European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Strategic merger between LondonMetric and Urban Logistics offers scale, diversification, and internal management benefits, with a modest premium to pre-announcement price and meaningful potential for operational synergies and cost savings.</li>
<li>Scheme of arrangement could complete by July 2025 if approved; long-term investors may benefit from enhanced dividend yield, greater liquidity, and sustained growth in logistics-focused real estate under unified management.</li>
<li>Long SHED at 138.6p to capture 8.1% gross spread; attractive upside with manageable downside risk and strong board support; reassess on firm offer announcement by 9 May 2025.</li>
</ul>


Strategic merger between LondonMetric and Urban Logistics offers scale, diversification, and internal management benefits, with a modest premium to pre-announcement price and meaningful potential for operational synergies and cost savings.
Scheme of arrangement could complete by July 2025 if approved; long-term investors may benefit from enhanced dividend yield, greater liquidity, and sustained growth in logistics-focused real estate under unified management.
Long SHED at 138.6p to capture 8.1% gross spread; attractive upside with manageable downside risk and strong board support; reassess on firm offer announcement by 9 May 2025.


Consolidating Yield: LondonMetric’s Possible Offer for Urban Logistics

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

BioPharma Credit PLC Fund / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the September 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see three M&amp;A-related intra-review changes for the F250 index prior to the September 2025 review (one announced later today) and then two more shortly after the rebal event. </li>
<li>Our latest estimates suggest there could be one regular change for the F250 index during the September 2025 rebalance. We do not currently see any changes for the F100.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the September 2025 index rebal event.
We see three M&amp;A-related intra-review changes for the F250 index prior to the September 2025 review (one announced later today) and then two more shortly after the rebal event. 
Our latest estimates suggest there could be one regular change for the F250 index during the September 2025 rebalance. We do not currently see any changes for the F100.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Sep25 Results: Methodology Change Could Result in a Surprise Addition

<ul>
<li>The June 2025 index review results for F100 and F250 indices were announced yesterday after LSE market close.</li>
<li>There will be no changes for F100. There will be 4 ADDs and 4 DELs for F250.</li>
<li>Separately, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/urban-logistics-reit-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35663:1" rel="noopener">Urban Logistics REIT (SHED LN)</a> is set to be deleted from the F250 index in June 2025 due to the completion of an M&amp;A event.</li>
</ul>


The June 2025 index review results for F100 and F250 indices were announced yesterday after LSE market close.
There will be no changes for F100. There will be 4 ADDs and 4 DELs for F250.
Separately, Urban Logistics REIT (SHED LN) is set to be deleted from the F250 index in June 2025 due to the completion of an M&amp;A event.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Jun25 Results: All 6 Expected ADDs/DELs Correct + Couple of Surprises

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>Value Act, as activist, believes the KKR's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/topcon-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:738:1" rel="noopener">Topcon Corp (7732 JP)</a> is not being done at the right price. But Value Act will now tender shares and invest in Bidco. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lynas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20374:1" rel="noopener">Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU)</a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/iluka-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10105:1" rel="noopener">Iluka Resources (ILU AU)</a> are the only Australian companies with confirmed (or near-term) refining specific heavy rare earth elements as China restricts exports.</li>
<li>StraCap has been tilting at the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wakita-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11924:1" rel="noopener">Wakita (8125 JP)</a> for years. It hasn't made headway. The only way StraCap will get its measures over the line is by soliciting retail.</li>
</ul>


Value Act, as activist, believes the KKR's Topcon Corp (7732 JP) is not being done at the right price. But Value Act will now tender shares and invest in Bidco. 

Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU)and Iluka Resources (ILU AU) are the only Australian companies with confirmed (or near-term) refining specific heavy rare earth elements as China restricts exports.
StraCap has been tilting at the Wakita (8125 JP) for years. It hasn't made headway. The only way StraCap will get its measures over the line is by soliciting retail.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Topcon, Heavy Rare Earth Elements, Wakita, Swire/Cathay, Horizon Robotics

United Kingdom

Urban Logistics REIT plc operates as a property investment company. The company invests in industrial and logistics properties. Urban Logistics REIT is based in the United Kingdom.

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Urban Logistics REIT (SHED LN)

Consolidating Yield: LondonMetric’s Possible Offer for Urban Logistics

LondonMetric’s bid for SHED offers scale, synergies, and yield. Risk arbitrageurs can capture an 8.1% spread with limited downside and solid board...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Sep25 Results: Methodology Change Could Result in a Surprise Addition

We see many high-impact F250 potential ADDs with opportunities to get added to the index during the regular Sep25 index review or on an intra...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Jun25 Results: All 6 Expected ADDs/DELs Correct + Couple of Surprises

All eight confirmed index changes have decent index flow impacts expected. Urban Logistics deletion could trigger one more addition to the F250...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Last Week in Event SPACE: Topcon, Heavy Rare Earth Elements, Wakita, Swire/Cathay, Horizon Robotics

It’s Sunday (and Easter)! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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