Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>During 3Q2024, the 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +14.3%y/y, accelerating from the +7.1% reported during 2Q2024.</li>
<li>Overall, 59% of companies delivered positive EPS surprises, and 63% delivered positive Sales surprises, a continuation of the positive trend witnessed in the previous quarter.</li>
<li>Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.</li>
</ul>


During 3Q2024, the 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +14.3%y/y, accelerating from the +7.1% reported during 2Q2024.
Overall, 59% of companies delivered positive EPS surprises, and 63% delivered positive Sales surprises, a continuation of the positive trend witnessed in the previous quarter.
Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.


Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 3Q2024

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 9th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD18.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Hon Hai, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Elite Material, Asia Vital, Gigabyte Tech, Zhen Ding Tech, Tcc Group Holdin, Global Unichip.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 9th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD18.6bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Hon Hai, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Elite Material, Asia Vital, Gigabyte Tech, Zhen Ding Tech, Tcc Group Holdin, Global Unichip.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 9th): Hon Hai, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Elite Material, Asia Vital

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 5 adds and 5 deletes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June with implementation taking place from 21-27 June.</li>
<li>The constituent changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 12.8% and in a one-way trade of TWD 37.2bn (US$1.15bn).</li>
<li>The changes are in line with our forecasts with one exception. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uni-president-enterprises-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7973:1" rel="noopener">Uni President Enterprises (1216 TT)</a> was not added and Yulon Finance (9941 TT) was added instead.</li>
</ul>


There are 5 adds and 5 deletes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June with implementation taking place from 21-27 June.
The constituent changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 12.8% and in a one-way trade of TWD 37.2bn (US$1.15bn).
The changes are in line with our forecasts with one exception. Uni President Enterprises (1216 TT) was not added and Yulon Finance (9941 TT) was added instead.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: One Surprise as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$2.3bn

<ul>
<li>With the review period now complete, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June.</li>
<li>Price changes and changes to dividend estimates have led to names dropping off the list of potential adds and deletes over the last week.</li>
<li>Constituent changes, capping and funding flows will lead to a one-way turnover of 12.7% and a one-way trade of US$1.17bn. There are 12 stocks with over 4x ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


With the review period now complete, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June.
Price changes and changes to dividend estimates have led to names dropping off the list of potential adds and deletes over the last week.
Constituent changes, capping and funding flows will lead to a one-way turnover of 12.7% and a one-way trade of US$1.17bn. There are 12 stocks with over 4x ADV to trade.


Yuanta Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes as Names Move Around; US$2.35bn Round-Trip Trade

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Grape King Bio has one of the most remarkable consistency in profit margins among all Asian F&amp;B companies. Its net margins ranged from 13% to 15% in the past decade.</li>
<li>The company's dividend yield increased from 3.8% in 2021 to 4.1% in 2022, and 4.4% in 2023. Its annual dividend payout averaged 69.6% from 2019 to 2023. </li>
<li>Established in 1969, Grape King Bio is one of the leading health food, drink, and supplement products manufacturers in Taiwan.</li>
</ul>


Grape King Bio has one of the most remarkable consistency in profit margins among all Asian F&amp;B companies. Its net margins ranged from 13% to 15% in the past decade.
The company's dividend yield increased from 3.8% in 2021 to 4.1% in 2022, and 4.4% in 2023. Its annual dividend payout averaged 69.6% from 2019 to 2023. 
Established in 1969, Grape King Bio is one of the leading health food, drink, and supplement products manufacturers in Taiwan.


Taiwan

Uni-President Enterprises Corp. manufactures, processes, and markets instant noodles, dairy products, frozen foods, soft drinks, soy sauces, canned pickles, meat products, animal feeds, aquatic feeds, edible oils, bread, cakes, and desserts.  The Company also operates vending machines and food distribution centers in Taiwan.

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Uni President Enterprises (1216 TT)

Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 3Q2024

In this quarterly insight, we analyse recent GEM reporting trends by looking at Sales and EPS growth, size and percentage of positive surprises,...

Wium Malan, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 9th): Hon Hai, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Elite Material, Asia Vital

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Hon Hai, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Elite Material,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: One Surprise as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$2.3bn

The ETF starts rebalancing at the close today and that will continue over the next 4 trading days. Excluding BizLink, the adds have outperformed...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes as Names Move Around; US$2.35bn Round-Trip Trade

There should be 5 changes in June. Constituent changes, capping and funding flows will lead to a 1-way turnover of 12.7% and a 1-way trade of...

Brian Freitas

Asian Dividend Gems: Grape King Bio

Grape King Bio is one of the leading health food, drink, and supplement manufacturers in Taiwan. It has one of the most remarkable consistency in...

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 3Q2024

In this quarterly insight, we analyse recent GEM reporting trends by looking at Sales and EPS growth, size and percentage of positive surprises,...

Wium Malan, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 9th): Hon Hai, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Elite Material, Asia Vital

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Hon Hai, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Elite Material,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: One Surprise as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$2.3bn

The ETF starts rebalancing at the close today and that will continue over the next 4 trading days. Excluding BizLink, the adds have outperformed...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes as Names Move Around; US$2.35bn Round-Trip Trade

There should be 5 changes in June. Constituent changes, capping and funding flows will lead to a 1-way turnover of 12.7% and a 1-way trade of...

Brian Freitas

Asian Dividend Gems: Grape King Bio

Grape King Bio is one of the leading health food, drink, and supplement manufacturers in Taiwan. It has one of the most remarkable consistency in...

Douglas Kim

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: One Surprise as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$2.3bn