Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>HKMA data shows the loss loan ratio in HK is up 7.5x from FY19 to 2Q25. These are the worst of the worst bad loans </li>
<li>Substandard loan ratio in HK is up 4.7x over the same period, and this bucket can gradually migrate to worse buckets, requiring more credit costs</li>
<li>Overdue loan ratio and rescheduled loan ratio in HK is up 5.4x over this period, and these are not technically NPLs</li>
</ul>


HKMA data shows the loss loan ratio in HK is up 7.5x from FY19 to 2Q25. These are the worst of the worst bad loans 
Substandard loan ratio in HK is up 4.7x over the same period, and this bucket can gradually migrate to worse buckets, requiring more credit costs
Overdue loan ratio and rescheduled loan ratio in HK is up 5.4x over this period, and these are not technically NPLs


HSBC - Loss Loans up 7.5x from FY19 to 2Q25 in HKMA Industry Data. Hang Seng Bank Buyout, Now?

Singapore Market Roundup, Singapore Market Roundup

Singapore Market Roundup

<ul><li>'Buy' calls for Genting Singapore; DBS keeps 'hold' rating.</li><li>Lim &amp; Tan starts 'buy' on Zixin Group, targeting a price of 6.6 cents.</li><li>Maybank raises Sanli Environmental's target price after $205M PUB project win.</li></ul>

'Buy' calls for Genting Singapore; DBS keeps 'hold' rating.Lim &amp; Tan starts 'buy' on Zixin Group, targeting a price of 6.6 cents.Maybank raises Sanli Environmental's target price after $205M PUB project win.

Singapore Market Roundup (11-Nov-2025): Genting Singapore: Buy rating; DBS maintains Hold.

<ul><li>CGSI raises DBS target price above $60, joining Citi and Maybank.</li><li>RHB raises OCBC's target price by 7% but remains ‘neutral’ post 3QFY2025 results.</li><li>RHB maintains DBS as 'buy' and UOB as 'neutral' after 3QFY2025 results.</li></ul>

CGSI raises DBS target price above $60, joining Citi and Maybank.RHB raises OCBC's target price by 7% but remains ‘neutral’ post 3QFY2025 results.RHB maintains DBS as 'buy' and UOB as 'neutral' after 3QFY2025 results.

Singapore Market Roundup (10-Nov-2025): CGSI boosts DBS target price above $60, following Citi,

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Maynilad Water Services / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maynilad-water-services-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44852:1" rel="noopener">Maynilad Water Services</a> (MWS) raised around US$520m in its Philippines IPO.</li>
<li>MWS is a leading global water utility player operating the largest concession by population served within a single concession area in the Philippines and Southeast Asia (SEA), as per GlobalData.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Maynilad Water Services (MWS) raised around US$520m in its Philippines IPO.
MWS is a leading global water utility player operating the largest concession by population served within a single concession area in the Philippines and Southeast Asia (SEA), as per GlobalData.
We have looked at the past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Maynilad Water Services IPO Trading - Main Peer Has Corrected, Still at a Yield Discount

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The decision to invest a large sum of money to increase Hong Kong and Mainland China banking exposure, seems oddly timed</li>
<li>There is no exceptional discount to drive this decision, and there is unlikely to be any major resumption former times</li>
<li>Granular data on credit metrics from HSB shows marked weakness, deterioration, and with privatization, we may only see this data one more time.</li>
</ul>


The decision to invest a large sum of money to increase Hong Kong and Mainland China banking exposure, seems oddly timed
There is no exceptional discount to drive this decision, and there is unlikely to be any major resumption former times
Granular data on credit metrics from HSB shows marked weakness, deterioration, and with privatization, we may only see this data one more time.


HSBC - Privatization of Hang Seng Bank Should Mean Limits on Granular Credit Metrics After 2H25

Singapore

United Overseas Bank Limited provides a wide range of financial services including personal financial services, wealth management, private banking, commercial and corporate banking, transaction banking, investment banking, corporate finance, capital market activities, treasury services, futures broking, asset management, venture capital management and insurance.

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UOB (UOB SP)

HSBC - Loss Loans up 7.5x from FY19 to 2Q25 in HKMA Industry Data. Hang Seng Bank Buyout, Now?

HSBC is increasing its investment in HSB as loss loan ratio is HK is rising by 7.5x from FY19 to 2Q25, and high growth in other buckets, makes...

Daniel Tabbush

Singapore Market Roundup (11-Nov-2025): Genting Singapore: Buy rating; DBS maintains Hold.

Genting Singapore gets 'buy' calls; DBS holds 'hold' rating. Lim & Tan starts 'buy' on Zixin Group at 6.6 cents. Maybank raises Sanli...

Singapore Market Roundup

Singapore Market Roundup (10-Nov-2025): CGSI boosts DBS target price above $60, following Citi,

CGSI raises DBS target price above $60, joining Citi and Maybank. RHB lifts OCBC's target by 7% but stays ‘neutral’; maintains DBS as 'buy' and UOB...

Singapore Market Roundup

Maynilad Water Services IPO Trading - Main Peer Has Corrected, Still at a Yield Discount

Maynilad Water Services (MWS) raised around US$520m in its Philippines IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

HSBC - Privatization of Hang Seng Bank Should Mean Limits on Granular Credit Metrics After 2H25

$1.1bn hit from Madoff fraud. None of this is positive for HSBC. There can be increased operational risk req. Front office managers are likely to...

Daniel Tabbush

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