Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>Swap spreads narrowed late last week by three basis points across the curve, likely influenced by developments in European markets</li><li>French President Macron's decision to dissolve parliament and call for snap elections has caused uncertainty in the fiscal outlook, leading to de-risking of European sovereign bond holdings</li><li>While last week's moves in US markets were significant, it is unlikely to continue as US treasuries are expected to remain stable and demand is expected to stay strong, supported by the rate cycle turning and potential easing from the Fed</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Swap spreads narrowed late last week by three basis points across the curve, likely influenced by developments in European marketsFrench President Macron's decision to dissolve parliament and call for snap elections has caused uncertainty in the fiscal outlook, leading to de-risking of European sovereign bond holdingsWhile last week's moves in US markets were significant, it is unlikely to continue as US treasuries are expected to remain stable and demand is expected to stay strong, supported by the rate cycle turning and potential easing from the FedThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

<ul><li>Expectation of a 25 basis point cut from the ECB with a focus on delivering on that commitment</li><li>Market pricing in an incomplete cutting cycle, with potential for further easing depending on inflation dynamics</li><li>Long duration valuations attractive in both short and intermediate sectors of the curve, with limited risk of a significant sell-off.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Expectation of a 25 basis point cut from the ECB with a focus on delivering on that commitmentMarket pricing in an incomplete cutting cycle, with potential for further easing depending on inflation dynamicsLong duration valuations attractive in both short and intermediate sectors of the curve, with limited risk of a significant sell-off.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global Rates : A Round up of Hot Topics for European Rate Markets

<ul>
<li>Dollar long positions have been reduced by 40% since the end of May, leading to a weakening dollar and higher US yields</li>
<li>Market focus is shifting to the US with upcoming events like payrolls, CPI, and FOMC meeting, where inflation and Fed projections will be key factors in determining FX trades</li>
<li>Potential for changes in Fed's dot projections and neutral rate could also impact market reactions to FOMC meeting outcomes</li>
</ul>
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Dollar long positions have been reduced by 40% since the end of May, leading to a weakening dollar and higher US yields
Market focus is shifting to the US with upcoming events like payrolls, CPI, and FOMC meeting, where inflation and Fed projections will be key factors in determining FX trades
Potential for changes in Fed's dot projections and neutral rate could also impact market reactions to FOMC meeting outcomes

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global FX: G10 Central Bank Meetings and Read-Across for Currencies

<ul><li>Strong dollar not seen as a problem for the US or the Fed, more concerning for the rest of the world</li><li>Unlikely to see coordinated global intervention due to high hurdles and lack of exceptional circumstances</li><li>Dollar CNY stability due to PBOC holding it down, may welcome cooling pressures on the currency from Japan and Korea verbal interventions</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Strong dollar not seen as a problem for the US or the Fed, more concerning for the rest of the worldUnlikely to see coordinated global intervention due to high hurdles and lack of exceptional circumstancesDollar CNY stability due to PBOC holding it down, may welcome cooling pressures on the currency from Japan and Korea verbal interventionsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global FX: A Strong Dollar Is Not a US Problem

<ul><li>Powell's dovish tone at the press conference led to initial market reaction, but subsequent dollar rally due to revised growth and inflation forecasts in the SCP release</li><li>Market leaning towards higher median dot in SCP, but overall outlook remains for shallower cutting cycle by Fed</li><li>Yen vulnerability due to negative real yields despite BOJ rate hikes, yen weakening may impact other Asian currencies and markets</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Powell's dovish tone at the press conference led to initial market reaction, but subsequent dollar rally due to revised growth and inflation forecasts in the SCP releaseMarket leaning towards higher median dot in SCP, but overall outlook remains for shallower cutting cycle by FedYen vulnerability due to negative real yields despite BOJ rate hikes, yen weakening may impact other Asian currencies and marketsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global FX: An Uncomfortable Setup for USD Bulls and Bears

United States

The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

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USD (USD CURNCY)

Global Rates: Pardon my French

In summary, swap spreads narrowed due to European market effects, French elections caused uncertainty, US treasury cheapened versus swaps, but...

At Any Rate

Global Rates : A Round up of Hot Topics for European Rate Markets

The upcoming meeting is expected to result in a 25 basis point cut, with increases in core inflation projections for 2025 and potentially...

At Any Rate

Global FX: G10 Central Bank Meetings and Read-Across for Currencies

The dollar has weakened as investors reduce long positions, and market focus shifts to upcoming US data and the Federal Reserve's actions.

At Any Rate

Global FX: A Strong Dollar Is Not a US Problem

The strong dollar is not a major concern for the US or the Federal Reserve, but could pose challenges for the rest of the world, making coordinated...

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Global FX: An Uncomfortable Setup for USD Bulls and Bears

The dovish tone from Powell led to a dollar rally, with potential future rate hikes and mixed signals for FX traders, particularly impacting Asian...

At Any Rate

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