Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 285bn (US$8.75bn).</li>
<li>We forecast 8 changes a side at the December rebalance with an estimated one-way turnover of around 16% and a round-trip trade of around US$2.8bn.</li>
<li>An equal weighted basket of potential inclusions has outperformed an equal weighted basket of potential deletions since the start of July with most of the outperformance coming from September.</li>
</ul>


The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 285bn (US$8.75bn).
We forecast 8 changes a side at the December rebalance with an estimated one-way turnover of around 16% and a round-trip trade of around US$2.8bn.
An equal weighted basket of potential inclusions has outperformed an equal weighted basket of potential deletions since the start of July with most of the outperformance coming from September.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebalance Preview: US$2.8bn Trade as Adds Outperform

<ul>
<li>The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 284bn (US$8.7bn).</li>
<li>We forecast 8 changes a side at the December rebalance with an estimated one-way turnover of around 15.8% and a round-trip trade of around US$2.75bn.</li>
<li>An equal weighted basket of potential inclusions has outperformed an equal weighted basket of potential deletions since beginning September with a pick-up in pace over the last 2-3 weeks.</li>
</ul>


The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 284bn (US$8.7bn).
We forecast 8 changes a side at the December rebalance with an estimated one-way turnover of around 15.8% and a round-trip trade of around US$2.75bn.
An equal weighted basket of potential inclusions has outperformed an equal weighted basket of potential deletions since beginning September with a pick-up in pace over the last 2-3 weeks.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebalance Preview: 32% T/O; US$2.75bn Trade; HUGE Impact

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 1st which has an aggregated short interest worth USD68.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Wiwynn, Lite-On Tech, TSMC, Shihlin Elec&amp;Eng, Evergreen Marine, Lotus.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 1st which has an aggregated short interest worth USD68.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Wiwynn, Lite-On Tech, TSMC, Shihlin Elec&amp;Eng, Evergreen Marine, Lotus.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 1st): Wiwynn, Lite-On Tech, TSMC, Shihlin Elec&Eng, Evergreen Marine

Cheng Shin Rubber Ind Co., Ltd. / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 5 adds and 4 deletes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December with implementation taking place from 15-21 December.</li>
<li>The constituent changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 16.1% resulting in a one-way trade of US$1.26bn.</li>
<li>There will be positioning in a lot of the adds/deletes and the real action could be in the other stocks with capping and/or funding flows.</li>
</ul>


There are 5 adds and 4 deletes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December with implementation taking place from 15-21 December.
The constituent changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 16.1% resulting in a one-way trade of US$1.26bn.
There will be positioning in a lot of the adds/deletes and the real action could be in the other stocks with capping and/or funding flows.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: Changes Lead to Huge Turnover

<ul>
<li>The Yuanta/P-shares Dividend Plus ETF (0056 TT) started to rebalance its holdings on Friday and will continue to do so for the next 4 trading days.</li>
<li>Stocks with buy flows dropped 0.51% on average on Friday while the stocks with sell flows dropped 0.92%. On a flow weighted basis, the numbers were -0.21% vs -0.75%.</li>
<li>Since the start of November, the adds have outperformed the deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-stock-exchange-weighted-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26056:1" rel="noopener">TWSE INDEX</a>. There has been significant outperformance in just the last week.</li>
</ul>


The Yuanta/P-shares Dividend Plus ETF (0056 TT) started to rebalance its holdings on Friday and will continue to do so for the next 4 trading days.
Stocks with buy flows dropped 0.51% on average on Friday while the stocks with sell flows dropped 0.92%. On a flow weighted basis, the numbers were -0.21% vs -0.75%.
Since the start of November, the adds have outperformed the deletes and the TWSE INDEX. There has been significant outperformance in just the last week.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF: Day 1 Flows & Stock Moves

Taiwan

U-Ming Marine Transport Corporation operates in the tramp shipping business. The Company mainly ships bulk raw materials such as iron ore, coal, grains, and cement.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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U Ming Marine Transport Corp (2606 TT)

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebalance Preview: US$2.8bn Trade as Adds Outperform

We forecast 8 changes a side in December. Estimated one-way turnover is 16% with a round-trip trade of US$2.8bn. There is big impact on the stocks...

Brian Freitas

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebalance Preview: 32% T/O; US$2.75bn Trade; HUGE Impact

We forecast 8 changes a side in December. Estimated one-way turnover is 15.8% with a round-trip trade of US$2.75bn. The impact on the forecast...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 1st): Wiwynn, Lite-On Tech, TSMC, Shihlin Elec&Eng, Evergreen Marine

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Wiwynn, Lite-On Tech, TSMC, Shihlin Elec&Eng,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: Changes Lead to Huge Turnover

On average, the adds have outperformed the deletes by 5.2% since the announcement of the changes and by 1.12% since the start of the implementation...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF: Day 1 Flows & Stock Moves

The 0056 TT ETF started rebalancing on Friday and that will continue for the next 4 trading days. The adds have outperformed the deletes...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebalance Preview: US$2.8bn Trade as Adds Outperform

We forecast 8 changes a side in December. Estimated one-way turnover is 16% with a round-trip trade of US$2.8bn. There is big impact on the stocks...

Brian Freitas

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebalance Preview: 32% T/O; US$2.75bn Trade; HUGE Impact

We forecast 8 changes a side in December. Estimated one-way turnover is 15.8% with a round-trip trade of US$2.75bn. The impact on the forecast...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 1st): Wiwynn, Lite-On Tech, TSMC, Shihlin Elec&Eng, Evergreen Marine

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Wiwynn, Lite-On Tech, TSMC, Shihlin Elec&Eng,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: Changes Lead to Huge Turnover

On average, the adds have outperformed the deletes by 5.2% since the announcement of the changes and by 1.12% since the start of the implementation...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF: Day 1 Flows & Stock Moves

The 0056 TT ETF started rebalancing on Friday and that will continue for the next 4 trading days. The adds have outperformed the deletes...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: Changes Lead to Huge Turnover

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF: Day 1 Flows & Stock Moves