Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q423 revenue growth, core margins, and expense control all looked strong</li>
<li>Evolving revenue mix bodes well for long-term improvement in core margin</li>
<li>Buyback update &amp; Q124 guidance both +ive; appears cheap at 14x consensus</li>
</ul>


Q423 revenue growth, core margins, and expense control all looked strong
Evolving revenue mix bodes well for long-term improvement in core margin
Buyback update &amp; Q124 guidance both +ive; appears cheap at 14x consensus


Full Truck Alliance: Strong Q423 Results | Solid Q124 Guidance | Cheap at 14x Consensus '24 EPS

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In Aug 2022, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> completed the acquisition of 91% of Blinkit’s outstanding shares via issuing its own shares. These shares were released from their lockup in Aug 2023.</li>
<li>Leading to a selldown by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> in the same month, followed by another selldown in Oct 2023. Softbank will once again be released from its lockup soon.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and recent updates.</li>
</ul>


In Aug 2022, Zomato (ZOMATO IN) completed the acquisition of 91% of Blinkit’s outstanding shares via issuing its own shares. These shares were released from their lockup in Aug 2023.
Leading to a selldown by Softbank Group (9984 JP) in the same month, followed by another selldown in Oct 2023. Softbank will once again be released from its lockup soon.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and recent updates.


Zomato Lock-Up - Last of the Softbank Selldown

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab</a>'s 3Q2023 results demonstrate a high degree of success in achieving a delicate balance between growth and profitability, with significant progress across all verticals, and a  broadening of product offerings.</li>
<li>The company turned adjusted EBITDA breakeven for the first time in 3Q2023, through lower incentives, cost efficiencies, and lower regional corporate costs, with further progress towards FCF breakeven in 4Q2023.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab</a> remains confident about the outlook with guidance revised upwards, with the company looking at some potentially interesting M&amp;A, which should be earnings accretive and beneficial to the ecosystem. </li>
</ul>



Grab's 3Q2023 results demonstrate a high degree of success in achieving a delicate balance between growth and profitability, with significant progress across all verticals, and a  broadening of product offerings.
The company turned adjusted EBITDA breakeven for the first time in 3Q2023, through lower incentives, cost efficiencies, and lower regional corporate costs, with further progress towards FCF breakeven in 4Q2023.

Grab remains confident about the outlook with guidance revised upwards, with the company looking at some potentially interesting M&amp;A, which should be earnings accretive and beneficial to the ecosystem. 


Grab Holdings (GRAB US) - Steering and Batching Towards Profitability

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

<ul>
<li>Amazon announced a partnership with TKWY’s Grubhub where Amazon Prime members will get one year free of Grubhub+ membership.</li>
<li>Amazon has the option to take a 2% stake in Grubhub which could grow to 15% depending on performance conditions.</li>
<li>Deal is a direct shot at DoorDash's Dashpass subscription program, which is 30% of DASH's customers and accounts for ~50%? of GOV... expect a price cut to stave off churn.</li>
</ul>


Amazon announced a partnership with TKWY’s Grubhub where Amazon Prime members will get one year free of Grubhub+ membership.
Amazon has the option to take a 2% stake in Grubhub which could grow to 15% depending on performance conditions.
Deal is a direct shot at DoorDash's Dashpass subscription program, which is 30% of DASH's customers and accounts for ~50%? of GOV... expect a price cut to stave off churn.


Amazon’s Grubhub Deal Worse for DoorDash than Uber

<ul>
<li>Grab raised around US$4.5bn in its de-SPAC listing in Dec 2021. The shares are now trading around 68% below the listing price.</li>
<li>At the time of listing, all of its top investors were locked up for six months. The lock-up expires on 30th May 2022.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


Grab raised around US$4.5bn in its de-SPAC listing in Dec 2021. The shares are now trading around 68% below the listing price.
At the time of listing, all of its top investors were locked up for six months. The lock-up expires on 30th May 2022.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Grab IPO Lock-Up - Over 60% of the Stock Worth Nearly US$8bn Comes Free

United States

Uber Technologies Inc provides ride hailing services. The Company develops applications for road transportation, navigation, ride sharing, and payment processing solutions. Uber Technologies serves customers worldwide.

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Uber Technologies (UBER US)

Full Truck Alliance: Strong Q423 Results | Solid Q124 Guidance | Cheap at 14x Consensus '24 EPS

Strong Q4 results from Full Truck Alliance, and growth in all the right places. Guidance for Q1 suggests no slowdown in early '24, and shares are...

Tracking Traffic

Zomato Lock-Up - Last of the Softbank Selldown

In Aug 2022, Zomato completed the acquisition of 91% of Blinkit’s outstanding shares via issuing its own shares. This has led to two earlier...

Sumeet Singh

Grab Holdings (GRAB US) - Steering and Batching Towards Profitability

Grab remains confident on the outlook with guidance revised upwards, with the company looking at some potentially interesting M&A, which should be...

Angus Mackintosh

Amazon’s Grubhub Deal Worse for DoorDash than Uber

Amazon's deal with TKWY's Grubhub is great for Prime members... and not great for DoorDash investors, whose fledgling Dashpass subscription has...

Aaron Gabin

Grab IPO Lock-Up - Over 60% of the Stock Worth Nearly US$8bn Comes Free

Grab raised around US$4.5bn in its de-SPAC listing in Dec 2021. The shares are now trading around 68% below the listing price. The lockup release...

Sumeet Singh

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