Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

ASE Technology Holding   / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>ASE's 3Q23 results came in in-line with analyst estimates, and showed gross margin ticking slightly higher QoQ.</li>
<li>Semiconductor Assembly, Testing, and Manufacturing (ATM) capacity utilization remains low, in the mid-60's percent.</li>
<li>Management is cautiously optimistic about an improving industry environment into next year, however was more guarded than what we gauged from TSMC or UMC in their recent results.</li>
</ul>


ASE's 3Q23 results came in in-line with analyst estimates, and showed gross margin ticking slightly higher QoQ.
Semiconductor Assembly, Testing, and Manufacturing (ATM) capacity utilization remains low, in the mid-60's percent.
Management is cautiously optimistic about an improving industry environment into next year, however was more guarded than what we gauged from TSMC or UMC in their recent results.


ASE's Results Shows Chip Packaging & Testing Utilization Is Still Low, However Improvement Expected

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

<ul>
<li>4Q23F demand recovery will be broad-based thanks to customers’ new product launch.</li>
<li>ASEH has observed an increase in rush orders across the board as customers become more cautious about restocking.</li>
<li>The DPS payout ratio for 2023F is projected to be 60-65%.</li>
</ul>


4Q23F demand recovery will be broad-based thanks to customers’ new product launch.
ASEH has observed an increase in rush orders across the board as customers become more cautious about restocking.
The DPS payout ratio for 2023F is projected to be 60-65%.


ASEH (3711.TT; ASE.US): Demand Remains Soft in 4Q23F, but ASEH Observes the Recovery Is Broad-Based.

United Microelectron Sp Adr / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>UMC believes that the early signs indicate the end of inventory correction for smartphones and PCs. </li>
<li>The total wafer loading continues to decrease, but pricing for 12" wafers remains firm. As a result, the average selling price (ASP) continues to increase slightly. </li>
<li>The demand for strength lies in computing, thanks to the LCD controller, codec, Wi-Fi, touch IC controller, and communication applications driven by RFFE and networking IC.</li>
</ul>


UMC believes that the early signs indicate the end of inventory correction for smartphones and PCs. 
The total wafer loading continues to decrease, but pricing for 12" wafers remains firm. As a result, the average selling price (ASP) continues to increase slightly. 
The demand for strength lies in computing, thanks to the LCD controller, codec, Wi-Fi, touch IC controller, and communication applications driven by RFFE and networking IC.


UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): The Early Signs Indicate the End of Inventory Correction.

<ul>
<li>We estimate that the outlook is still moderate downward in 4Q23F, which is a typically seasonality.</li>
<li>SPIL, in ASEH group, is serving only limited on-Substrate (oW) of Chip-on-Wafer-on-Substrate (CoWoS).</li>
<li>We note that the major big clients of ASEH are not changing at all during this time downturn.</li>
</ul>


We estimate that the outlook is still moderate downward in 4Q23F, which is a typically seasonality.
SPIL, in ASEH group, is serving only limited on-Substrate (oW) of Chip-on-Wafer-on-Substrate (CoWoS).
We note that the major big clients of ASEH are not changing at all during this time downturn.


ASEH (3711.TT): 4Q23F Outlook Should Remain Decline for a Normal Seasonality.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>TSMC recorded in-line 3Q23 results and 4Q revenue guidance implies betterthan-expected FY23E outlook, driven by stabilised demand of smartphone &amp; PC and inventory restocking.</li><li>Auto segment may slow down in 2H23E, but it is set to rebound in 2024 driven by the NEV market.</li><li>Looking ahead, we expect market will react positively to 3Q23 results, demand stabilisation and inventory restocking. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

TSMC recorded in-line 3Q23 results and 4Q revenue guidance implies betterthan-expected FY23E outlook, driven by stabilised demand of smartphone &amp; PC and inventory restocking.Auto segment may slow down in 2H23E, but it is set to rebound in 2024 driven by the NEV market.Looking ahead, we expect market will react positively to 3Q23 results, demand stabilisation and inventory restocking. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Implications of TSMC 3Q23: Cycle Nearing the Bottom

Taiwan

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

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United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)

ASE's Results Shows Chip Packaging & Testing Utilization Is Still Low, However Improvement Expected

Management is cautiously optimistic about an improving industry environment into next year, however was more guarded than what we gauged from TSMC...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

ASEH (3711.TT; ASE.US): Demand Remains Soft in 4Q23F, but ASEH Observes the Recovery Is Broad-Based.

4Q23F demand recovery will be broad-based thanks to customers’ new product launch. ASEH has observed an increase in rush orders across the board as...

Patrick Liao

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): The Early Signs Indicate the End of Inventory Correction.

The early signs indicate the end of inventory correction for smartphones and PCs. The demand for strength lies in computing, codec, Wi-Fi, touch IC...

Patrick Liao

ASEH (3711.TT): 4Q23F Outlook Should Remain Decline for a Normal Seasonality.

The outlook is still moderate downward in 4Q23F. SPIL, in ASEH group, is serving only limited in CoWoS demand. The major big clients of ASEH are...

Patrick Liao

China Technology – Implications of TSMC 3Q23: Cycle Nearing the Bottom

TSMC recorded in-line 3Q23 results and 4Q revenue guidance implies betterthan-expected FY23E outlook, driven by stabilised demand of smartphone &...

CMB International

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