Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

Shareholder activism is on the rise in India. Institutional shareholders are making their vote count. Proxy advisor firms are also playing a role in guiding institutions to leverage their voting rights prudently. Over the past few months, we saw several instances of activism, mostly through adverse voting and complaining on public forums like earnings call. In a couple of cases, large shareholders (&gt;10% ownership) have also used their rights under Companies Act to call an extraordinary general meeting (EGM) to push for change of board and management.
In our detailed insight below, we discuss many such instances that transpired over the past few months. We also discuss our key takeaways for the Indian markets from this uprising activism.

Shareholder activism is on the rise in India. Institutional shareholders are making their vote count. Proxy advisor firms are also playing a role in guiding institutions to leverage their voting rights prudently. Over the past few months, we saw several instances of activism, mostly through adverse voting and complaining on public forums like earnings call. In a couple of cases, large shareholders (&gt;10% ownership) have also used their rights under Companies Act to call an extraordinary general meeting (EGM) to push for change of board and management.
In our detailed insight below, we discuss many such instances that transpired over the past few months. We also discuss our key takeaways for the Indian markets from this uprising activism.

The Rise of Shareholder Activism in India

Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jindal-steel-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6614:1" rel="noopener">Jindal Steel &amp; Power (JSP IN)</a> in yet another contestable decision by the founders, face scrutiny in form of rising shareholder activism. The activism movement relates to the decision of selling its entire power arm, Jindal Power Limited to a promoter group entity, a decision that embarked a controversy. This is a second major shareholder activism, creating a roadblock for the promoters, after what happened with JSW Energy recently, which was covered by us in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jsw-energy-fresh-trouble" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:42651" rel="noopener">JSW Energy: Fresh Trouble</a>. 
With the above two entities combined with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN)</a>'s <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-delisting-failure-the-upsurge-of-shareholder-activism-in-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:44110" rel="noopener">Vedanta Delisting Failure: The Upsurge of Shareholder Activism in India?</a>  , one thing is certain, that shareholder activism in India is gaining credence, and it is about time that these promoter-family-businesses take them seriously.

Jindal Steel &amp; Power (JSP IN) in yet another contestable decision by the founders, face scrutiny in form of rising shareholder activism. The activism movement relates to the decision of selling its entire power arm, Jindal Power Limited to a promoter group entity, a decision that embarked a controversy. This is a second major shareholder activism, creating a roadblock for the promoters, after what happened with JSW Energy recently, which was covered by us in JSW Energy: Fresh Trouble. 
With the above two entities combined with Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN)'s Vedanta Delisting Failure: The Upsurge of Shareholder Activism in India?  , one thing is certain, that shareholder activism in India is gaining credence, and it is about time that these promoter-family-businesses take them seriously.

JSPL- Shareholder Activism Gains Credence

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-India in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Hindustan Petroleum, National Aluminium, Oil &amp; Natural Gas, Vedanta, Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles, ICICI Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-India in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Hindustan Petroleum, National Aluminium, Oil &amp; Natural Gas, Vedanta, Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles, ICICI Bank.


MS-India Index Earning Revision (Jun): Hindustan Petroleum, National Aluminium, Oil & Natural Gas

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The year 2020 was a wild swing for the capital markets; it was off in a flash but still won't be forgotten by many. It was a year marked by unpredictability, right from Covid-19 to the crashing of indices. It was a challenge to many, but still the year has uncovered several new, differentiated potholes for many companies on corporate governance, accounting engineering. We have provided critical views on few of the companies on these two aspects. 
Going forward we will continue to provide critical views on the companies especially in our core area of corporate governance and forensic research. Beginning 2021, we will be covering the same through our product 'AGE Analysis' (Accounting. Governance. Earnings). We also look to enhance our reach in macro coverage, along with event driven insights.

The year 2020 was a wild swing for the capital markets; it was off in a flash but still won't be forgotten by many. It was a year marked by unpredictability, right from Covid-19 to the crashing of indices. It was a challenge to many, but still the year has uncovered several new, differentiated potholes for many companies on corporate governance, accounting engineering. We have provided critical views on few of the companies on these two aspects. 
Going forward we will continue to provide critical views on the companies especially in our core area of corporate governance and forensic research. Beginning 2021, we will be covering the same through our product 'AGE Analysis' (Accounting. Governance. Earnings). We also look to enhance our reach in macro coverage, along with event driven insights.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 22 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index and 1 change for the Nifty100 Low Volatility 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 29 June.</li>
<li>The round-trip trade across both indices is estimated at just over US$2bn and there are 18 stocks that have over 1x ADV to trade from passives.</li>
<li>A number of the inclusions will have inflows from global and local passive trackers over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


There are 22 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index and 1 change for the Nifty100 Low Volatility 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 29 June.
The round-trip trade across both indices is estimated at just over US$2bn and there are 18 stocks that have over 1x ADV to trade from passives.
A number of the inclusions will have inflows from global and local passive trackers over the next few months.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 / Nifty100 LowVol30 Index Rebalance: Over US$2bn to Trade in June

India

Vedanta Limited is a leading global producer of metals, critical minerals, oil and gas, and technology. The company explores, extracts, and processes a diversified portfolio of resources including zinc, aluminum, copper, iron ore, and oil and gas. Vedanta Limited is headquartered in Mumbai, India, and was founded in 1979.

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Vedanta (VEDL US)

The Rise of Shareholder Activism in India

Shareholder activism is on the rise in India with several recent instances where investors have raised concerns through voting rights and EGMs as...

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JSPL- Shareholder Activism Gains Credence

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MS-India Index Earning Revision (Jun): Hindustan Petroleum, National Aluminium, Oil & Natural Gas

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Review for the Year 2020

We review our entire cloud of insights covered in 2020, and give a snapshot of how did they pay out in the market, including future prospects.

Nitin Mangal

NIFTY200 Momentum30 / Nifty100 LowVol30 Index Rebalance: Over US$2bn to Trade in June

The deletes have outperformed the adds by 4.7% since the announcement of the changes. The passives trade at the close today and those flows could...

Brian Freitas

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