoM on maintenance shutdown by most OEMs, non availability of semi-conductors for some models, and lower demand for entry-level segment vehicles.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Automotive Industry - Robust CVs & Tractor Demand

<ul><li>SRF: We retain our ADD rating on SRF, with a target price of INR 2,650 on the back of (1) continued healthy performance from speciality chemicals business; (2) strong balance sheet; and (3) deployment of capex for high-growth speciality chemicals business over the next 3-4 years to tap opportunities emerging from the agrochemical and pharma industries</li><li>EBITDA/APAT were 24/24% below our estimates, owing to a 7% fall in revenue, substantially higher-than-expected raw material cost, offset by lower-than-expected depreciation and higher-than-expected other income. Marico: Marico posted an in-line performance on both revenue and EBITDA margin</li><li>Consolidated revenue was up 3% YoY while domestic revenue/volume were up 1/3% YoY (three-year revenue/volume CAGRs at 11/7% vs HUL’s 10/3%)</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

SRF: We retain our ADD rating on SRF, with a target price of INR 2,650 on the back of (1) continued healthy performance from speciality chemicals business; (2) strong balance sheet; and (3) deployment of capex for high-growth speciality chemicals business over the next 3-4 years to tap opportunities emerging from the agrochemical and pharma industriesEBITDA/APAT were 24/24% below our estimates, owing to a 7% fall in revenue, substantially higher-than-expected raw material cost, offset by lower-than-expected depreciation and higher-than-expected other income. Marico: Marico posted an in-line performance on both revenue and EBITDA marginConsolidated revenue was up 3% YoY while domestic revenue/volume were up 1/3% YoY (three-year revenue/volume CAGRs at 11/7% vs HUL’s 10/3%)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: SRF, Marico, TVS Motor, Hero Motocorp, City Union Bank

India

TVS Motor Company is an Indian multinational manufacturer of two-wheelers and three-wheelers, including motorcycles, scooters, mopeds, and electric vehicles. The company also offers financial services, insurance, and vehicle repairs. It is headquartered in Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India, and was founded in 1978.

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TVS Motor Company (TVSL IN)

Autos (Q3FY23 Results Preview): CVs could outperform in Q3

In Q3, while 2W demand failed to pick up even in the festive season, PV, tractor and CV demand remained healthySupply chain constraints for major...

HDFC Securities

Auto Q3FY23 Preview - Margin Recovery Likely in Q3

We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT of Auto OEMs to grow at 17%/39%/45% YoY in Q3FY23. However, we expect Auto OEMs to post de-growth of 6%/1.5%/2.3% on a...

Axis Direct

Q3fy23 Preview: Margins Likely to Expand

We believe the broad-based earnings momentum which remained robust for multiple quarters is likely to take a brief pause in Q3FY23.

Axis Direct

Automotive Industry - Robust CVs & Tractor Demand

The domestic CV wholesales registered positive sales momentum as it posted growth of 21%/18% YoY/MoM in Dec’22, driven by the pick-up in...

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: SRF, Marico, TVS Motor, Hero Motocorp, City Union Bank

Consolidated revenue was up 3% YoY while domestic revenue/volume were up 1/3% YoY (three-year revenue/volume CAGRs at 11/7% vs HUL’s 10/3%)

HDFC Securities

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