Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities, LightStream Research

Scott Foster

Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Down nearly 30% since January 28, the shares are now selling at 17x management's EPS guidance for FY Mar-21 and 13x our EPS estimate for FY Mar-24, when management expects 5G-related sales and profits to peak.</p><p>Premature concern over the next cyclical downturn appears to have been discounted. Delays to 5G roll-outs caused by the pandemic should also be in the price.</p><p>Over the coming three years, sales should rise by more than 20% and operating profit by more than 30%, driven by 5G and growing economies of scale in the company's other businesses.</p><p>Buy back in for the long term.</p>

Down nearly 30% since January 28, the shares are now selling at 17x management's EPS guidance for FY Mar-21 and 13x our EPS estimate for FY Mar-24, when management expects 5G-related sales and profits to peak.Premature concern over the next cyclical downturn appears to have been discounted. Delays to 5G roll-outs caused by the pandemic should also be in the price.Over the coming three years, sales should rise by more than 20% and operating profit by more than 30%, driven by 5G and growing economies of scale in the company's other businesses.Buy back in for the long term.

Anritsu (6754 JP): 5G Business to Expand Until FY Mar-24

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

<h2>How can Apple guide stronger 4Q17 on back of iPhone X production delay?</h2><p>After <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/666" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1">Apple Inc (AAPL US)</a> reports 4% stronger 3Q17 sales than Bloomberg consensus estimates and earlier guidance to US$52.6bn (up 16% q/q and 12% y/y) with US$0.2 or 11% higher in 3Q EPS, Apple guides 4Q sales of US$84-87bn, up 60-65% q/q and 7-11% y/y, implying no clear sign of iPhone X production delay (cut to 20mn for 2017 from 40mn) to and no sign of iPhone 8/8 plus 50% demand related production cut than some news and…</p>

How can Apple guide stronger 4Q17 on back of iPhone X production delay?After Apple Inc (AAPL US) reports 4% stronger 3Q17 sales than Bloomberg consensus estimates and earlier guidance to US$52.6bn (up 16% q/q and 12% y/y) with US$0.2 or 11% higher in 3Q EPS, Apple guides 4Q sales of US$84-87bn, up 60-65% q/q and 7-11% y/y, implying no clear sign of iPhone X production delay (cut to 20mn for 2017 from 40mn) to and no sign of iPhone 8/8 plus 50% demand related production cut than some news and…

How Can Apple Guide Stronger 4Q17 on Back of IPhone X Production Delay?

Advanced Semiconductor Engr / Equity Bottom-Up

<h2>Fingerprint SiP is replaced by face ID</h2><p>By factoring in the following guidance from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/721" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:721:1">Advanced Semiconductor Engr (2311 TT)</a> , we estimate ASE trying to guide below seasonal 4Q sales growth of 0% q/q at a gross margin of 18%, which is 8% below Bloomberg consensus' sales estimates. We thus expect analysts to cut their 3Q17 EPS estimates to NT$0.60-0.70 level from NT$0.79 now. This is in line with our earlier concerns that ASE's fingerprint system in packaging (SiP) business in weaker demand iPhone 8…</p>

Fingerprint SiP is replaced by face IDBy factoring in the following guidance from Advanced Semiconductor Engr (2311 TT) , we estimate ASE trying to guide below seasonal 4Q sales growth of 0% q/q at a gross margin of 18%, which is 8% below Bloomberg consensus' sales estimates. We thus expect analysts to cut their 3Q17 EPS estimates to NT$0.60-0.70 level from NT$0.79 now. This is in line with our earlier concerns that ASE's fingerprint system in packaging (SiP) business in weaker demand iPhone 8…

ASE Guides Below Seasonal 4Q17; Fingerprint SiP Is Replaced by Face ID

M&A Reporting, CTFN

Jonathan Spitzer

M&A Reporting

CTFN

Bringing the marketplace leading coverage of mergers, events, and major corporate actions, CTFN has a team of seasoned reporters from Los Angeles to London, publishing news that advances stories that matter to event-driven investors and deal professionals.

Event-Driven

<p>A source tells CTFN that Viavi Solutions Inc. explored selling itself before the split from Lumentum Holdings Inc. &nbsp;In the meantime, while&nbsp;Viavi has hired bankers and settled with Sandell, Viavi's business remains in transition, raising questions about the timing of any strategic outcomes.</p>

A source tells CTFN that Viavi Solutions Inc. explored selling itself before the split from Lumentum Holdings Inc. &nbsp;In the meantime, while&nbsp;Viavi has hired bankers and settled with Sandell, Viavi's business remains in transition, raising questions about the timing of any strategic outcomes.

Viavi Solutions No Longer in Active Sale Mode

United States

Viavi Solutions Inc. provides network and service enabling solutions and optical products. The Company offers installation, commissioning, scripting, custom analytics, integration, business intelligence consulting, operational assistance, field and lab testing, technical training, maintenance, and support services. Viavi Solutions serves customers worldwide.

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Viavi Solutions (VIAV US)

Anritsu (6754 JP): 5G Business to Expand Until FY Mar-24

The shares have dropped 30% since the beginning of the year, discounting premature concern over 5G cycle, which should continue until FY Mar-24....

Scott Foster

How Can Apple Guide Stronger 4Q17 on Back of IPhone X Production Delay?

How can Apple guide stronger 4Q17 on back of iPhone X production delay?After Apple Inc (AAPL US) reports 4% stronger 3Q17 sales than Bloomberg...

Andrew Lu

ASE Guides Below Seasonal 4Q17; Fingerprint SiP Is Replaced by Face ID

Fingerprint SiP is replaced by face IDBy factoring in the following guidance from Advanced Semiconductor Engr (2311 TT) , we estimate ASE trying to...

Andrew Lu

Viavi Solutions No Longer in Active Sale Mode

A source tells CTFN that Viavi Solutions Inc. explored selling itself before the split from Lumentum Holdings Inc. In the meantime, while Viavi...

CTFN

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