Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Tethys Oil (TETY SS)C; target price of SEK100 per share: Increasing further the size of the prize/Considering Algeria – The South Lahan area on Block 58 is estimated to hold 55-523 mmbl prospective resources (P90-P10 case) with a mean case of 251.8 mmbbl prospective resources across six prospects in the Ara Carbonate.</li>
<li>Combined with the previously disclosed prospective resources of the Fahd area in the north-eastern part of Block 58, Tethys Oil’s unrisked recoverable prospective resources on the block are estimated to be 435.9 mmbbl (Pmean).</li>
<li>The geological chance of success ranges from 6% to 11% for the six new prospects.</li>
</ul>


Tethys Oil (TETY SS)C; target price of SEK100 per share: Increasing further the size of the prize/Considering Algeria – The South Lahan area on Block 58 is estimated to hold 55-523 mmbl prospective resources (P90-P10 case) with a mean case of 251.8 mmbbl prospective resources across six prospects in the Ara Carbonate.
Combined with the previously disclosed prospective resources of the Fahd area in the north-eastern part of Block 58, Tethys Oil’s unrisked recoverable prospective resources on the block are estimated to be 435.9 mmbbl (Pmean).
The geological chance of success ranges from 6% to 11% for the six new prospects.


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Nong Yao-13 exploration well in the new Nong Yao D area that was targeting multiple zones has encountered &gt;30 feet of new oil play across several new shallow intervals which have not been produced elsewhere on the concession.</li>
<li>These reservoirs are believed to be recurring across the Nong Yao D area.</li>
<li>The drilling result confirms that oil has successfully migrated into this area of the block (a factor that was seen to be a risk in the Nong Yao D area) and open the opportunity for further appraisal and exploration drilling in the vicinity to derisk sufficient volumes to justify a future development.</li>
</ul>


The Nong Yao-13 exploration well in the new Nong Yao D area that was targeting multiple zones has encountered &gt;30 feet of new oil play across several new shallow intervals which have not been produced elsewhere on the concession.
These reservoirs are believed to be recurring across the Nong Yao D area.
The drilling result confirms that oil has successfully migrated into this area of the block (a factor that was seen to be a risk in the Nong Yao D area) and open the opportunity for further appraisal and exploration drilling in the vicinity to derisk sufficient volumes to justify a future development.


Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Three exploration wells deliver three discoveries

<ul>
<li>ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Restarting production at Anshof – The Permanent Production Facility (PPF), with a capacity of 3,000 bbl/d of liquids, has been commissioned and the Anshof-3 well has recommenced production at a rate of 134 bbl/d with no water.</li>
<li>The operation has been undertaken in line with expectations and within budget.</li>
<li>The oil production rate at Anshof-3 is 16% above the rate prior to shut-in.</li>
</ul>


ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Restarting production at Anshof – The Permanent Production Facility (PPF), with a capacity of 3,000 bbl/d of liquids, has been commissioned and the Anshof-3 well has recommenced production at a rate of 134 bbl/d with no water.
The operation has been undertaken in line with expectations and within budget.
The oil production rate at Anshof-3 is 16% above the rate prior to shut-in.


<ul>
<li>1Q24 production was 21.9 mbbl/d in line with our expectations.</li>
<li>Production at the end of March was ~23 mbbl/d.</li>
<li>Net cash of US$193.6 mm (US$176.3 mm unrestricted) was high given that the company sold only 1.8 mmbbl in 1Q24 with inventory building-up ~0.21 mmbbl vs YE23 to 0.9 mmbbl.</li>
</ul>


1Q24 production was 21.9 mbbl/d in line with our expectations.
Production at the end of March was ~23 mbbl/d.
Net cash of US$193.6 mm (US$176.3 mm unrestricted) was high given that the company sold only 1.8 mmbbl in 1Q24 with inventory building-up ~0.21 mmbbl vs YE23 to 0.9 mmbbl.


Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Net cash up by >US$40 mm since YE23

<ul>
<li>ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Logging results at Welchau further derisk the discovery – The logging program has confirmed open fracture networks and vuggy porosity (matrix porosity) essential for well productivity coincident with hydrocarbon shows between 1346 m and 1702 m measured depth.</li>
<li>This represents 356 m of gross interval across three interpreted lithological sequences.</li>
<li>This compares with only 115 m of liquids-rich gas shows announced previously.</li>
</ul>


ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Logging results at Welchau further derisk the discovery – The logging program has confirmed open fracture networks and vuggy porosity (matrix porosity) essential for well productivity coincident with hydrocarbon shows between 1346 m and 1702 m measured depth.
This represents 356 m of gross interval across three interpreted lithological sequences.
This compares with only 115 m of liquids-rich gas shows announced previously.


Canada

Valeura Energy Inc. operates as an exploration company. The Company engages in the development and production of petroleum and natural gas. Valeura Energy focuses on growing its resource base and production in the Thrace Basin in Northwest Turkey.

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Valeura Energy Inc (VLE CN)

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 19/04/2024

Tethys Oil (TETY SS)C; target price of SEK100 per share: Increasing further the size of the prize/Considering Algeria – The South Lahan area on...

Auctus Advisors

Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Three exploration wells deliver three discoveries

The drilling result confirms that oil has successfully migrated into this area of the block (a factor that was seen to be a risk in the Nong Yao D...

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 12/04/2024

ADX anticipates increasing production from the well to 150 bbl/d. No permanent staff will be required on the site, which should reduce opex.

Auctus Advisors

Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Net cash up by >US$40 mm since YE23

Net cash of US$193.6 mm (US$176.3 mm unrestricted) was high given that the company sold only 1.8 mmbbl in 1Q24 with inventory building-up ~0.21...

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 28/03/2024

This represents 356 m of gross interval across three interpreted lithological sequences. This compares with only 115 m of liquids-rich gas shows...

Auctus Advisors

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