Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The global auto industry faces significant tariff exposure. Option implied volatility offers a forward-looking assessment of risk.</li>
<li>Chinese car makers started to increase in implied volatility more than the other markets at the beginning of February. They now show the highest risk.</li>
<li>Recent implied volatility trends, asymmetric pricing (skew), and the term structure all seem to indicate that the Indian auto sector is the least exposed to international trade relations.</li>
</ul>


The global auto industry faces significant tariff exposure. Option implied volatility offers a forward-looking assessment of risk.
Chinese car makers started to increase in implied volatility more than the other markets at the beginning of February. They now show the highest risk.
Recent implied volatility trends, asymmetric pricing (skew), and the term structure all seem to indicate that the Indian auto sector is the least exposed to international trade relations.


EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>VAHAN data till May 2026 shows a sharp decline from the January peak across the 2W segment, with May volumes weak for most OEMs.</li>
<li>The trend shows clear divergence: TVS and Bajaj are holding share, Royal Enfield is losing rank, Ola Electric is recovering, and luxury 2Ws are weakening.</li>
<li>EV 2W penetration is only 2.89%, but 45.5% growth from January to April shows faster base-building. The 3xAther-Ola gap is the key EV signal.</li>
</ul>


VAHAN data till May 2026 shows a sharp decline from the January peak across the 2W segment, with May volumes weak for most OEMs.
The trend shows clear divergence: TVS and Bajaj are holding share, Royal Enfield is losing rank, Ola Electric is recovering, and luxury 2Ws are weakening.
EV 2W penetration is only 2.89%, but 45.5% growth from January to April shows faster base-building. The 3xAther-Ola gap is the key EV signal.


Auto Tracker: VAHAN Dashboard Points to a Softer Cycle in India

<ul>
<li>China’s April 2025 rare earth curbs and API supply gaps have strengthened India’s role in specialty chemicals, pharma ingredients, solar modules, and EV components.</li>
<li>Indian players are winning multi-year contracts as global buyers diversify from China. PLI schemes, rare earth incentives, and DCR rules are adding policy support.</li>
<li>
Waaree Energies, Divi’s Laboratories, and PI Industries offer differentiated exposure, with earnings visibility likely extending toFY28. This note maps the opportunity and its limits.</li>
</ul>


China’s April 2025 rare earth curbs and API supply gaps have strengthened India’s role in specialty chemicals, pharma ingredients, solar modules, and EV components.
Indian players are winning multi-year contracts as global buyers diversify from China. PLI schemes, rare earth incentives, and DCR rules are adding policy support.

Waaree Energies, Divi’s Laboratories, and PI Industries offer differentiated exposure, with earnings visibility likely extending toFY28. This note maps the opportunity and its limits.


China’s Supply Chain Squeeze: Mapping India’s Opportunity Across Four Critical Sectors

<ul>
<li>Indian two-wheeler OEMs have lined up roughly 11,000 crore of capex across ICE, EV, scooters, exports and premium capacity.</li>
<li>This is a demand-confidence signal after FY26 domestic two-wheeler sales rose 10.7% to 2.17 crore units.</li>
<li>The capex cycle favors disciplined scale, localization and mix improvement, but utilization and pricing power will decide returns.</li>
</ul>


Indian two-wheeler OEMs have lined up roughly 11,000 crore of capex across ICE, EV, scooters, exports and premium capacity.
This is a demand-confidence signal after FY26 domestic two-wheeler sales rose 10.7% to 2.17 crore units.
The capex cycle favors disciplined scale, localization and mix improvement, but utilization and pricing power will decide returns.


India’s 2W Industry Expansion: ₹11,000 Crore Capex- Who Is Doing What?

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Sree Capital

Sreemant Dudhoria

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Fundamental Research on Listed Indian Companies

Sree Capital

Sree Capital is a platform to share fundamental research on listed Indian companies. We do this research for our own investment

Equity Bottom-Up

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We compile our selection of companies across Japan, China &amp; India based on bottom-up triggers in each company.</li>
<li>This is a mid-quarter update on companies as most companies will be announcing their September quarter results in next 45 days.</li>
<li>Based on these new results and guidance, we will update the list of top ideas accordingly.</li>
</ul>


We compile our selection of companies across Japan, China &amp; India based on bottom-up triggers in each company.
This is a mid-quarter update on companies as most companies will be announcing their September quarter results in next 45 days.
Based on these new results and guidance, we will update the list of top ideas accordingly.


Shortlist of High-Conviction Ideas Across Japan, China & India – September 2026

India

TVS Motor Company is an Indian multinational manufacturer of two-wheelers and three-wheelers, including motorcycles, scooters, mopeds, and electric vehicles. The company also offers financial services, insurance, and vehicle repairs. It is headquartered in Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India, and was founded in 1978.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

TVS Motor Company (TVSL IN)

EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...

Gaudenz Schneider

Auto Tracker: VAHAN Dashboard Points to a Softer Cycle in India

VAHAN data reveals declining 2W segment volumes in May 2026, with TVS and Bajaj holding share while Royal Enfield loses rank. EV 2W penetration at...

Sudarshan Bhandari

China’s Supply Chain Squeeze: Mapping India’s Opportunity Across Four Critical Sectors

China's rare earth curbs boost India's role in specialty chemicals, pharma, solar, and EV components. Indian firms secure contracts with policy...

Sudarshan Bhandari

India’s 2W Industry Expansion: ₹11,000 Crore Capex- Who Is Doing What?

Indian two-wheeler OEMs are investing heavily in capex across various segments to meet growing demand, with a focus on scale, localization, and...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Shortlist of High-Conviction Ideas Across Japan, China & India – September 2026

Strong Sales Volume for Maruti Suzuki in the month of September'26 - 236,013 units vs 189,665 units (24% YoY); Similarly for Ashok Leyland its 28%...

Sreemant Dudhoria

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

​Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...

Gaudenz Schneider

Auto Tracker: VAHAN Dashboard Points to a Softer Cycle in India

​VAHAN data reveals declining 2W segment volumes in May 2026, with TVS and Bajaj holding share while Royal Enfield loses rank. EV 2W penetration at...

Sudarshan Bhandari

China’s Supply Chain Squeeze: Mapping India’s Opportunity Across Four Critical Sectors

​China's rare earth curbs boost India's role in specialty chemicals, pharma, solar, and EV components. Indian firms secure contracts with policy...

Sudarshan Bhandari

India’s 2W Industry Expansion: ₹11,000 Crore Capex- Who Is Doing What?

​Indian two-wheeler OEMs are investing heavily in capex across various segments to meet growing demand, with a focus on scale, localization, and...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Shortlist of High-Conviction Ideas Across Japan, China & India – September 2026

Strong Sales Volume for Maruti Suzuki in the month of September'26 - 236,013 units vs 189,665 units (24% YoY); Similarly for Ashok Leyland its 28%...

Sreemant Dudhoria

Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...

VAHAN data reveals declining 2W segment volumes in May 2026, with TVS and Bajaj holding share while Royal Enfield loses rank. EV 2W penetration at...

China's rare earth curbs boost India's role in specialty chemicals, pharma, solar, and EV components. Indian firms secure contracts with policy...

Indian two-wheeler OEMs are investing heavily in capex across various segments to meet growing demand, with a focus on scale, localization, and...