Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Last Week in Event SPACE: Singapore Air, Evergrande/Hopson, HomeCo/Aventus, Irongate, Shinsei Bank

Last Week in Event SPACE: ARA Logos/ESR-REIT, Z Energy, Ausnutria, MatsukiyoCocokara

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

<div><p>On average, J-REITs have historically outperformed the TSEREIT Index in the wake of follow-on equity offerings, with win rates exceeding 80%.</p></div><div><p>While the offerings are mostly of interest to primary market investors, we also see such offerings as catalysts for strong secondary market performance making these events worth tracking for secondary market investors too. We have previously discussed the historical pre- and post-offering performance of JREITs in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/j-reit-offering-primer-get-ready-for-offering-season-2021" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:46416" rel="noopener">J-REIT Offering Primer: Get Ready for Offering Season 2021</a>. In this insight, we evaluate the attractiveness of the latest candidate to launch such a follow-on equity offering - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/activia-properties-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9498:1" rel="noopener">Activia Properties (3279 JP)</a> ("API")- with greater emphasis on the potential for strong post-offering secondary market performance. </p></div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/activia-properties-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9498:1" rel="noopener">Activia Properties (3279 JP)</a> announced a follow-on equity offering today after market-close to fund part of their recent property acquisition. The primary offer quantity is 49,030 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 2,500 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥23bn (~US$210mn). </p><p><em>More below the fold. </em></p>

On average, J-REITs have historically outperformed the TSEREIT Index in the wake of follow-on equity offerings, with win rates exceeding 80%.While the offerings are mostly of interest to primary market investors, we also see such offerings as catalysts for strong secondary market performance making these events worth tracking for secondary market investors too. We have previously discussed the historical pre- and post-offering performance of JREITs in J-REIT Offering Primer: Get Ready for Offering Season 2021. In this insight, we evaluate the attractiveness of the latest candidate to launch such a follow-on equity offering - Activia Properties (3279 JP) ("API")- with greater emphasis on the potential for strong post-offering secondary market performance. Activia Properties (3279 JP) announced a follow-on equity offering today after market-close to fund part of their recent property acquisition. The primary offer quantity is 49,030 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 2,500 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥23bn (~US$210mn). More below the fold. 

Activia Properties (3279 JP): Offering Could Trigger Outperformance Vs TSEREIT Index

Daiwa House Reit Investment / Event-Driven

<p>J-REITs have historically outperformed the TSEREIT Index on average in the wake of follow-on equity offerings, with win rates exceeding 80%.</p><p>While the offerings are mostly of interest to primary market investors, we also see such offerings as catalysts for strong secondary market performance making these events worth tracking for secondary market investors too. We have previously discussed the historical pre- and post-offering performance of JREITs in <em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/j-reit-offering-primer-get-ready-for-offering-season-2021" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:46416" rel="noopener">J-REIT Offering Primer: Get Ready for Offering Season 2021</a></em>. In this insight, we evaluate the attractiveness of the latest candidate to launch such a follow-on equity offerings - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daiwa-house-reit-investment-cb077099-8006-45e4-83cf-6ac7f19cd384" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11283:1" rel="noopener">Daiwa House Reit Investment (8984 JP)</a><strong>("DHR")</strong> - with greater emphasis on the potential for strong post-offering secondary market performance. </p><p>DHR announced a <a href="https://www.daiwahouse-reit.co.jp/file/en-ir_news-3926cc869b501ab42a4918d64facbc098f8c6b97.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">follow-on equity offering</a> after the close on 18th August 2021 to fund part of their recent property acquisition. The primary offer quantity is 115,000 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 9,000 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥37.7bn (~US$343mn) which is slightly larger than some of the recent offerings by other JREITs. </p><p>The Offer Price will be determined between 25th August 2021 and 27th August 2021 (typically it has been the first day of this window for most JREIT offerings) and the two business days following the Offer Price Determination Day ("Pricing Date") will be the Application Date. </p><p><em>More below the fold. </em></p>

J-REITs have historically outperformed the TSEREIT Index on average in the wake of follow-on equity offerings, with win rates exceeding 80%.While the offerings are mostly of interest to primary market investors, we also see such offerings as catalysts for strong secondary market performance making these events worth tracking for secondary market investors too. We have previously discussed the historical pre- and post-offering performance of JREITs in J-REIT Offering Primer: Get Ready for Offering Season 2021. In this insight, we evaluate the attractiveness of the latest candidate to launch such a follow-on equity offerings - Daiwa House Reit Investment (8984 JP)("DHR") - with greater emphasis on the potential for strong post-offering secondary market performance. DHR announced a follow-on equity offering after the close on 18th August 2021 to fund part of their recent property acquisition. The primary offer quantity is 115,000 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 9,000 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥37.7bn (~US$343mn) which is slightly larger than some of the recent offerings by other JREITs. The Offer Price will be determined between 25th August 2021 and 27th August 2021 (typically it has been the first day of this window for most JREIT offerings) and the two business days following the Offer Price Determination Day ("Pricing Date") will be the Application Date. More below the fold. 

Daiwa House REIT Investment (8984 JP): Expect A Correction Before Pricing Date

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Equity Capital Markets

<p><em>This insight is a weekly update on the deals we have covered recently, along with upcoming IPOs.</em></p><div><h2><em>Accuracy Rate:</em></h2></div><p>Our accuracy rate so far this year has been <strong>76.5% for IPOs and 67.6% for Placements.</strong></p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/017/575/original/2016-Total-Deals-2016-Accuracy-Rate-_chartbuilder.png?1481270872" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="17575"></figure><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/017/576/original/Total-Deals-Since-Inception-Accuracy-Rate-Since-Inception-_chartbuilder.png?1481270888" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="17576"></figure><div class="content-highlight"><h2><em>Placements:</em></h2></div><p><strong>What we wrote on this week:</strong></p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/telekom-malaysia-first-khazanah-sell-down-post-gfc" target="_blank">Telekom Malaysia - First Khazanah Sell-Down Post-GFC</a></p><ul><li>Khazanah selling down for the first time since GFC, they sold around 2.5% of the stock at a tight 2.6% discount. Stock has been weak for some time owing to results being below expectations and possible tarrif…</li></ul>

This insight is a weekly update on the deals we have covered recently, along with upcoming IPOs.Accuracy Rate:Our accuracy rate so far this year has been 76.5% for IPOs and 67.6% for Placements.Placements:What we wrote on this week:Telekom Malaysia - First Khazanah Sell-Down Post-GFCKhazanah selling down for the first time since GFC, they sold around 2.5% of the stock at a tight 2.6% discount. Stock has been weak for some time owing to results being below expectations and possible tarrif…

Japan

United Urban Investment Corporation is a real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company directly invests in real estate properties such as shopping centers, offices, hotels, and residential buildings.

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United Urban Investment (8960 JP)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Singapore Air, Evergrande/Hopson, HomeCo/Aventus, Irongate, Shinsei Bank

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: ARA Logos/ESR-REIT, Z Energy, Ausnutria, MatsukiyoCocokara

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Activia Properties (3279 JP): Offering Could Trigger Outperformance Vs TSEREIT Index

Large cap diversified JREIT Activia Properties has launched a JPY23bn (US$210mn) follow-on equity offering which could trigger outperformance...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Daiwa House REIT Investment (8984 JP): Expect A Correction Before Pricing Date

Large cap diversified JREIT Daiwa House REIT launched an equity offering to partially fund their recent acquisition of properties. The offering...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Smartkarma - ECM Weekly (12 Dec 2016)

This insight is a weekly update on the deals we have covered recently, along with upcoming IPOs.Accuracy Rate:Our accuracy rate so far this year...

Sumeet Singh

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