Private Markets, Angel and Secondary Investing, Sacra

Sacra

Private Markets, Angel and Secondary Investing

Bringing transparency to private markets so investors, founders, and employees can build on conviction. Sacra delivers deeply researched insights on the private companies shaping tomorrow's markets. By surfacing the data, context, and operator perspective that are missing from private markets today, we help secondary buyers and sellers price equity accurately and unlock liquidity for the people building these businesses.

Private Capital Markets

<ul><li>Wafer employs a B2B business model, targeting smartphone manufacturers rather than selling directly to end consumers.</li><li>The core monetization strategy focuses on partnerships with smartphone manufacturers, particularly companies like Samsung that control 30% of the global Android market.</li><li>Wafer positions itself as hardware-agnostic, potentially supporting these experimental form factors while maintaining compatibility with mainstream devices.</li></ul>

Wafer employs a B2B business model, targeting smartphone manufacturers rather than selling directly to end consumers.The core monetization strategy focuses on partnerships with smartphone manufacturers, particularly companies like Samsung that control 30% of the global Android market.Wafer positions itself as hardware-agnostic, potentially supporting these experimental form factors while maintaining compatibility with mainstream devices.

<ul><li>Sacra estimates Manus hit $90M in annualized revenue by August 2025, just five months post-launch, with Japan, the Middle East, and the U.S. as its biggest markets.</li><li>After growing their waitlist to 2 million people a week after their demo video went viral with 1M+ views, Sacra estimates that Manus hit $90M in annualized revenue in August 2025, just five months after launch, with Japan, the Middle East, and the U.S. as its biggest geographic segments by revenue.</li><li>As foundation model labs like Anthropic and OpenAI fold agentic capabilities into unified systems, Manus risks seeing commoditized its core experience of long-running agents that can read + write + execute code across different systems.</li></ul>

Sacra estimates Manus hit $90M in annualized revenue by August 2025, just five months post-launch, with Japan, the Middle East, and the U.S. as its biggest markets.After growing their waitlist to 2 million people a week after their demo video went viral with 1M+ views, Sacra estimates that Manus hit $90M in annualized revenue in August 2025, just five months after launch, with Japan, the Middle East, and the U.S. as its biggest geographic segments by revenue.As foundation model labs like Anthropic and OpenAI fold agentic capabilities into unified systems, Manus risks seeing commoditized its core experience of long-running agents that can read + write + execute code across different systems.

<ul><li>Sacra estimates Perplexity reached $148M in annualized revenue in June 2025, up from $63M at the end of 2024.</li><li>Now that web search with citations feature natively across ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Copilot, Perplexity's original wedge has been commoditized.</li><li>The battleground has now shifted to the browser, with Perplexity launching its agentic browser Comet in beta in July 2025.</li></ul>

Sacra estimates Perplexity reached $148M in annualized revenue in June 2025, up from $63M at the end of 2024.Now that web search with citations feature natively across ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Copilot, Perplexity's original wedge has been commoditized.The battleground has now shifted to the browser, with Perplexity launching its agentic browser Comet in beta in July 2025.

<ul><li>Three form factors for AI agents are emerging—browser-based &amp; mobile apps (ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity) with easy distribution and app-level integrations, native apps with OS-level integrations & OS forks (Perplexity Assistant, Granola, Wafer) that unlock deeper awareness across a user’s apps and data but face distribution challenges, and purpose-built AI hardware devices (Friend, Rabbit) with novel interaction patterns.</li><li>OpenAI’s hardware projects and Perplexity’s new Android assistant are attacking the OS-level AI assistant layer where Google and Apple’s app store–based business models—built on developers giving up a 30% cut in exchange for distribution—make it structurally difficult for Google and Apple themselves to route users around apps entirely.</li><li>Android’s open ecosystem structure represents a huge opportunity for AI-first computing, with custom assistants (Perplexity), launchers (Microsoft Launcher), and full-on forks (Wafer, /dev/agents) potentially providing Samsung and the 96% of non-Google Android OEMs with the firepower to build the first AI-native smartphone experience.</li></ul>

Three form factors for AI agents are emerging—browser-based &amp; mobile apps (ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity) with easy distribution and app-level integrations, native apps with OS-level integrations & OS forks (Perplexity Assistant, Granola, Wafer) that unlock deeper awareness across a user’s apps and data but face distribution challenges, and purpose-built AI hardware devices (Friend, Rabbit) with novel interaction patterns.OpenAI’s hardware projects and Perplexity’s new Android assistant are attacking the OS-level AI assistant layer where Google and Apple’s app store–based business models—built on developers giving up a 30% cut in exchange for distribution—make it structurally difficult for Google and Apple themselves to route users around apps entirely.Android’s open ecosystem structure represents a huge opportunity for AI-first computing, with custom assistants (Perplexity), launchers (Microsoft Launcher), and full-on forks (Wafer, /dev/agents) potentially providing Samsung and the 96% of non-Google Android OEMs with the firepower to build the first AI-native smartphone experience.

Sam Hall, CEO Of Wafer, On AI Agent Form Factors

Cerebras Systems / Private Capital Markets

<ul><li>Cerebras generated $250M of revenue in 2023, up 200% year-over-year, their growth accelerating with the rise in AI compute demand from big enterprises training models on their proprietary data.</li><li>Cerebras (2015) designed its Wafer-Scale Engine chip to vastly accelerate training on the compute-intensive BERT models used in scientific deep learning, finding product-market fit with national labs like Argonne and Livermore working on protein folding, climate prediction, and molecular dynamics.</li><li>With GPTs ascendant (vs BERT models), Cerebras and Groq are both repurposing their chips to move into the $150B and growing market of LLM and AI model training to take on Nvidia.</li></ul>

Cerebras generated $250M of revenue in 2023, up 200% year-over-year, their growth accelerating with the rise in AI compute demand from big enterprises training models on their proprietary data.Cerebras (2015) designed its Wafer-Scale Engine chip to vastly accelerate training on the compute-intensive BERT models used in scientific deep learning, finding product-market fit with national labs like Argonne and Livermore working on protein folding, climate prediction, and molecular dynamics.With GPTs ascendant (vs BERT models), Cerebras and Groq are both repurposing their chips to move into the $150B and growing market of LLM and AI model training to take on Nvidia.

United States

Android-native operating system designed for AI agents

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Wafer (WAFER US)

Primer: Wafer - 17 Mar 2026

Android-native operating system designed for AI agents

Sacra

Manus At $90M/year

TL;DR: Founded in 2022, Manus launched in March 2025 as the first consumer-facing agent that combined agentic browser control, deep research, and...

Sacra

Perplexity At $148M/year

TL;DR: Perplexity’s original wedge—LLM search with citations—has now been commoditized by every model lab. Now at a Sacra-estimated $148M in...

Sacra

Sam Hall, CEO Of Wafer, On AI Agent Form Factors

We’ve written about Granola, the desktop app that uses system audio to launch & record meetings and Rewind (now Limitless), the desktop app that...

Sacra

Cerebras At $250M

TL;DR: Sacra estimates that Cerebras generated $250M of revenue in 2023, up 200% year-over-year, their growth accelerating with the rise in AI...

Sacra

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