Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Half of Singapore’s industrial, materials and energy companies in our S&amp;P CIQ sample set with over US$100 million in debt, have seen a worsening of interest cover in the most recent quarter. We believe this is at odds with market perception and is considered inconsistent with rising oil prices. It is though the reality. This has important implications for Singapore’s banks, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/22" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22:1">DBS Group Holdings (DBS SP)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/114" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:114:1">Oversea Chinese Banking Corp. (OCBC SP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/113" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:113:1">United Overseas Bank (UOB SP)</a>. Where many may…

Half of Singapore’s industrial, materials and energy companies in our S&amp;P CIQ sample set with over US$100 million in debt, have seen a worsening of interest cover in the most recent quarter. We believe this is at odds with market perception and is considered inconsistent with rising oil prices. It is though the reality. This has important implications for Singapore’s banks, DBS Group Holdings (DBS SP),Oversea Chinese Banking Corp. (OCBC SP) and United Overseas Bank (UOB SP). Where many may…

Singapore Banks – Corporate Financial Metrics Point to Ongoing Credit Risk

Doing bespoke work since 2002....., Custom Products Group

Patrick Hansen

Doing bespoke work since 2002.....

Custom Products Group

Custom Products was started 14 years ago at Lehman Brothers by current co-founder Patrick Hansen, CFA. After 3 years at Lehman, Patrick moved the team to Macquarie Securities where Simon Rigney (co-founder) joined. 3 years ago we took Custom Products independent. 

Our core strength can be summed up three words. 1- Customization - we have very little off the shelf products and most work is done on a one on one bespoke basis. 2- Speed - We pride ourselves in our ability to get requests back to the client very quickly. 3- Confidentiality - We do not redistribute. There is no grace period where we wait a week and then mass blast. Any request stops with that client.

It is always fun to see which names outperform or underperform running up to the year end. We looked for names that have consistently done well in December or have consistently underperformed in December.We first looked at the large-cap space (mkt-cap greater than 1.5bn USD). We screened for names with average and median performance in December greater than 4% with a greater than 80% success rate over the last 15 years. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/10740" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10740:1">Nan Ya Plastics Corp (1303 TT)</a> is the largest names to make the list. Nan Ya…

It is always fun to see which names outperform or underperform running up to the year end. We looked for names that have consistently done well in December or have consistently underperformed in December.We first looked at the large-cap space (mkt-cap greater than 1.5bn USD). We screened for names with average and median performance in December greater than 4% with a greater than 80% success rate over the last 15 years. Nan Ya Plastics Corp (1303 TT) is the largest names to make the list. Nan Ya…

Who in Asia Consistently Outperforms Going into the Year End.....

Asia Ex-J Consumer/ Transport analyst

Valerie Law, CFA

There were a couple of news items this week that convinced me that the Singapore government will not protect traditional businesses or practices, from disruption. Even the Singapore government has started to shift its career-advancement practices (<a href="http://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/civil-servants-no-longer-grouped-by-education-level" target="_blank">civil servants no longer grouped by educational level</a>) and the channels it propagates messages. 1. First, a headline that can't be missed:  On Wednesday (22 February), the Business Times headline screams: Signal goes out to struggling firms: Buck up -…

There were a couple of news items this week that convinced me that the Singapore government will not protect traditional businesses or practices, from disruption. Even the Singapore government has started to shift its career-advancement practices (civil servants no longer grouped by educational level) and the channels it propagates messages. 1. First, a headline that can't be missed:  On Wednesday (22 February), the Business Times headline screams: Signal goes out to struggling firms: Buck up -…

Singapore: Traditional Firms Must Disrupt Themselves or The Market Will Do It

Extending my point about more demanding transportation frameworks going forward (see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/comfortdelgro-fy16-results-an-era-where-competition-hits-a-higher-gear" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:8719">ComfortDelGro FY16 Results: An Era Where Competition Hits a Higher Gear</a> ), the recent fire-bomb attack on Hong Kong’s MTR that left 19 injured signals increasing costs for transport operators. This article presents another reason why investors should sell MTR Corp, on top of points already provided by fellow insight provider Sameer Taneja in an earlier piece <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/mtr-66-hk-conviction-sell-thesis" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:7982">MTR (66 HK): Conviction Sell Thesis</a><h2>Security Costs to</h2>…

Extending my point about more demanding transportation frameworks going forward (see ComfortDelGro FY16 Results: An Era Where Competition Hits a Higher Gear ), the recent fire-bomb attack on Hong Kong’s MTR that left 19 injured signals increasing costs for transport operators. This article presents another reason why investors should sell MTR Corp, on top of points already provided by fellow insight provider Sameer Taneja in an earlier piece MTR (66 HK): Conviction Sell ThesisSecurity Costs to…

66 HK and SBUS SP: Attack on HK Metro Signals Increases in Transport Operators' Costs

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

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§  The SGX Maritime &amp; Offshore Services (MOE) Index, a benchmark for the MOE Sector, has rebounded 19.7% from its trough on 1 Sep 2016 in tandem with the recovery of crude oil prices, which may be an indication that the sector could be bottoming out.
 
§  Despite the rally, the 18 constituents within the SGX MOE Index are trading at an average current price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.7x, with 10 of them trading below their book values.
 
§  Consensus estimates are expecting oil prices to stabilise and…
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§  The SGX Maritime &amp; Offshore Services (MOE) Index, a benchmark for the MOE Sector, has rebounded 19.7% from its trough on 1 Sep 2016 in tandem with the recovery of crude oil prices, which may be an indication that the sector could be bottoming out.
 
§  Despite the rally, the 18 constituents within the SGX MOE Index are trading at an average current price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.7x, with 10 of them trading below their book values.
 
§  Consensus estimates are expecting oil prices to stabilise and…



SGX's MOE Sector Sustains 4Q16 Momentum into 2017

Singapore

CITIC Envirotech Limited is an investment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides environmental consultancy solutions in the area of environmental health and safety as well as designs and implements integrated environmental engineering solutions based on membrane technology.

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Citic Envirotech (CEL SP)

Singapore Banks – Corporate Financial Metrics Point to Ongoing Credit Risk

Half of Singapore’s industrial, materials and energy companies in our S&P CIQ sample set with over US$100 million in debt, have seen a...

Daniel Tabbush

Who in Asia Consistently Outperforms Going into the Year End.....

It is always fun to see which names outperform or underperform running up to the year end. We looked for names that have consistently done well in...

Custom Products Group

Singapore: Traditional Firms Must Disrupt Themselves or The Market Will Do It

There were a couple of news items this week that convinced me that the Singapore government will not protect traditional businesses or...

Valerie Law, CFA

66 HK and SBUS SP: Attack on HK Metro Signals Increases in Transport Operators' Costs

Extending my point about more demanding transportation frameworks going forward (see ComfortDelGro FY16 Results: An Era Where Competition Hits a...

Valerie Law, CFA

SGX's MOE Sector Sustains 4Q16 Momentum into 2017

§ The SGX Maritime & Offshore Services (MOE) Index, a benchmark for the MOE Sector, has rebounded 19.7% from its trough on 1 Sep 2016 in...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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