Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: Target price of A$0.100 per share: 1Q23 in line with expectations.</li><li>In March net production from Anshof has increased to 94 bbl/d.</li><li>Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; target price of A$0.50 per share: Better than expected performance.</li></ul>

ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: Target price of A$0.100 per share: 1Q23 in line with expectations.In March net production from Anshof has increased to 94 bbl/d.Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; target price of A$0.50 per share: Better than expected performance.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The Wassana field has now re-started production.</li><li>This is much earlier than we were anticipating as we were forecasting almost no production from Wassana during 2Q23.</li><li>Palang Sophon will transfer its 11% working interest to Valeura, resulting in Valeura holding 100% WI in Wassana.</li></ul>

The Wassana field has now re-started production.This is much earlier than we were anticipating as we were forecasting almost no production from Wassana during 2Q23.Palang Sophon will transfer its 11% working interest to Valeura, resulting in Valeura holding 100% WI in Wassana.

Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Production Restart at Wassana Earlier than Expected.

Woodside Energy Group Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>ADX Energy (ADX AU) C : Target price of A$0.100 per share: Competent person report confirms the materiality of the Welchau pospect – The Welchau prospect has been estimated to hold between 365 bcfe and 1,128 bcfe of prospective resources by Gaffney, Cline &amp; Associates (GCA) with a mid-case at 645 bcfe including 10.1 mmbbl of condensate.</li><li>While this is below the 807 bcfe mid-case estimated by ADX, the fact that the lower end of the GCA range (332 bcf of natural gas plus 5.5 mmbbl of condensate in the 1U case) is significantly larger than ADX’s estimate of 212 bcfe is the most important take away in our view.</li><li>The unrisked value of the asset (A$0.09 per share) is very high even in the low case. Welchau is now expected to be drilled in September. </li></ul>

ADX Energy (ADX AU) C : Target price of A$0.100 per share: Competent person report confirms the materiality of the Welchau pospect – The Welchau prospect has been estimated to hold between 365 bcfe and 1,128 bcfe of prospective resources by Gaffney, Cline &amp; Associates (GCA) with a mid-case at 645 bcfe including 10.1 mmbbl of condensate.While this is below the 807 bcfe mid-case estimated by ADX, the fact that the lower end of the GCA range (332 bcf of natural gas plus 5.5 mmbbl of condensate in the 1U case) is significantly larger than ADX’s estimate of 212 bcfe is the most important take away in our view.The unrisked value of the asset (A$0.09 per share) is very high even in the low case. Welchau is now expected to be drilled in September. 

<ul><li>At completion of the Mubadala Acquisition on 22 March, the acquired entity held cash and cash equivalent resources of ~US$243 mm.</li><li>After accounting for inventories, accounts payable, and tax payable in May, the increase in Valeura’s adjusted net working capital position is estimated at ~$105 mm.</li><li>Valeura has budgeted US$180-200 mm capex in 2023 including ~US$34 mm for 1Q23 activities and mostly occurring before the completion of the Mubadala Acquisition (and already netted off from the adjusted working capital).</li></ul>

At completion of the Mubadala Acquisition on 22 March, the acquired entity held cash and cash equivalent resources of ~US$243 mm.After accounting for inventories, accounts payable, and tax payable in May, the increase in Valeura’s adjusted net working capital position is estimated at ~$105 mm.Valeura has budgeted US$180-200 mm capex in 2023 including ~US$34 mm for 1Q23 activities and mostly occurring before the completion of the Mubadala Acquisition (and already netted off from the adjusted working capital).

Valeura Energy - Working Capital Well Ahead of Expectations.

<ul><li>Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) C; Target price of £0.45 per share: The RCE-5 well encounters one of the largest net pay to date in the RCE field – The RCE-5 well encountered 90 feet of net oil pay across the Carbonera C7 (36 feet) and the Lower Gacheta sands (54 feet).</li><li>RCE-5 encountered the largest net pay in the current programme.</li><li>Hurricane Energy (HUR LN): Operating update in the UK – Oil production from Lancaster was 7,672 bbl/d in May with 52% water cut.</li></ul>

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) C; Target price of £0.45 per share: The RCE-5 well encounters one of the largest net pay to date in the RCE field – The RCE-5 well encountered 90 feet of net oil pay across the Carbonera C7 (36 feet) and the Lower Gacheta sands (54 feet).RCE-5 encountered the largest net pay in the current programme.Hurricane Energy (HUR LN): Operating update in the UK – Oil production from Lancaster was 7,672 bbl/d in May with 52% water cut.

Canada

Valeura Energy Inc. operates as an exploration company. The Company engages in the development and production of petroleum and natural gas. Valeura Energy focuses on growing its resource base and production in the Thrace Basin in Northwest Turkey.

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Valeura Energy Inc (VLE CN)

Auctus on Friday - 05/05/2023

ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: Target price of A$0.100 per share: 1Q23 in line with expectations.In March net production from Anshof has increased to 94 bbl/d.

Auctus Advisors

Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Production Restart at Wassana Earlier than Expected.

The Wassana field has now re-started production. This is much earlier than we were anticipating as we were forecasting almost no production from...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 21/04/2023

The Welchau prospect has been estimated to hold between 365 bcfe and 1,128 bcfe of prospective resources by Gaffney, Cline & Associates (GCA) with...

Auctus Advisors

Valeura Energy - Working Capital Well Ahead of Expectations.

At completion of the Mubadala Acquisition on 22 March, the acquired entity held cash and cash equivalent resources of ~US$243 mm.

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 06/04/2023

Hurricane Energy (HUR LN): Operating update in the UK – Oil production from Lancaster was 7,672 bbl/d in May with 52% water cut.

Auctus Advisors

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