External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Equity Bottom-Up

<p>GAIL (India): Our BUY recommendation on GAIL with a price target of INR 210 is based on 9% CAGR expansion in gas transmission volume over FY22-24E to 136mmscmd on the back of (1) increase in domestic gas production, (2) increase in demand of RLNG, and (3) completion of major pipelines in eastern and southern India. Q2FY22 EBITDA/APAT were 34/47% above our estimates, owing to a 7% higher revenue, lower-than-expected raw material cost, higher-than-expected other income, and lower-than-expected tax outgo.</p>
<div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

GAIL (India): Our BUY recommendation on GAIL with a price target of INR 210 is based on 9% CAGR expansion in gas transmission volume over FY22-24E to 136mmscmd on the back of (1) increase in domestic gas production, (2) increase in demand of RLNG, and (3) completion of major pipelines in eastern and southern India. Q2FY22 EBITDA/APAT were 34/47% above our estimates, owing to a 7% higher revenue, lower-than-expected raw material cost, higher-than-expected other income, and lower-than-expected tax outgo.
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: NTPC, DLF, InterGlobe Aviation, Tata Power, GAIL (India), JSW Energy, Bandhan...

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

V-Guard Industries Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>The company has maintained strong return ratios with RoE and RoCE at ~18% and ~24%, respectively (three year's average) Q1FY22 Results: The company reported a better-than-expected Q1FY22...</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

The company has maintained strong return ratios with RoE and RoCE at ~18% and ~24%, respectively (three year's average) Q1FY22 Results: The company reported a better-than-expected Q1FY22...Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

V-Guard Industries: Non-South Regions Drive Performance

<p>HSIE Results Daily NTPC: Generation/sales increased 19.2%/19.3% YoY to 71.7bn/66.6bn unit in Q1FY22 on the back of demand recovery. Coal PAF, however, declined in Q1FY22 to 94% vs 96% YoY, but coal PLF was up at 70% in Q1FY22 vs 58.2% YoY. Underrecovery in Q1FY22 came in at INR1.9bn. After adjusting for previous periods and one-off items, adjusted PAT came in at INR31.6bn above our estimate. Debtors (&gt;45 days) increased to INR90bn vs INR65bn QoQ during the second corona wave. NTPC plans to add 15GW of RES capacity by FY24 and another 45GW by FY32.</p>
<div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

HSIE Results Daily NTPC: Generation/sales increased 19.2%/19.3% YoY to 71.7bn/66.6bn unit in Q1FY22 on the back of demand recovery. Coal PAF, however, declined in Q1FY22 to 94% vs 96% YoY, but coal PLF was up at 70% in Q1FY22 vs 58.2% YoY. Underrecovery in Q1FY22 came in at INR1.9bn. After adjusting for previous periods and one-off items, adjusted PAT came in at INR31.6bn above our estimate. Debtors (&gt;45 days) increased to INR90bn vs INR65bn QoQ during the second corona wave. NTPC plans to add 15GW of RES capacity by FY24 and another 45GW by FY32.
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: NTPC, IOC, Britannia and More

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<p>The Indian mutual fund industry has assets of almost INR 5 trillion across Multi cap, Large Cap, Large and Mid Cap, Mid Cap and Small Cap equity schemes. Equity schemes classified as large cap need to have at least 80% of their assets invested in large cap stocks, large and mid cap schemes need to have at least 35% of their assets in large cap stocks and at least 35% in mid cap stocks, mid cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in mid cap stocks, and small cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in small cap stocks.</p><p>The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) publishes the list of the stocks in each market cap segment in January and July each year and mutual funds have one month to rebalance their portfolios to adhere to the new categorization.</p><p>In the upcoming recategorization in January 2021, we see 6 stocks moved from the mid cap segment to the large cap segment with an equal number of stocks moving the other way, and 12 stocks are expected to move from the small cap segment to the mid cap segment with the same number moving the other way. There are quite a few IPOs that will join the small cap list, with just 1 joining the large cap list and 1 joining the mid cap list.</p><p>Historically, the stocks migrating upward to a higher market cap segment have outperformed stocks that migrate to a lower market cap segment over the 1 month and 2 month period post the publishing of the AMFI list. This can be attributed to fund managers realigning their portfolios to meet the new categorization. This provides opportunities to pre-position for the move and unwind post the announcement of the reclassification.</p>

The Indian mutual fund industry has assets of almost INR 5 trillion across Multi cap, Large Cap, Large and Mid Cap, Mid Cap and Small Cap equity schemes. Equity schemes classified as large cap need to have at least 80% of their assets invested in large cap stocks, large and mid cap schemes need to have at least 35% of their assets in large cap stocks and at least 35% in mid cap stocks, mid cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in mid cap stocks, and small cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in small cap stocks.The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) publishes the list of the stocks in each market cap segment in January and July each year and mutual funds have one month to rebalance their portfolios to adhere to the new categorization.In the upcoming recategorization in January 2021, we see 6 stocks moved from the mid cap segment to the large cap segment with an equal number of stocks moving the other way, and 12 stocks are expected to move from the small cap segment to the mid cap segment with the same number moving the other way. There are quite a few IPOs that will join the small cap list, with just 1 joining the large cap list and 1 joining the mid cap list.Historically, the stocks migrating upward to a higher market cap segment have outperformed stocks that migrate to a lower market cap segment over the 1 month and 2 month period post the publishing of the AMFI list. This can be attributed to fund managers realigning their portfolios to meet the new categorization. This provides opportunities to pre-position for the move and unwind post the announcement of the reclassification.

India: AMFI Stock Categorization Changes to Drive Active Portfolio Churn

Value investor- India mid & small caps

Bhaskar Chakraborty

<ul><li>Crompton chooses to defend margins while competitors chase growth</li><li>Crompton claims it grew in line with end consumption; it claims competitors resorted to channel filling which is not brought out by V-Guard and Bajaj Electrical's reported numbers</li><li>Growth will slow down in 1HFY18 on GST transition owing to channel de-stocking</li><li>GST will lead to price increases by the organized sector, undermine the 'organized sector to gain market share' thesis</li><li>Valuations leave limited upside, GST transition impact on earnings could create better entry points</li></ul>

Crompton chooses to defend margins while competitors chase growthCrompton claims it grew in line with end consumption; it claims competitors resorted to channel filling which is not brought out by V-Guard and Bajaj Electrical's reported numbersGrowth will slow down in 1HFY18 on GST transition owing to channel de-stockingGST will lead to price increases by the organized sector, undermine the 'organized sector to gain market share' thesisValuations leave limited upside, GST transition impact on earnings could create better entry points

India Consumer Electrical: Key Takeaways from 4QFY17 Results

India

V-Guard Industries Limited produces and manufacturers stabilizers, pumps, cables, fans, and electrical and solar water heaters.

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V-Guard Industries Ltd (VGRD IN)

HSIE Results Daily: NTPC, DLF, InterGlobe Aviation, Tata Power, GAIL (India), JSW Energy, Bandhan...

GAIL (India): Our BUY recommendation on GAIL with a price target of INR 210 is based on 9% CAGR expansion in gas transmission volume over FY22-24E...

HDFC Securities

V-Guard Industries: Non-South Regions Drive Performance

The company has maintained strong return ratios with RoE and RoCE at ~18% and ~24%, respectively (three year's average) Q1FY22 Results: The company...

ICICI Securities Limited

HSIE Results Daily: NTPC, IOC, Britannia and More

NTPC: Generation/sales increased 19.2%/19.3% YoY to 71.7bn/66.6bn unit in Q1FY22 on the back of demand recovery. Coal PAF, however, declined in...

HDFC Securities

India: AMFI Stock Categorization Changes to Drive Active Portfolio Churn

The reclassification of stocks to large, mid and small cap will set off a churn in mutual fund portfolios where historically stocks migrating...

Brian Freitas

India Consumer Electrical: Key Takeaways from 4QFY17 Results

Crompton chooses to defend margins while competitors chase growth Crompton claims it grew in line with end consumption; it claims competitors...

Bhaskar Chakraborty

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