Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We see 28 potential and close adds and 34 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.</li>
<li>A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.</li>
<li>There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.</li>
</ul>


We see 28 potential and close adds and 34 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.
A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.
There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>While the 1H25 IPOs have gained an average of 38% YTD, their average share price change has been only 6.3% MTD.</li>
<li>"Rising Suns" stocks are interesting: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hainan-drinda-new-energy-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45252:1" rel="noopener">Hainan Drinda New Energy Technology (2865 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pegbio-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40924:1" rel="noopener">PegBio (2565 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/caocao-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:42803:1" rel="noopener">CaoCao (2643 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anhui-conch-material-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45012:1" rel="noopener">Anhui Conch Material Technology (2560 HK)</a>.  </li>
<li>"Real Treasures" stocks are safe bets: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/duality-biotherapeutics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43878:1" rel="noopener">Duality Biotherapeutics (9606 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unisound-ai-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36800:1" rel="noopener">Unisound AI Tech. (9678 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-catl-co-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">CATL (3750 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-pharmaceuticals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44224:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui (1276 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nanshan-aluminium-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43976:1" rel="noopener">Nanshan Aluminium (2610 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


While the 1H25 IPOs have gained an average of 38% YTD, their average share price change has been only 6.3% MTD.
"Rising Suns" stocks are interesting: Hainan Drinda New Energy Technology (2865 HK), PegBio (2565 HK), CaoCao (2643 HK), and Anhui Conch Material Technology (2560 HK).  
"Real Treasures" stocks are safe bets: Duality Biotherapeutics (9606 HK), Unisound AI Tech. (9678 HK), CATL (3750 HK), Jiangsu Hengrui (1276 HK), and Nanshan Aluminium (2610 HK). 


HK Strategy: Finding the Gems in 1H25 HK IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

China International Capital Corporation / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-capital-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1071:1" rel="noopener">China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK)</a>'s 1H25 positive profit alert is encouraging, with 1H25 results growing by 55-78% YoY.  </li>
<li>YTD, CICC has a 59.5% share of the HK IPO market. The solid H-share IPO pipeline of A-share companies is beneficial, as this is its major area of strength.</li>
<li>Market consensus has underestimated its FY25 earnings, inflating its PER multiples. The current 51% discount of its H-share to A-share is just too steep (average 37.7%).</li>
</ul>



China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK)'s 1H25 positive profit alert is encouraging, with 1H25 results growing by 55-78% YoY.  
YTD, CICC has a 59.5% share of the HK IPO market. The solid H-share IPO pipeline of A-share companies is beneficial, as this is its major area of strength.
Market consensus has underestimated its FY25 earnings, inflating its PER multiples. The current 51% discount of its H-share to A-share is just too steep (average 37.7%).


CICC (3908 HK): It Is the Best of the Time

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technolog" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-pharmaceuticals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44224:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK)</a> performance has paved the way for a slew of A/H listings to follow.</li>
<li>On the placements front, there was a large selldown in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a> and a lockup release for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pony-ai-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44035:1" rel="noopener">Pony AI (PONY US)</a> is coming up.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH) and Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK) performance has paved the way for a slew of A/H listings to follow.
On the placements front, there was a large selldown in HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) and a lockup release for Pony AI (PONY US) is coming up.


ECM Weekly (26 May 2025) - CATL, Hengrui, Eastroc, Haitian, Schloss, Aegis, Hyundai Marine, Pony

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technolog" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a> will remain in the spotlight in the coming week as well.</li>
<li>On the placements front, Japan deals appear to be picking up again.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH) and Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH) will remain in the spotlight in the coming week as well.
On the placements front, Japan deals appear to be picking up again.


ECM Weekly (19 May 2025) - CATL, Hengrui, Green Tea, SMPP, Unisound, Renesas, Genda, GMO, PayTM

China

Unisound AI Technology Co., Ltd. develops speech recognition and language processing software. The Company provides voice input method, language control robots for smart home, smart car, smart medical, smart education, and other fileds. Unisound AI Technology markets its products throughout China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Unisound AI Technology (9678 HK)

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added

The forecast adds to the index and Stock Connect are up 9.7% on average this month while the forecast deletes from the index and Stock Connect are...

Brian Freitas

HK Strategy: Finding the Gems in 1H25 HK IPOs

1H25 IPOs have seen a YTD average gain of 38%, but only 6.3% MTD. "Rising Suns" like Hainan Drinda New Energy, PegBio, CaoCao Inc., and Anhui...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CICC (3908 HK): It Is the Best of the Time

CICC is alerting a strong 1H25 profit growth, leading in the HK IPO market with a promising H-share IPO pipeline of A-share companies. The market...

Osbert Tang, CFA

ECM Weekly (26 May 2025) - CATL, Hengrui, Eastroc, Haitian, Schloss, Aegis, Hyundai Marine, Pony

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (19 May 2025) - CATL, Hengrui, Green Tea, SMPP, Unisound, Renesas, Genda, GMO, PayTM

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added

The forecast adds to the index and Stock Connect are up 9.7% on average this month while the forecast deletes from the index and Stock Connect are...

Brian Freitas

HK Strategy: Finding the Gems in 1H25 HK IPOs

​1H25 IPOs have seen a YTD average gain of 38%, but only 6.3% MTD. "Rising Suns" like Hainan Drinda New Energy, PegBio, CaoCao Inc., and Anhui...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CICC (3908 HK): It Is the Best of the Time

​CICC is alerting a strong 1H25 profit growth, leading in the HK IPO market with a promising H-share IPO pipeline of A-share companies. The market...

Osbert Tang, CFA

ECM Weekly (26 May 2025) - CATL, Hengrui, Eastroc, Haitian, Schloss, Aegis, Hyundai Marine, Pony

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (19 May 2025) - CATL, Hengrui, Green Tea, SMPP, Unisound, Renesas, Genda, GMO, PayTM

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

1H25 IPOs have seen a YTD average gain of 38%, but only 6.3% MTD. "Rising Suns" like Hainan Drinda New Energy, PegBio, CaoCao Inc., and Anhui...

CICC is alerting a strong 1H25 profit growth, leading in the HK IPO market with a promising H-share IPO pipeline of A-share companies. The market...