Index Rebalance and Special Situations Coverage, Quiddity Advisors

Anjana Amarasuriya

Index Rebalance and Special Situations Coverage

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The SP 500 index tracks the 500 largest (mostly profitable) US-listed names and is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.</li>
<li>A spin-off completes next week, and the new company's entry into the SP 500 is expected to trigger an intra-review deletion.</li>
<li>We expect two ADDs and two DELs at the December 2026 rebalance, and two M&amp;A deals could trigger intra-review ADDs before that.</li>
</ul>


The SP 500 index tracks the 500 largest (mostly profitable) US-listed names and is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
A spin-off completes next week, and the new company's entry into the SP 500 is expected to trigger an intra-review deletion.
We expect two ADDs and two DELs at the December 2026 rebalance, and two M&amp;A deals could trigger intra-review ADDs before that.


Quiddity Leaderboard SP500/600 Dec26 Rebal: Two M&A Deals Pending; One Spin-Off ADD Imminent

<ul>
<li>The SP Select Sector indices are a family of 11 sector-specific indices derived from the SP 500 index based on GICS (Global Industry Classification Standard) classifications.</li>
<li>Intra-Review changes from two M&amp;A deals and a spin-off could trigger Select Sector flows before the December 2026 rebalance.</li>
<li>We expect one-way flows of ~US$7bn across the Select Sector indices, which should grow as the December 2026 rebalance approaches.</li>
</ul>


The SP Select Sector indices are a family of 11 sector-specific indices derived from the SP 500 index based on GICS (Global Industry Classification Standard) classifications.
Intra-Review changes from two M&amp;A deals and a spin-off could trigger Select Sector flows before the December 2026 rebalance.
We expect one-way flows of ~US$7bn across the Select Sector indices, which should grow as the December 2026 rebalance approaches.


Quiddity Leaderboard SP Select Sector Dec26 Rebal: ~US$7bn One-Way Flow, Expected To Grow

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>After witnessing a parabolic advance at the beginning of the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle in early 2022, the US dollar has decisely break down below prior weekly support levels in a large bearish engulfing candle last week.</li><li>This breakdown can serve as a tailwind for multi-nationals (especially technology names), commodities, emerging markets, treasuries, and cryptos.</li><li>The dollar is now sitting at a 15 month low. This decline may not be over as the MACD indicator is now crossing down.</li></ul>

After witnessing a parabolic advance at the beginning of the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle in early 2022, the US dollar has decisely break down below prior weekly support levels in a large bearish engulfing candle last week.This breakdown can serve as a tailwind for multi-nationals (especially technology names), commodities, emerging markets, treasuries, and cryptos.The dollar is now sitting at a 15 month low. This decline may not be over as the MACD indicator is now crossing down.

<ul>
<li>The SP Select Sector indices are a family of 11 sector-specific indices derived from the SP 500 index based on GICS (Global Industry Classification Standard) classifications.</li>
<li>The Technology Select Sector Index is the top sector with US$6.1 bn one-way flow. We expect one-way flow of ~US$14bn in September 2026 for the Select Sector indices in total.</li>
<li>There is, of course, an additional US$5bn for the SP500, $6bn for Equal Weight, and a large expected funding flow across TMI.</li>
</ul>


The SP Select Sector indices are a family of 11 sector-specific indices derived from the SP 500 index based on GICS (Global Industry Classification Standard) classifications.
The Technology Select Sector Index is the top sector with US$6.1 bn one-way flow. We expect one-way flow of ~US$14bn in September 2026 for the Select Sector indices in total.
There is, of course, an additional US$5bn for the SP500, $6bn for Equal Weight, and a large expected funding flow across TMI.


Quiddity Leaderboard SP Select Sector Sep26 Rebal: Over US$14bn One-Way Flow Expected

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

And just like that, the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq, and the Dow have reclaimed new highs despite ongoing coronavirus concerns, as a buy the dip strategy has paid off. Primarily responsible for new highs in these indexes is Technology (esp. software and semis/semi suppliers) and FAANG stocks. While these areas all remain bullish, we still have some reservations due to the massive disparity in performance between them and the Materials (XLB, XME) and Energy (RYE) Sectors, and also small-caps (IWM) which continue to hit new RS lows. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary and Financials: Homebuilding, Large-Cap, Casinos &amp; Gaming, Small-Cap, Asset Management &amp; Custody Banks, Large-Cap, and Investment Banking &amp; Brokerage, Small-Cap.

And just like that, the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq, and the Dow have reclaimed new highs despite ongoing coronavirus concerns, as a buy the dip strategy has paid off. Primarily responsible for new highs in these indexes is Technology (esp. software and semis/semi suppliers) and FAANG stocks. While these areas all remain bullish, we still have some reservations due to the massive disparity in performance between them and the Materials (XLB, XME) and Energy (RYE) Sectors, and also small-caps (IWM) which continue to hit new RS lows. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary and Financials: Homebuilding, Large-Cap, Casinos &amp; Gaming, Small-Cap, Asset Management &amp; Custody Banks, Large-Cap, and Investment Banking &amp; Brokerage, Small-Cap.

U.S. Equities: Still Bullish, With Reservations

United States

Twilio Inc. develops and publishes Internet infrastructure solutions. The Company offers cloud computing platform that allow web developers to integrate phone calls, Internet protocol voice communications, and text messages into web, mobile, and phone applications. Twilio serves customers worldwide.

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Twilio (TWLO US)

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Quiddity Leaderboard SP Select Sector Dec26 Rebal: ~US$7bn One-Way Flow, Expected To Grow

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Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 7/17

After witnessing a parabolic advance at the beginning of the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle in early 2022, the US dollar has decisely break...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Quiddity Leaderboard SP Select Sector Sep26 Rebal: Over US$14bn One-Way Flow Expected

Select Sector flows for the September 2026 SP 500 rebalance are ~US$14bn across 11 sectors, versus ~US$5bn in the SP 500 and ~US$6bn in SP 500...

Anjana Amarasuriya

U.S. Equities: Still Bullish, With Reservations

And just like that, the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and the Dow have reclaimed new highs despite ongoing coronavirus concerns, as a buy the dip strategy...

Vermilion Research

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