External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Mirae Asset Securities

Mirae Asset Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Mirae Asset Securities Co.,Ltd. provides comprehensive wealth management services. The Company offers fixed income securities brokerage, securities dealing, equity underwriting, and other services. Mirae Asset Securities also deals with mergers and acquisitions, foreign currency, and financial derivatives

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Recently, HSX announced updated component securities (including changes in component stocks and calculation factors) for the VN30 Index, VNDiamond Index, and VNFin Lead Index baskets. In detail, there are no changes to any component stocks of either the VN30 Index or VNDiamond Index.</li><li>Meanwhile, the VNFin Lead Index has seen additions, as NAB, SSB, and VIX are new entrants to the basket, without any removals in the upcoming review, resulting in an increase in index constituents to 23 stocks.</li><li>Additionally, a few minor adjustments have been made to the limits of weighted-average calculation criteria for free-float, FOL, liquidity, and capitalization for all indexes. To sum up, the majority of the aggregate rebalancing transactions will focus on the buying direction, while FPT has been deleveraged aggressively.</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Recently, HSX announced updated component securities (including changes in component stocks and calculation factors) for the VN30 Index, VNDiamond Index, and VNFin Lead Index baskets. In detail, there are no changes to any component stocks of either the VN30 Index or VNDiamond Index.Meanwhile, the VNFin Lead Index has seen additions, as NAB, SSB, and VIX are new entrants to the basket, without any removals in the upcoming review, resulting in an increase in index constituents to 23 stocks.Additionally, a few minor adjustments have been made to the limits of weighted-average calculation criteria for free-float, FOL, liquidity, and capitalization for all indexes. To sum up, the majority of the aggregate rebalancing transactions will focus on the buying direction, while FPT has been deleveraged aggressively.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>By end-1Q23, credit growth was low, at 2.1% YTD. This was the second lowest rate since that of 2015, when the domestic banking sector began to recover from the credit crunch in 2012.</li><li>The biggest reason for the low credit growth was the high lending rate.</li><li>In terms of the loan yield of listed banks, lending rates reached the highest level of the past ten years, curbing credit demand from borrowers. </li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

By end-1Q23, credit growth was low, at 2.1% YTD. This was the second lowest rate since that of 2015, when the domestic banking sector began to recover from the credit crunch in 2012.The biggest reason for the low credit growth was the high lending rate.In terms of the loan yield of listed banks, lending rates reached the highest level of the past ten years, curbing credit demand from borrowers. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banking Sector - 1Q23 update and outlook - Return of dovish policies

<ul>
<li>Credit momentum should slow progressively in 3Q22: Due to high funding demand from both corporate and retail customers, credit growth in 1H22 reached a new high of 9.35% YTD.</li>
<li>However, because of high uncertainty in the global economy, as well as the fear of systematic risk over local real-estate credit exposure, the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) has intentionally curbed credit growth using a credit growth cap.</li>
<li>Exceptional credit growth will continue in 2022: Regardless of the SBV’s intentions regarding credit growth limits, total credit growth in 2022 is still expected to exceed 14%, based on the extraordinary performance in 1H22.</li>
</ul>
<div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>


Credit momentum should slow progressively in 3Q22: Due to high funding demand from both corporate and retail customers, credit growth in 1H22 reached a new high of 9.35% YTD.
However, because of high uncertainty in the global economy, as well as the fear of systematic risk over local real-estate credit exposure, the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) has intentionally curbed credit growth using a credit growth cap.
Exceptional credit growth will continue in 2022: Regardless of the SBV’s intentions regarding credit growth limits, total credit growth in 2022 is still expected to exceed 14%, based on the extraordinary performance in 1H22.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>KDH is expected to be placed on the watchlist for potential removal from the constituent basket in this review, as it fails to meet the minimum FOL threshold of 65% under section 3.7 for the first time.</li>
<li>Based on data as of March 31, 2026, its FOL ratio stands at only 61.8% under the index construction methodology.</li>
<li>Being placed on the removal watchlist would result in a 50% cut to KDH’s current contribution weight, reducing its contribution to a modest 0.8%. </li>
</ul>
<div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>


KDH is expected to be placed on the watchlist for potential removal from the constituent basket in this review, as it fails to meet the minimum FOL threshold of 65% under section 3.7 for the first time.
Based on data as of March 31, 2026, its FOL ratio stands at only 61.8% under the index construction methodology.
Being placed on the removal watchlist would result in a 50% cut to KDH’s current contribution weight, reducing its contribution to a modest 0.8%. 

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>ROA appears to be understated dramatically, with expansion likely in coming quarters</li>
<li>Credit costs have been rising even in FY21, and this is unusual for most banks</li>
<li>Funding cost improvement can be biggest surprise, as term deposits mature</li>
</ul>


ROA appears to be understated dramatically, with expansion likely in coming quarters
Credit costs have been rising even in FY21, and this is unusual for most banks
Funding cost improvement can be biggest surprise, as term deposits mature


Vietnam

Vietnam Maritime Commercial Bank (MSB) provides commercial and retail banking products and services, including savings and credit accounts, various loans, investment products, and insurance. It also offers corporate banking services such as lending, trade finance, and cash management solutions. The bank was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Hanoi, Vietnam.

Vietnam Maritime Commercial Bank (MSB VN)

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Vietnam Maritime Commercial Bank (MSB VN)

3Q24 ETF Rebalancing Forecast

To sum up, the majority of the aggregate rebalancing transactions will focus on the buying direction, while FPT has been deleveraged aggressively.

Mirae Asset Securities

Banking Sector - 1Q23 update and outlook - Return of dovish policies

By end-1Q23, credit growth was low, at 2.1% YTD. This was the second lowest rate since that of 2015, when the domestic banking sector began to...

Mirae Asset Securities

Banking Sector - 1H22 Update & Outlook

Credit momentum should slow progressively in 3Q22: Due to high funding demand from both corporate and retail customers, credit growth in 1H22...

Mirae Asset Securities

Forecast – HoSE Indexes Review in 2Q26

Being placed on the removal watchlist would result in a 50% cut to KDH’s current contribution weight, reducing its contribution to a modest 0.8%.

Mirae Asset Securities

HDB - ROA Expansion Can Surprise

HDB's ROA can expand dramatically in coming quarters, with lowering credit costs, lowering funding costs from maturing fixed deposits, and with...

Daniel Tabbush

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