Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The increase in the stock price over the last 3 months could result in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ubtech-robotics-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36469:1" rel="noopener">UBTech Robotics (9880 HK)</a> being added to a global index in November.</li>
<li>There is a fair amount to buy in the stock and cumulative excess volume has picked up since July. Short interest has dropped over the same period.</li>
<li>The recent drop in the stock price provides a better entry point for a short-term trade as positioning builds up ahead of the potential passive buying.</li>
</ul>


The increase in the stock price over the last 3 months could result in UBTech Robotics (9880 HK) being added to a global index in November.
There is a fair amount to buy in the stock and cumulative excess volume has picked up since July. Short interest has dropped over the same period.
The recent drop in the stock price provides a better entry point for a short-term trade as positioning builds up ahead of the potential passive buying.


UBTech Robotics (9880 HK): Global Index Inclusion Likely in November

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio beat the Hong Kong indexes in June and was flat to its benchmark with a loss of 6.98%.</li>
<li>The Hong Kong market experienced heavy selling in the second half of June, as both foreign and mainland investors reduced their exposure.</li>
<li>At the end of June, we sold positions in the electric utilities, technology, consumer, and property sectors. We added positions in the broker, biotech, telecom, and industrial sectors.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio beat the Hong Kong indexes in June and was flat to its benchmark with a loss of 6.98%.
The Hong Kong market experienced heavy selling in the second half of June, as both foreign and mainland investors reduced their exposure.
At the end of June, we sold positions in the electric utilities, technology, consumer, and property sectors. We added positions in the broker, biotech, telecom, and industrial sectors.


Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.</li>
<li>The market consultation results have been announced. All proposed changes will be adopted in full with two additional requirements to avoid low-liquidity and low-revenue names.</li>
<li>We expect 20 ADDs and no DELs in December 2026. We estimate one-way flow of around US$4bn with 11 expected ADDs having more than 3x ADV to buy.</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.
The market consultation results have been announced. All proposed changes will be adopted in full with two additional requirements to avoid low-liquidity and low-revenue names.
We expect 20 ADDs and no DELs in December 2026. We estimate one-way flow of around US$4bn with 11 expected ADDs having more than 3x ADV to buy.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Dec26: New Rules Confirmed with Some Modifications; Latest Expectations

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 9.7% in May, outperforming its benchmark by 10.57%.  The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 57% to 75% since its inception in 10/2024.</li>
<li>The portfolio has a Sharpe ratio of 1.37 since its inception, with a mean excess annualized return of 21% and a beta of 1.2.  </li>
<li>At the end of May, we sold our remaining positions in the mining and materials sectors and added positions in the power, consumer and property sectors.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 9.7% in May, outperforming its benchmark by 10.57%.  The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 57% to 75% since its inception in 10/2024.
The portfolio has a Sharpe ratio of 1.37 since its inception, with a mean excess annualized return of 21% and a beta of 1.2.  
At the end of May, we sold our remaining positions in the mining and materials sectors and added positions in the power, consumer and property sectors.


Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

<ul>
<li>HSIL adopted all six proposed HS TECH changes, five unchanged and one with modifications, and the new rules take effect on 7 Dec 2026.</li>
<li>Selection by market value and sales growth was adopted with modifications, adding a turnover floor for non-constituents and a minimum sales test for sales growth candidates.</li>
<li>The velocity test, innovation screening, weighting, caps and quarterly review are retained from the current rules.</li>
</ul>


HSIL adopted all six proposed HS TECH changes, five unchanged and one with modifications, and the new rules take effect on 7 Dec 2026.
Selection by market value and sales growth was adopted with modifications, adding a turnover floor for non-constituents and a minimum sales test for sales growth candidates.
The velocity test, innovation screening, weighting, caps and quarterly review are retained from the current rules.


HS TECH Consultation Conclusions: Retained and Refined Rules

China

UBTECH Robotics is a leading company specializing in the research, development, design, production, and commercialization of humanoid and smart service robots. Their product offerings include AI education solutions, smart logistics robots, and various sector-tailored service robots. The company was founded in March 2012 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

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UBTECH Robotics (9880 HK)