External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Expect improvement in volume CAGR, revenue to grow by 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR in revenue in Q4FY23 (vs 12/8% in Q4FY22 and 8/10% in Q3FY23)</li><li>Companies have started seeing a gradual recovery in demand, however, it still falls short of a full recovery</li><li>Urban markets returned to positive volume growth while rural markets still remain muted</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Expect improvement in volume CAGR, revenue to grow by 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR in revenue in Q4FY23 (vs 12/8% in Q4FY22 and 8/10% in Q3FY23)Companies have started seeing a gradual recovery in demand, however, it still falls short of a full recoveryUrban markets returned to positive volume growth while rural markets still remain mutedContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FMCG & Alco Bev: Respite in demand and margins pressure

<ul><li>NTPC: Generation/sales increased materially by 8.3%/7.7% YoY to 78.6/72.9bn units in Q3FY23, led by higher demand</li><li>PAF also improved for both coal/gas in Q3 to 92.7/98.5%, vs 85.9/89.9% YoY, led by better fuel availability</li><li>While revenue increased 39.3% YoY to INR414bn, adjusted PAT was up by 17.7% YoY to INR44.2bn, 12% above the consensus estimate</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NTPC: Generation/sales increased materially by 8.3%/7.7% YoY to 78.6/72.9bn units in Q3FY23, led by higher demandPAF also improved for both coal/gas in Q3 to 92.7/98.5%, vs 85.9/89.9% YoY, led by better fuel availabilityWhile revenue increased 39.3% YoY to INR414bn, adjusted PAT was up by 17.7% YoY to INR44.2bn, 12% above the consensus estimateContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: NTPC, United Spirits, Kajaria Ceramics

<ul><li>Expect similar volume CAGR, revenue to grow by 9/11% on YoY/three-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 9/11% on YoY/three-year CAGR in revenue in Q3FY23 (vs 17/10% in Q3FY22 and 8/11% in Q2FY23)</li><li>Rural demand remained tepid while some green shoots were visible at the end of the quarter</li><li>Urban demand too was not different from that seen in Q2</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Expect similar volume CAGR, revenue to grow by 9/11% on YoY/three-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 9/11% on YoY/three-year CAGR in revenue in Q3FY23 (vs 17/10% in Q3FY22 and 8/11% in Q2FY23)Rural demand remained tepid while some green shoots were visible at the end of the quarterUrban demand too was not different from that seen in Q2Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FMCG & Alco Bev (Q3FY23 Results Preview): Unchanged demand trend, some respite in margins

<ul><li>United Spirits: UNSP posted a beat on our estimates, led by strong performance in P&amp;A segment</li><li>Net revenue was up 18% YoY (9% on three-year CAGR), led by P&amp;A, which was up 23% YoY (15% three-year CAGR; a much-improved CAGR than seen in recent years)</li><li>P&amp;A volume, at 13mn cases, was up 14% YoY (6% three-year CAGR) vs HSIE’s 11.2mn cases</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

United Spirits: UNSP posted a beat on our estimates, led by strong performance in P&amp;A segmentNet revenue was up 18% YoY (9% on three-year CAGR), led by P&amp;A, which was up 23% YoY (15% three-year CAGR; a much-improved CAGR than seen in recent years)P&amp;A volume, at 13mn cases, was up 14% YoY (6% three-year CAGR) vs HSIE’s 11.2mn casesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: United Spirits, Multi Commodity Exchange

<ul><li>Volume weakness to continue, revenue to grow by 15/10% on YoY/three-year CAGR (weak ex-ITC): Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 10/15% on YoY/three-year CAGR in revenue in Q2FY23 (vs 12/7% in Q2FY22 and 24/11% in Q1FY23)</li><li>ITC’s strong reported growth will drive the aggregate growth for Q2FY23, ex-ITC we expect overall weakness in volume</li><li>Demand trends in our FMCG universe for Q2FY23 will be similar to the trends seen in the previous two quarters where demand was impacted by the retail inflation (particular in rural).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Volume weakness to continue, revenue to grow by 15/10% on YoY/three-year CAGR (weak ex-ITC): Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 10/15% on YoY/three-year CAGR in revenue in Q2FY23 (vs 12/7% in Q2FY22 and 24/11% in Q1FY23)ITC’s strong reported growth will drive the aggregate growth for Q2FY23, ex-ITC we expect overall weakness in volumeDemand trends in our FMCG universe for Q2FY23 will be similar to the trends seen in the previous two quarters where demand was impacted by the retail inflation (particular in rural).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FMCG & Alco Bev (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Growth and margin to remain under pressure

India

United Spirits Ltd. manufactures and distributes alcoholic beverages. The Company provides a variety of alcohols and spirits, including whiskey, brandy, and rum. United Spirits also manufactures indian-made foreign liquor brands. United Spirits serves customers worldwide.

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United Spirits (UNITDSPR IN)

FMCG & Alco Bev: Respite in demand and margins pressure

Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR in revenue in Q4FY23 (vs 12/8% in Q4FY22 and 8/10% in Q3FY23)

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: NTPC, United Spirits, Kajaria Ceramics

While revenue increased 39.3% YoY to INR414bn, adjusted PAT was up by 17.7% YoY to INR44.2bn, 12% above the consensus estimate

HDFC Securities

FMCG & Alco Bev (Q3FY23 Results Preview): Unchanged demand trend, some respite in margins

Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 9/11% on YoY/three-year CAGR in revenue in Q3FY23 (vs 17/10% in Q3FY22 and 8/11% in...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: United Spirits, Multi Commodity Exchange

Net revenue was up 18% YoY (9% on three-year CAGR), led by P&A, which was up 23% YoY (15% three-year CAGR; a much-improved CAGR than seen in recent...

HDFC Securities

FMCG & Alco Bev (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Growth and margin to remain under pressure

Demand trends in our FMCG universe for Q2FY23 will be similar to the trends seen in the previous two quarters where demand was impacted by the...

HDFC Securities

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