External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in its latest monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting, maintained status quo on policy rates while also retaining its neutral stance</li><li>While the RBI maintained its FY26 forecast for GDP growth at 6.5%, we believe that the RBI’s forecasts are subject to downside risks unless the system sees a meaningful rebound in bank credit growth</li><li>Although asset yields have seen reasonably quick transmission by banks (71bps on fresh loans), aggregate bank credit growth has been clocking at sub-10% over the past few months</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in its latest monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting, maintained status quo on policy rates while also retaining its neutral stanceWhile the RBI maintained its FY26 forecast for GDP growth at 6.5%, we believe that the RBI’s forecasts are subject to downside risks unless the system sees a meaningful rebound in bank credit growthAlthough asset yields have seen reasonably quick transmission by banks (71bps on fresh loans), aggregate bank credit growth has been clocking at sub-10% over the past few monthsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leveraged Financials: Transmission Underway, Searching for Growth Catalysts

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

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<ul>
<li>Despite a 100-bps rate cut by RBI, banks face margin pressure as lending rates fall faster than deposit repricing. </li>
<li>Credit growth has slowed sharply, while deposit growth is improving unevenly - tightening liquidity conditions, especially for private banks and SFBs.</li>
<li>Valuations remain attractive despite near-term earnings stress, supported by stable asset quality, treasury gains, and long-term confidence in sector fundamentals.</li>
</ul>


Despite a 100-bps rate cut by RBI, banks face margin pressure as lending rates fall faster than deposit repricing. 
Credit growth has slowed sharply, while deposit growth is improving unevenly - tightening liquidity conditions, especially for private banks and SFBs.
Valuations remain attractive despite near-term earnings stress, supported by stable asset quality, treasury gains, and long-term confidence in sector fundamentals.


Q1FY26 Banking Sector Report: How Repo Rate Cuts Are Reshaping the Sector?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The systemic credit growth (as of 13th June, 2025) has derailed to &lt;10%.</li><li>This can be attributed to a meaningful slowdown in the unsecured loans amidst continued asset quality challenges alongside banks, mainly private banks, intending to bring down their LDRs to a balanced level.</li><li>We expect the bank under our coverage to deliver ~11% YoY credit growth, marginally ahead of industry growth. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The systemic credit growth (as of 13th June, 2025) has derailed to &lt;10%.This can be attributed to a meaningful slowdown in the unsecured loans amidst continued asset quality challenges alongside banks, mainly private banks, intending to bring down their LDRs to a balanced level.We expect the bank under our coverage to deliver ~11% YoY credit growth, marginally ahead of industry growth. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q1FY26 Earnings Preview - Banks, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)

<ul><li>UltraTech Cement: We maintain ADD on UltraTech (UTCEM) with a revised target price of INR 12,100 (valuing it at 17x Mar-27E consolidated EBITDA)</li><li>In Q3FY25, UTCEM delivered industry-leading 12% volume growth and the all-round cost reduction QoQ drove unit EBITDA up by INR 220/MT to INR 944/MT</li><li>We estimate the consolidation of India Cements and Kesoram to drive 21/9% YoY volume growth in FY26/27E</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

UltraTech Cement: We maintain ADD on UltraTech (UTCEM) with a revised target price of INR 12,100 (valuing it at 17x Mar-27E consolidated EBITDA)In Q3FY25, UTCEM delivered industry-leading 12% volume growth and the all-round cost reduction QoQ drove unit EBITDA up by INR 220/MT to INR 944/MTWe estimate the consolidation of India Cements and Kesoram to drive 21/9% YoY volume growth in FY26/27EContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: UltraTech Cement, Bharat Petroleum Corporation

<ul><li>The systemic credit growth (as of 20th Sep’24) continued to remain healthy at 13% YoY.</li><li>This growth continues to be led by Retail and SMEs, while corporate credit continues to remain sluggish.</li><li>The deceleration in credit growth is most likely primarily amongst the private sector banks as they aim to reduce their LDR and maintain them at balance levels. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The systemic credit growth (as of 20th Sep’24) continued to remain healthy at 13% YoY.This growth continues to be led by Retail and SMEs, while corporate credit continues to remain sluggish.The deceleration in credit growth is most likely primarily amongst the private sector banks as they aim to reduce their LDR and maintain them at balance levels. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q2FY25 Earnings Preview - Banks, Financial Services and Insurance

India

Ujjivan Small Finance Bank Ltd. is a mass-market focused bank in India, primarily serving financially unserved and underserved segments. It offers a comprehensive range of banking products and services, including savings and current accounts, fixed and recurring deposits, and various loans such as microfinance, housing, agriculture, vehicle, and MSME loans. The bank is headquartered in Bengaluru, Karnataka, India, and commenced banking operations on February 1, 2017.

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Ujjivan Small Finance Bank (UJJIVANS IN)

Leveraged Financials: Transmission Underway, Searching for Growth Catalysts

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in its latest monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting, maintained status quo on policy rates while also retaining...

HDFC Securities

Q1FY26 Banking Sector Report: How Repo Rate Cuts Are Reshaping the Sector?

RBI's rate cut leads to margin pressure for banks as lending rates drop faster than deposit rates, impacting credit growth and liquidity...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Q1FY26 Earnings Preview - Banks, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)

The systemic credit growth (as of 13th June, 2025) has derailed to <10%. This can be attributed to a meaningful slowdown in the unsecured loans...

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: UltraTech Cement, Bharat Petroleum Corporation

UltraTech Cement: We maintain ADD on UltraTech (UTCEM) with a revised target price of INR 12,100 (valuing it at 17x Mar-27E consolidated EBITDA)

HDFC Securities

Q2FY25 Earnings Preview - Banks, Financial Services and Insurance

Mirroring the systemic credit growth trends, we expect banks under our coverage (incl. SFBs) to register credit growth of ~14/4% YoY/QoQ.

Axis Direct

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Leveraged Financials: Transmission Underway, Searching for Growth Catalysts

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in its latest monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting, maintained status quo on policy rates while also retaining...

HDFC Securities

Q1FY26 Banking Sector Report: How Repo Rate Cuts Are Reshaping the Sector?

​RBI's rate cut leads to margin pressure for banks as lending rates drop faster than deposit rates, impacting credit growth and liquidity...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Q1FY26 Earnings Preview - Banks, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)

The systemic credit growth (as of 13th June, 2025) has derailed to <10%. This can be attributed to a meaningful slowdown in the unsecured loans...

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: UltraTech Cement, Bharat Petroleum Corporation

UltraTech Cement: We maintain ADD on UltraTech (UTCEM) with a revised target price of INR 12,100 (valuing it at 17x Mar-27E consolidated EBITDA)

HDFC Securities

Q2FY25 Earnings Preview - Banks, Financial Services and Insurance

Mirroring the systemic credit growth trends, we expect banks under our coverage (incl. SFBs) to register credit growth of ~14/4% YoY/QoQ.

Axis Direct

RBI's rate cut leads to margin pressure for banks as lending rates drop faster than deposit rates, impacting credit growth and liquidity...