HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>MicroPort’s net loss widened according to its profit warning. The negative impact of centralized procurement is already being shown. We analyzed the situation of its different business segments.</li>
<li>After continuous M&amp;A, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microport-scientific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4487:1" rel="noopener">Microport Scientific (853 HK)</a> could face cash flow pressure in this unfriendly financing environment.</li>
<li>Due to MicroPort’s development mode, the market value of its subsidiaries could be higher than the parent company. Our view is that the subsidiaries would be a better investment.</li>
</ul>


MicroPort’s net loss widened according to its profit warning. The negative impact of centralized procurement is already being shown. We analyzed the situation of its different business segments.
After continuous M&amp;A, Microport Scientific (853 HK) could face cash flow pressure in this unfriendly financing environment.
Due to MicroPort’s development mode, the market value of its subsidiaries could be higher than the parent company. Our view is that the subsidiaries would be a better investment.


Microport Scientific (853.HK) - The Subsidiaries Would Be a Better Investment

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>From peak allocations of over 8% at the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, China &amp; HK Health Care allocations have fallen back in to their long-term range</li>
<li>Greater China managers have actively rebalanced portfolios away from China &amp; HK Health Care over the last 6-months, with Taiwan Tech the key beneficiary</li>
<li>Venus MedTech and Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine led the exodus, but it wasn't completely one-sided, with Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics and Aier Eye Hospital Group capturing new investment from Greater China managers.</li>
</ul>


From peak allocations of over 8% at the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, China &amp; HK Health Care allocations have fallen back in to their long-term range
Greater China managers have actively rebalanced portfolios away from China &amp; HK Health Care over the last 6-months, with Taiwan Tech the key beneficiary
Venus MedTech and Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine led the exodus, but it wasn't completely one-sided, with Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics and Aier Eye Hospital Group capturing new investment from Greater China managers.


Greater China Funds: China Health Care Reversal

Equity Capital Markets

Shanghai NewMed Medical / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>From <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-newmed-medical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34126:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai NewMed Medical (NMM HK)</a>’s pipeline, it can be seen that almost all the candidates do not have obvious advantages in development progress in front of the competing products.</li>
<li>NewMed has little experience in launching and commercializing product candidates, especially as a late-comer. So, the actual commercialization performance could be lower than expected.</li>
<li>Since there are so many uncertainties as well as the poor market sentiment for new IPOs in HKEX, we are conservative about the outlook of NewMed at the current stage.</li>
</ul>


From Shanghai NewMed Medical (NMM HK)’s pipeline, it can be seen that almost all the candidates do not have obvious advantages in development progress in front of the competing products.
NewMed has little experience in launching and commercializing product candidates, especially as a late-comer. So, the actual commercialization performance could be lower than expected.
Since there are so many uncertainties as well as the poor market sentiment for new IPOs in HKEX, we are conservative about the outlook of NewMed at the current stage.


Pre-IPO Shanghai NewMed Medical - Concerns on Fierce Competition and Future Commercialization

<ul>
<li>Last week, the 7th national volume-based purchase (VBP) began, involving 208 product specifications and 59 varieties.</li>
<li>We summaries the competitive landscape and outlook of both domestic and foreign pharmaceutical companies in this VBP.</li>
<li>Most investors may not have experienced July 22, 2015, so there is no reason to dismiss the prospects of China's healthcare industry because of the correction in the short term. </li>
</ul>


Last week, the 7th national volume-based purchase (VBP) began, involving 208 product specifications and 59 varieties.
We summaries the competitive landscape and outlook of both domestic and foreign pharmaceutical companies in this VBP.
Most investors may not have experienced July 22, 2015, so there is no reason to dismiss the prospects of China's healthcare industry because of the correction in the short term. 


China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.28) - 7th National VBP, Taking History as a Mirror, Confidence Rebuilt

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/venus-medtech-hangzhou-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28257:1" rel="noopener">Venus MedTech (2500 HK)</a> is taking the lead in TAVR industry, but <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/peijia-medical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28862:1" rel="noopener">Peijia Medical (9996 HK)</a> has advantages in development progress of future products. So, the market pattern is not yet determined.</li>
<li>The high cost of TAVR surgery is the main reason for lower-than-expected sales performance of related companies and low market penetration. The fierce competition would also bring more challenges. </li>
<li>A good solution is to enter developing markets with CE mark, which would offer a new commercialization option and also a wider expansion beyond just European and American markets.</li>
</ul>



Venus MedTech (2500 HK) is taking the lead in TAVR industry, but Peijia Medical (9996 HK) has advantages in development progress of future products. So, the market pattern is not yet determined.
The high cost of TAVR surgery is the main reason for lower-than-expected sales performance of related companies and low market penetration. The fierce competition would also bring more challenges. 
A good solution is to enter developing markets with CE mark, which would offer a new commercialization option and also a wider expansion beyond just European and American markets.


Peijia Medical (9996.HK) Vs Venus MedTech (2500.HK) Vs CardioFlow (2160.HK)-Pain Points and Solution

China

Venus MedTech (HangZhou) Inc. develops and sells cardiovascular devices. The Company offers products including aorta, compression loading and conveying systems, and pulmonary artery. Venus MedTech (HangZhou) markets its products throughout China.

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Venus MedTech (2500 HK)

Microport Scientific (853.HK) - The Subsidiaries Would Be a Better Investment

We analyzed the centralized procurement and other concerns on MicroPort. Due to its development mode, the subsidiaries are more attractive and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Greater China Funds: China Health Care Reversal

Greater China managers have actively rebalanced portfolios away from China & HK Health Care over the last 6-months, with Taiwan Tech the key...

Steven Holden

Pre-IPO Shanghai NewMed Medical - Concerns on Fierce Competition and Future Commercialization

We analyzed the industry characteristics of heart valve device market. Concerns of NewMed are mainly the slow product development progress, fierce...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.28) - 7th National VBP, Taking History as a Mirror, Confidence Rebuilt

We analyzed the competitive landscape of 7th national VBP. Taking history as a mirror, the 2015 healthcare reform could be a good reference.So,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Peijia Medical (9996.HK) Vs Venus MedTech (2500.HK) Vs CardioFlow (2160.HK)-Pain Points and Solution

We analyzed the TAVR business of Venus, MicroPort CardioFlow and Peijia. We also analyzed the competition pattern, concerns, pain points of TAVR...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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