Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In one of the largest M&amp;A transactions in Malaysia, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sime-darby-berhad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20523:1" rel="noopener">Sime Darby (SIME MK)</a> intends to acquire a 61.2% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/umw-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1700:1" rel="noopener">UMW Holdings (UMWH MK)</a> from Permodalan Nasional Bhd for RM3.57bn. </li>
<li>Sime Darby is paying RM5/share, a token 9.9% premium to last close, but more like 25% when factoring in apparent news leakage.</li>
<li>Once the stake sale is completed, Sime Darby will launch an unconditional MGO for all remaining shares not held. This transaction is expected to be wrapped up in early 2024.</li>
</ul>


In one of the largest M&amp;A transactions in Malaysia, Sime Darby (SIME MK) intends to acquire a 61.2% stake in UMW Holdings (UMWH MK) from Permodalan Nasional Bhd for RM3.57bn. 
Sime Darby is paying RM5/share, a token 9.9% premium to last close, but more like 25% when factoring in apparent news leakage.
Once the stake sale is completed, Sime Darby will launch an unconditional MGO for all remaining shares not held. This transaction is expected to be wrapped up in early 2024.


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sime-darby-berhad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20523:1" rel="noopener">Sime Darby (SIME MK)</a> entered a conditional sale and purchase agreement (SPA) to acquire PNB’s 61.18% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/umw-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1700:1" rel="noopener">UMW Holdings (UMWH MK)</a> for RM5.00 per share.</li>
<li>Once the SPA becomes unconditional, Sime Darby must launch an MGO for the remaining UMW shares at RM5.00 per share, an 8.2% premium to the last close.  </li>
<li>The SPA is conditional on Sime Darby's shareholder approval. The SPA and MGO are targeted to be completed in 4Q23 and 1Q24, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Sime Darby (SIME MK) entered a conditional sale and purchase agreement (SPA) to acquire PNB’s 61.18% stake in UMW Holdings (UMWH MK) for RM5.00 per share.
Once the SPA becomes unconditional, Sime Darby must launch an MGO for the remaining UMW shares at RM5.00 per share, an 8.2% premium to the last close.  
The SPA is conditional on Sime Darby's shareholder approval. The SPA and MGO are targeted to be completed in 4Q23 and 1Q24, respectively.


UMW Holdings (UMWH MK): Sime Darby’s Pre-Conditional MGO

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Kenanga Investment Bank Bhd

Kenanga Investment Bank Bhd

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Established for more than 45 years, Kenanga Investment Bank Berhad is a financial group in Malaysia with extensive experience in equity broking, investment banking, treasury, Islamic banking, listed derivatives, investment management, wealth management, structured lending and trade financing. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We obtained a first-hand impression of UMW’s fastest-growing segment, UMW Aerospace (which is the exclusive Rolls-Royce fan cases manufacturer), during our visit to its facility in UMW High Value Manufacturing Park, Serendah, two days ago.</li><li>UMW Aerospace is also able to scale up the production of its existing products and expand its capabilities to venture into new products.</li><li>We maintain our forecasts, TP of RM4.80 and OUTPERFORM call.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We obtained a first-hand impression of UMW’s fastest-growing segment, UMW Aerospace (which is the exclusive Rolls-Royce fan cases manufacturer), during our visit to its facility in UMW High Value Manufacturing Park, Serendah, two days ago.UMW Aerospace is also able to scale up the production of its existing products and expand its capabilities to venture into new products.We maintain our forecasts, TP of RM4.80 and OUTPERFORM call.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Company Update - UMW Holdings - 16 Jun 2023

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>EV Adoption in ASEAN is low compared to developed markets, however, development of a robust EV ecosystem remains a primary goal for the respective nations.</li>
<li>Governments in the region continues to introduce new policy measures and offer incentives to promote the sector, while companies continue to attract large investment to develop the EV market.</li>
<li>The four companies we looked at have reported earnings and we have discussed their latest results and our investment thesis.</li>
</ul>


EV Adoption in ASEAN is low compared to developed markets, however, development of a robust EV ecosystem remains a primary goal for the respective nations.
Governments in the region continues to introduce new policy measures and offer incentives to promote the sector, while companies continue to attract large investment to develop the EV market.
The four companies we looked at have reported earnings and we have discussed their latest results and our investment thesis.


ASEAN EV Ecosystem Update: Progressing Towards a Robust EV Ecosystem

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Seven stocks remain, and seven stocks added to our portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 177% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 27%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Seven stocks remain, and seven stocks added to our portfolio
Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 177% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 27%


Malaysia

UMW Holdings Berhad is an investment holding company which, through its subsidiaries, trades and manufactures light and heavy equipment for industrial, construction, and agricultural sectors.  The Company also imports, assembles, and markets passenger and commercial vehicles and related spare parts.  UMW provides after-sales, financing, and insurance services as well.

UMW Holdings (UMWH MK)

Sime Darby/UMW: It's All About Scale

Assuming an interim dividend of RM0.03 is added, and with an expected payment in late January 2024, this is trading at a 8.9%/21.6% gross...

David Blennerhassett