Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In May, SEBI recommended changes to the minimum number of constituents for non-benchmark indices and the capping for those indices. Then came the market consultation in August.</li>
<li>SEBI has now confirmed the changes along with the timeline for capping changes to the largest stocks in the index.</li>
<li>The changes could commence in December and continue till March. The adds will take place in December and weight changes for the largest stocks will take place in 4 tranches.</li>
</ul>


In May, SEBI recommended changes to the minimum number of constituents for non-benchmark indices and the capping for those indices. Then came the market consultation in August.
SEBI has now confirmed the changes along with the timeline for capping changes to the largest stocks in the index.
The changes could commence in December and continue till March. The adds will take place in December and weight changes for the largest stocks will take place in 4 tranches.


NIFTY Bank Index: Methodology Changes to Result in Big Flows

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The merger of Union Bank of India and Bank of India may create India’s second-largest public sector bank, managing a massive 25 lakh crore balance sheet. 
</li>
<li>Combining 13,900+ branches and a vast international footprint across five continents, the entity will serve 300 million customers with advanced digital and IT infrastructure.</li>
<li>The powerhouse may maintains high profitability with a combined Net Profit of 27,206 crore while keeping credit risks controlled with a low NNPA ratio of 0.82%.</li>
</ul>


The merger of Union Bank of India and Bank of India may create India’s second-largest public sector bank, managing a massive 25 lakh crore balance sheet. 

Combining 13,900+ branches and a vast international footprint across five continents, the entity will serve 300 million customers with advanced digital and IT infrastructure.
The powerhouse may maintains high profitability with a combined Net Profit of 27,206 crore while keeping credit risks controlled with a low NNPA ratio of 0.82%.


Union Bank X BoI [Merger 2.0]: India's 2nd Largest Public Sector Bank in Making?

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>PSU bank credit growth exceeded private-bank growth in FY25 for the first time in more than a decade. Between FY22-FY26, private-bank share fell 14.5 percentage points in home-loans.</li>
<li>Asset quality has converged sharply. Competitive advantage is moving from provisioning relief to funding, pricing, distribution and the ability to deploy capital at an acceptable return.</li>
<li>The sector trade is no longer simply “private quality versus PSU risk.” One must distinguish volume share, absolute profit share, sustainable ROA and the valuation paid for each.</li>
</ul>


PSU bank credit growth exceeded private-bank growth in FY25 for the first time in more than a decade. Between FY22-FY26, private-bank share fell 14.5 percentage points in home-loans.
Asset quality has converged sharply. Competitive advantage is moving from provisioning relief to funding, pricing, distribution and the ability to deploy capital at an acceptable return.
The sector trade is no longer simply “private quality versus PSU risk.” One must distinguish volume share, absolute profit share, sustainable ROA and the valuation paid for each.


Why Indian Private Sector Large Cap Banks Are Not Performing?

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/union-bank-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:546:1" rel="noopener">Union Bank of India (UNBK IN)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank (CBK IN)</a> price ratio has deviated two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Going long Union Bank of India (UNBK IN) and short Canara Bank (CBK IN) targets a 10% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Union Bank of India (UNBK IN) vs. Canara Bank (CBK IN) price ratio has deviated two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlights: Going long Union Bank of India (UNBK IN) and short Canara Bank (CBK IN) targets a 10% return.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Union Bank of India (UNBK IN) Vs. Canara Bank (CBK IN): Statistical Arbitrage in Indian Banks

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:541:1" rel="noopener">Bank Of India (BOI IN)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/union-bank-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:546:1" rel="noopener">Union Bank Of India (UNBK IN)</a> price-ratio has deviated more two standard deviations from its one-year average, signaling a potential pair trade.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Going long Union Bank Of India and short Bank Of India targets a 5% return. Union Bank Of India is set to report on 30 October.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Bank Of India (BOI IN) vs. Union Bank Of India (UNBK IN) price-ratio has deviated more two standard deviations from its one-year average, signaling a potential pair trade.

Highlights: Going long Union Bank Of India and short Bank Of India targets a 5% return. Union Bank Of India is set to report on 30 October.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Bank Of India (BOI IN) Vs. Union Bank Of India (UNBK IN): Statistical Arbitrage Play Targeting 5%

India

Union Bank of India Limited provides a full range of banking services throughout India. The Company's activities include retail banking, commercial and personal banking, investment management, treasury and NRI services, cash management and assorted ATM facilities. Union Bank has an online tele-banking facility for all its core banking customers.

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Union Bank Of India (UNBK IN)

NIFTY Bank Index: Methodology Changes to Result in Big Flows

The methodology and capping changes for the Nifty Bank Index will be implemented in 4 tranches, likely ending in March. The flows are big and the...

Brian Freitas

Union Bank X BoI [Merger 2.0]: India's 2nd Largest Public Sector Bank in Making?

Merger of Union Bank of India and Bank of India to create India's second-largest public sector bank with a massive balance sheet, serving 300...

Nimish Maheshwari

Why Indian Private Sector Large Cap Banks Are Not Performing?

Public-sector banks are using lower lending rates to win prime credit. The pressure on private banks is no longer about bad loans; it is about...

Nimish Maheshwari