External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Vietcap

Vietcap

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

We specialize in consulting both individual and institutional clients, providing them with effective financial solutions that are tailored to their specific needs.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>For VIC, we raise our 2025/26/27F PBT forecasts by 38%/21%/24% due to stronger anticipated property sales.</li><li>For VHM, we lift our 2025/26/27F NPAT-MI forecasts by 10%/12%/15%, mainly driven by a more positive presales outlook for Green Paradise.</li><li>We raise VHM’s aggregate 2025– 27F presales forecast by 31% on our projections for faster presales at Green Paradise and Apollo City, as well as an earlier projected launch of Phuoc Vinh Tay in 2027F. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

For VIC, we raise our 2025/26/27F PBT forecasts by 38%/21%/24% due to stronger anticipated property sales.For VHM, we lift our 2025/26/27F NPAT-MI forecasts by 10%/12%/15%, mainly driven by a more positive presales outlook for Green Paradise.We raise VHM’s aggregate 2025– 27F presales forecast by 31% on our projections for faster presales at Green Paradise and Apollo City, as well as an earlier projected launch of Phuoc Vinh Tay in 2027F. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

VIC, VHM, VRE - Strong Property Profit; Steady EV Deliveries...

<ul><li>Primary condo transactions in Hanoi and HCMC ended 2024 with a strong Q4 performance. </li><li>Based on our estimates from CBRE data charts, Q4 2024 primary condo transactions in Hanoi and HCMC combined were ~14,200 units (+43% QoQ and +150% YoY).</li><li>Hanoi recorded new supply of 11,900 units in Q4 2024 – the highest quarterly figure since 2019 – mainly from new launches from Masterise and MIK in Global Gate, and Capitaland’s The Senique in Ocean Park 1.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Primary condo transactions in Hanoi and HCMC ended 2024 with a strong Q4 performance. Based on our estimates from CBRE data charts, Q4 2024 primary condo transactions in Hanoi and HCMC combined were ~14,200 units (+43% QoQ and +150% YoY).Hanoi recorded new supply of 11,900 units in Q4 2024 – the highest quarterly figure since 2019 – mainly from new launches from Masterise and MIK in Global Gate, and Capitaland’s The Senique in Ocean Park 1.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Vietnam Residential Real Estate Sector Flash - 2025 to Witness Increased Market Activities

<ul><li>New project preparations and launches have ramped up in 2024 YTD: The housing market in Vietnam bottomed out in 2023 and has since shown a gradual recovery in primary transactions, beginning in Q3 2023 and continuing throughout 2024 YTD, with the condo segment in Hanoi leading the recovery.</li><li>The rise in preparation activities for new project launches, along with ongoing improvement in homebuyer confidence in 2024 YTD, reaffirms our expectation for growth in primary property transactions in 2024F vs 2023.</li><li>We project market transactions to strengthen in Q4 2024 and 2025, led by our expectations for: (1) sustained demand for real living purposes, particularly targeting mid-end condo projects; (2) a return of investment buyers to select landed property products; (3) growth in new primary supply driven by more project launches and smoother legal procedures; and (4) improving homebuyer confidence, driven by the continuous recovery of the overall property market, a stable mortgage rate outlook, and the acceleration of key infrastructure development.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

New project preparations and launches have ramped up in 2024 YTD: The housing market in Vietnam bottomed out in 2023 and has since shown a gradual recovery in primary transactions, beginning in Q3 2023 and continuing throughout 2024 YTD, with the condo segment in Hanoi leading the recovery.The rise in preparation activities for new project launches, along with ongoing improvement in homebuyer confidence in 2024 YTD, reaffirms our expectation for growth in primary property transactions in 2024F vs 2023.We project market transactions to strengthen in Q4 2024 and 2025, led by our expectations for: (1) sustained demand for real living purposes, particularly targeting mid-end condo projects; (2) a return of investment buyers to select landed property products; (3) growth in new primary supply driven by more project launches and smoother legal procedures; and (4) improving homebuyer confidence, driven by the continuous recovery of the overall property market, a stable mortgage rate outlook, and the acceleration of key infrastructure development.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Vietnam Residential Real Estate Sector Flash - Market Transactions to Strengthen in Q4 2024 and 2025

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia. </li>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-aneka-gas-industri" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23564:1" rel="noopener">Aneka Gas</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">VinFast</a> and plans to list in the US, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/i-tail-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36428:1" rel="noopener">I-Tail (ITC TB)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-cycle-carriage-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:347:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage</a> </li>
<li>There were also macro insights on Malaysian politics and the risks with Vietnam's economy plus an index rebalancing in the Philippines with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dmci-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8026:1" rel="noopener">DMCI Holdings</a> to potentially benefit.</li>
</ul>


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia. 
The past week saw insights on Bank Central Asia, Aneka Gas, VinFast and plans to list in the US, I-Tail (ITC TB), and Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage 
There were also macro insights on Malaysian politics and the risks with Vietnam's economy plus an index rebalancing in the Philippines with DMCI Holdings to potentially benefit.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - BCA's Connectivity, VinFast to IPO, and I-Tail Corp Listing

<ul>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.</li>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a> as it hatched its future plans, and on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-matahari-department-store" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5230:1" rel="noopener">Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ)</a> as it enters a new growth phase.</li>
<li>There were also a number of insights looking at the upcoming <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo</a> IPO, which may not measure up on valuations but there is probably more there than meets the eye.</li>
</ul>


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.
The past week saw insights on Astra International (ASII IJ) as it hatched its future plans, and on Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ) as it enters a new growth phase.
There were also a number of insights looking at the upcoming GoTo IPO, which may not measure up on valuations but there is probably more there than meets the eye.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Astra's Future, Matahari Dept Store on Form, and GoTo's IPO

Vietnam

Vingroup Joint Stock Company is a Vietnamese conglomerate that focuses on technology, industry, real estate development, retail, and services spanning healthcare to hospitality. The company's key products and services include residential and commercial properties, hotels and resorts, retail chains, automotive vehicles, healthcare services, and education. Vingroup was founded in 1993 in Ukraine as Technocom and is headquartered in Hanoi, Vietnam.

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Vingroup (VIC VN)

VIC, VHM, VRE - Strong Property Profit; Steady EV Deliveries...

We raise VHM’s aggregate 2025– 27F presales forecast by 31% on our projections for faster presales at Green Paradise and Apollo City, as well as an...

Vietcap

Vietnam Residential Real Estate Sector Flash - 2025 to Witness Increased Market Activities

Based on our estimates from CBRE data charts, Q4 2024 primary condo transactions in Hanoi and HCMC combined were ~14,200 units (+43% QoQ and +150%...

Vietcap

Vietnam Residential Real Estate Sector Flash - Market Transactions to Strengthen in Q4 2024 and 2025

The housing market in Vietnam bottomed out in 2023 and has since shown a gradual recovery in primary transactions, beginning in Q3 2023 and...

Vietcap

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - BCA's Connectivity, VinFast to IPO, and I-Tail Corp Listing

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Astra's Future, Matahari Dept Store on Form, and GoTo's IPO

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

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