Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Capital Markets

Anjoy Foods Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anjoy-foods-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44280:1" rel="noopener">Anjoy Foods Group (2648 HK)</a>, already listed in Shanghai, is offering 40 million shares in Hong Kong to raise up to HKD2.6 billion (USD335 million); Offer closes today, June 30th.</li>
<li>HK offer is priced at a decent discount to A share price and at valuation multiples that are aligned with its peer group and business fundamentals.</li>
<li>With limited organic growth and little evidence of a strategic pivot to higher-value offerings, Anjoy Foods lacks a compelling long term investment case.</li>
</ul>



Anjoy Foods Group (2648 HK), already listed in Shanghai, is offering 40 million shares in Hong Kong to raise up to HKD2.6 billion (USD335 million); Offer closes today, June 30th.
HK offer is priced at a decent discount to A share price and at valuation multiples that are aligned with its peer group and business fundamentals.
With limited organic growth and little evidence of a strategic pivot to higher-value offerings, Anjoy Foods lacks a compelling long term investment case.


Anjoy Foods Group HK Offer: Value Stock or Value Trap? Key Facts, Financials and Valuation

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anjoy-foods-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44280:1" rel="noopener">Anjoy Foods Group (2648 HK)</a>'s H-share IPO at a maximum price of HK$66.00 appears reasonably attractive, as this equals a 33-34% discount to peer average FY25F PER. </li>
<li>It is well-positioned to capture quick-frozen food demand growth, will gain from geographical and market share expansion, and has solid product, marketing and production capability.</li>
<li>We value the stock at HK$72.66, 12.7x FY25F PER, or a 25% discount to the sector PER. It will also be on a 13.9% discount to its A-share.</li>
</ul>



Anjoy Foods Group (2648 HK)'s H-share IPO at a maximum price of HK$66.00 appears reasonably attractive, as this equals a 33-34% discount to peer average FY25F PER. 
It is well-positioned to capture quick-frozen food demand growth, will gain from geographical and market share expansion, and has solid product, marketing and production capability.
We value the stock at HK$72.66, 12.7x FY25F PER, or a 25% discount to the sector PER. It will also be on a 13.9% discount to its A-share.


Anjoy Foods Group (2648 HK) IPO: Reasonably Attractive

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ifbh-pte-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45067:1" rel="noopener">IFBH (IFBH HK)</a>  is looking to raise about US$148m in its HK IPO.</li>
<li>IFBH specializes in ready-to-consume beverages and food, with a focus on coconut water and plant-based products.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



IFBH (IFBH HK)  is looking to raise about US$148m in its HK IPO.
IFBH specializes in ready-to-consume beverages and food, with a focus on coconut water and plant-based products.
In our previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the IPO valuations.


IFBH IPO - Leading Position in a High Growth F&B Segment Driving Valuations

Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food / Equity Capital Markets

Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food (3288 HK)

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong's IPO market has gathered momentum lately, especially with the overwhelming response to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-catl-co-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">CATL (3750 HK)</a>. Consumer IPOs are the next ones to gather interest. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/foshan-haitian-flavouring-food-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44279:1" rel="noopener">Foshan Haitian Flavouring &amp; Food Co (FHF HK)</a> is the most imminent one, potentially seeking up to US$1bn. Without significant peers in Hong Kong, it should attract good attention.</li>
<li>The other interesting ones include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhou-liu-fu-jewellery-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43706:1" rel="noopener">Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery Co., Ltd. (1716396D CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/three-squirrels" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45113:1" rel="noopener">Three Squirrels (TRS HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eastroc-beverage-group-co-ltd-f3283290-a611-4cb4-8857-93101786e283" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45048:1" rel="noopener">Eastroc Beverage Group (EBG HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Hong Kong's IPO market has gathered momentum lately, especially with the overwhelming response to CATL (3750 HK). Consumer IPOs are the next ones to gather interest. 

Foshan Haitian Flavouring &amp; Food Co (FHF HK) is the most imminent one, potentially seeking up to US$1bn. Without significant peers in Hong Kong, it should attract good attention.
The other interesting ones include Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery Co., Ltd. (1716396D CH), Three Squirrels (TRS HK), and Eastroc Beverage Group (EBG HK). 


HK Strategy: Some Consumer IPO Pipelines and Their Proxies

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

China Resources Beverage / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage (2460 HK)</a> trades 4.0% below its IPO of HK$14.50 per share. The first six-month lock-up period expires on 22 April.</li>
<li>At the end of the first lock-up expiry, shares representing 727.1m (30.32% of outstanding) will be eligible for sale. However, there is a low risk of substantial sales.</li>
<li>The fundamentals remain good, with margin improvement, beverage’s fast-paced growth, narrowing of the margin gap with Nongfu and undemanding valuation.</li>
</ul>



China Resources Beverage (2460 HK) trades 4.0% below its IPO of HK$14.50 per share. The first six-month lock-up period expires on 22 April.
At the end of the first lock-up expiry, shares representing 727.1m (30.32% of outstanding) will be eligible for sale. However, there is a low risk of substantial sales.
The fundamentals remain good, with margin improvement, beverage’s fast-paced growth, narrowing of the margin gap with Nongfu and undemanding valuation.


CR Beverage (2460 HK): Keep Calm Heading into the Lock-Up Expiry

China

Uni-President China Holdings Ltd. is an investment holding company primarily engaged in the manufacturing and sale of food and beverages in the People's Republic of China. Its product portfolio includes instant noodles, tea drinks, juices, milk tea, coffee, and bottled water. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Uni-President China (220 HK)

Anjoy Foods Group HK Offer: Value Stock or Value Trap? Key Facts, Financials and Valuation

Low margins, weak return metrics, and a lack of product innovation reflect Anjoy's structural challenges in a crowded, commoditized segment. The...

Devi Subhakesan

Anjoy Foods Group (2648 HK) IPO: Reasonably Attractive

Anjoy Foods Group's H-share IPO at HK$66.00 offers a 33-34% FY25 PER discount to peers. With strong growth potential, solid capabilities and sound...

Osbert Tang, CFA

IFBH IPO - Leading Position in a High Growth F&B Segment Driving Valuations

IFBH Ltd is looking to raise about US$148m in its HK IPO. In our previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we talk...

Akshat Shah

HK Strategy: Some Consumer IPO Pipelines and Their Proxies

HK's IPO market gains momentum with CATL leading the way. Consumer IPOs like Foshan Haitian are next in line, attracting attention. Others include...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CR Beverage (2460 HK): Keep Calm Heading into the Lock-Up Expiry

The shares are trading 4.0% below the IPO price. The first six-month lock-up period expires on 22 April. However, there is a low risk of...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Anjoy Foods Group HK Offer: Value Stock or Value Trap? Key Facts, Financials and Valuation

Low margins, weak return metrics, and a lack of product innovation reflect Anjoy's structural challenges in a crowded, commoditized segment. The...

Devi Subhakesan

Anjoy Foods Group (2648 HK) IPO: Reasonably Attractive

​Anjoy Foods Group's H-share IPO at HK$66.00 offers a 33-34% FY25 PER discount to peers. With strong growth potential, solid capabilities and sound...

Osbert Tang, CFA

IFBH IPO - Leading Position in a High Growth F&B Segment Driving Valuations

IFBH Ltd is looking to raise about US$148m in its HK IPO. In our previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we talk...

Akshat Shah

HK Strategy: Some Consumer IPO Pipelines and Their Proxies

HK's IPO market gains momentum with CATL leading the way. Consumer IPOs like Foshan Haitian are next in line, attracting attention. Others include...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CR Beverage (2460 HK): Keep Calm Heading into the Lock-Up Expiry

The shares are trading 4.0% below the IPO price. The first six-month lock-up period expires on 22 April. However, there is a low risk of...

Arun George

Anjoy Foods Group's H-share IPO at HK$66.00 offers a 33-34% FY25 PER discount to peers. With strong growth potential, solid capabilities and sound...