Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>RBI kept the policy rate unchanged and retained a neutral policy stance. But (in concert with MoF), a more conducive climate was created for foreign inflows into India's debt markets.  </li>
<li>Real GDP grew 7.8%YoY in Q4/FY26 with a current account surplus (0.7% of GDP). Our forecast for core CPI inflation is 4.2%, headline 4.8%, and no rate hikes in FY27.</li>
<li>With services (52% of the economy) growing 9%+, we expect real GDP to grow 7.3% in FY27, and strong net FDI and FPI inflows to bolster INR. Bullish. </li>
</ul>


RBI kept the policy rate unchanged and retained a neutral policy stance. But (in concert with MoF), a more conducive climate was created for foreign inflows into India's debt markets.  
Real GDP grew 7.8%YoY in Q4/FY26 with a current account surplus (0.7% of GDP). Our forecast for core CPI inflation is 4.2%, headline 4.8%, and no rate hikes in FY27.
With services (52% of the economy) growing 9%+, we expect real GDP to grow 7.3% in FY27, and strong net FDI and FPI inflows to bolster INR. Bullish. 


India: No Rate Hike in FY27, as Growth Slows a Tad and CAD Widens to 1% of GDP

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>LME aluminium hit 4-year high near $3,670/t in April 2026, driven by West Asia smelter damage and the Strait of Hormuz blockade. Indian Producers are direct beneficiaries of Supply Shock.</li>
<li>All three Indian Producers rallied near Lifetime High. Nalco, Hindalco, and Vedanta posted all-time high profits but valuations have run well above 5-year averages</li>
<li>More a stock-picker's market now than a rising-tide trade. Vedanta's demerger, Nalco's expansion and Hindalco's downstream mix are the real differentiators,</li>
</ul>


LME aluminium hit 4-year high near $3,670/t in April 2026, driven by West Asia smelter damage and the Strait of Hormuz blockade. Indian Producers are direct beneficiaries of Supply Shock.
All three Indian Producers rallied near Lifetime High. Nalco, Hindalco, and Vedanta posted all-time high profits but valuations have run well above 5-year averages
More a stock-picker's market now than a rising-tide trade. Vedanta's demerger, Nalco's expansion and Hindalco's downstream mix are the real differentiators,


3 Indian Aluminium Companies that Will Benefit from Supply Shock!

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.</li>
<li>Here we have presented our expectations for these indices for the upcoming index rebal event in March 2027.</li>
<li>We see two changes for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100.</li>
</ul>


NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
Here we have presented our expectations for these indices for the upcoming index rebal event in March 2027.
We see two changes for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100.


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar27: Some High-Impact ADDs/DELs; ~US$1.3bn Combined One-Way Flow

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We had a near-term bullish outlook on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) from 4/22/25 to 11/18/25.</li>
<li>After being near-term neutral for a week, we flipped back to bullish in our 11/25/25 Compass, all while maintaining our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $135.70 on ACWI-US continue to hold. </li>
</ul>


We had a near-term bullish outlook on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) from 4/22/25 to 11/18/25.
After being near-term neutral for a week, we flipped back to bullish in our 11/25/25 Compass, all while maintaining our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $135.70 on ACWI-US continue to hold. 


"Lockout Rally" Underway; Downgrading China to Market Weight; Weak U.S. Dollar Is Risk-On Signal

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

<ul>
<li>Precious and energy-transition metals lead as structural scarcity, central-bank demand, and electrification support gold, silver, copper, aluminium, zinc, and rare earths into 2026.</li>
<li>Bulks and hydrocarbons lag with weak China demand, oversupply, and compressed margins across iron ore, nickel, steel, coal, and crude, keeping the segment firmly underweight.</li>
<li>Top Asia exposures include Zijin, Korea Zinc, Hindustan Zinc, Vedanta, CMOC, JXAM, SMM, Mitsui, Jiangxi Copper, NALCO, Hongqiao, Hindalco, Shenghe, and CNRE.</li>
</ul>


Precious and energy-transition metals lead as structural scarcity, central-bank demand, and electrification support gold, silver, copper, aluminium, zinc, and rare earths into 2026.
Bulks and hydrocarbons lag with weak China demand, oversupply, and compressed margins across iron ore, nickel, steel, coal, and crude, keeping the segment firmly underweight.
Top Asia exposures include Zijin, Korea Zinc, Hindustan Zinc, Vedanta, CMOC, JXAM, SMM, Mitsui, Jiangxi Copper, NALCO, Hongqiao, Hindalco, Shenghe, and CNRE.


Asia Metals Outlook 2026: Scarcity Favours Gold, Copper, Aluminium

India

Vedanta Limited mines, produces, and exports base metals. The Company mines and distributes metals such as zinc, iron ore, copper, silver, and aluminium, as well as operates power plants. Vedanta markets its products worldwide.

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Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN)

India: No Rate Hike in FY27, as Growth Slows a Tad and CAD Widens to 1% of GDP

RBI maintains policy rate, focuses on attracting foreign inflows to debt markets. With Services growing 9%, RGDP to grow 7.3% in FY27, as...

Prasenjit K. Basu

3 Indian Aluminium Companies that Will Benefit from Supply Shock!

LME aluminium hits 4-year high due to supply shock in West Asia, benefiting Indian producers like Nalco, Hindalco, and Vedanta. Stock-pickers...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar27: Some High-Impact ADDs/DELs; ~US$1.3bn Combined One-Way Flow

We expect US$824mn and US$493mn one-way flows for NIFTY 50 and NIFTY Next 50 respectively. The NIFTY 50 expected ADDs/DELs have >8x ADV to trade.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

"Lockout Rally" Underway; Downgrading China to Market Weight; Weak U.S. Dollar Is Risk-On Signal

"Lockout Rally" Underway $ACWI; Downgrading China $MCHI $FXI to Market Weight; U.S. Dollar (DXY) Providing Significant Risk-On Signal. Remain...

Vermilion Research

Asia Metals Outlook 2026: Scarcity Favours Gold, Copper, Aluminium

Precious and energy-transition metals set to outperform bulks and hydrocarbons through 2026, with top Asia exposures including Zijin, Korea Zinc,...

Rahul Jain

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

India: No Rate Hike in FY27, as Growth Slows a Tad and CAD Widens to 1% of GDP

​RBI maintains policy rate, focuses on attracting foreign inflows to debt markets. With Services growing 9%, RGDP to grow 7.3% in FY27, as...

Prasenjit K. Basu

3 Indian Aluminium Companies that Will Benefit from Supply Shock!

​LME aluminium hits 4-year high due to supply shock in West Asia, benefiting Indian producers like Nalco, Hindalco, and Vedanta. Stock-pickers...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar27: Some High-Impact ADDs/DELs; ~US$1.3bn Combined One-Way Flow

We expect US$824mn and US$493mn one-way flows for NIFTY 50 and NIFTY Next 50 respectively. The NIFTY 50 expected ADDs/DELs have >8x ADV to trade.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

"Lockout Rally" Underway; Downgrading China to Market Weight; Weak U.S. Dollar Is Risk-On Signal

"Lockout Rally" Underway $ACWI; Downgrading China $MCHI $FXI to Market Weight; U.S. Dollar (DXY) Providing Significant Risk-On Signal. Remain...

Vermilion Research

Asia Metals Outlook 2026: Scarcity Favours Gold, Copper, Aluminium

​Precious and energy-transition metals set to outperform bulks and hydrocarbons through 2026, with top Asia exposures including Zijin, Korea Zinc,...

Rahul Jain

RBI maintains policy rate, focuses on attracting foreign inflows to debt markets. With Services growing 9%, RGDP to grow 7.3% in FY27, as...

LME aluminium hits 4-year high due to supply shock in West Asia, benefiting Indian producers like Nalco, Hindalco, and Vedanta. Stock-pickers...

Precious and energy-transition metals set to outperform bulks and hydrocarbons through 2026, with top Asia exposures including Zijin, Korea Zinc,...