Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celsys-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20774:1" rel="noopener">CELSYS (3663 JP)</a> (formerly known as "Artspark") is a name we have been Bullish on in the last few months as it was a high-probability TOPIX Inclusion candidate.</li>
<li>In the last couple of trading days, the stock has popped more than 30%. In this insight, we take a closer look at this situation.</li>
</ul>


Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.

CELSYS (3663 JP) (formerly known as "Artspark") is a name we have been Bullish on in the last few months as it was a high-probability TOPIX Inclusion candidate.
In the last couple of trading days, the stock has popped more than 30%. In this insight, we take a closer look at this situation.


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (May 2023)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>A Nikkei article this morning says the mystery bidder behind WK1/2/3 Limited is Nintendo founding family's Yamauchi No.10 Family Office. This changes things more than just knowing their identity does.</li>
<li>To start, their website is the most fun investment management company website I have come across. It's great.  <a href="https://y-n10.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">https://y-n10.com/</a>. It's also well worth reading. It's also worth noting their history.</li>
<li>Understanding the parameters here is key to understanding possible next steps.</li>
</ul>


A Nikkei article this morning says the mystery bidder behind WK1/2/3 Limited is Nintendo founding family's Yamauchi No.10 Family Office. This changes things more than just knowing their identity does.
To start, their website is the most fun investment management company website I have come across. It's great.  https://y-n10.com/. It's also well worth reading. It's also worth noting their history.
Understanding the parameters here is key to understanding possible next steps.


ToyoKen (1890) Mystery Bidder Is Yamauchi No. 10 Family Office - And That Changes Things

On Friday 11 June, the TSE published its final revisions to the Corporate Governance Code which had been undergoing review by the Council of Experts Concerning the Follow-up of Japan’s Stewardship Code and Japan’s Corporate Governance Code and subsequently comment for the past many months. The new Code went into effect as of 11 June. The first revision to the Guidelines for Investor and Company Engagement were published as well. The new version of Japan's Corporate Governance Code is <a href="https://www.jpx.co.jp/english/news/1020/b5b4pj0000046kxj-att/b5b4pj0000046l07.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a> with the tracked change version <a href="https://www.jpx.co.jp/english/news/1020/b5b4pj0000046kxj-att/b5b4pj0000046l0c.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>. This is the second revision of the Code (the first revision was in 2018).The revisions to the JFSA Guidelines for Investor and Company Engagement are <a href="https://www.jpx.co.jp/english/news/1020/b5b4pj0000046kxj-att/b5b4pj0000046l3e.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>. Tracked changes are <a href="https://www.jpx.co.jp/english/news/1020/b5b4pj0000046kxj-att/b5b4pj0000046l50.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>.The major changes to the Code recommend enhancements to Board independence, diversity, Sustainability and ESG, and also recommend improvements to investor accessibility and voting and a small change to listed parent-listed subsidiary relationships which unfortunately will not do much to counter abuse by companies of listed sub minority shareholders. Below is more discussion of the changes and what they mean.But I remind investors, these changes are almost all box-ticking exercises. They will not improve governance for shareholders except at the margins. Companies which "get" good governance are still rare. And those which don't get it seem to abuse shareholders on a regular basis. And for that, investors still need more cowbell.

On Friday 11 June, the TSE published its final revisions to the Corporate Governance Code which had been undergoing review by the Council of Experts Concerning the Follow-up of Japan’s Stewardship Code and Japan’s Corporate Governance Code and subsequently comment for the past many months. The new Code went into effect as of 11 June. The first revision to the Guidelines for Investor and Company Engagement were published as well. The new version of Japan's Corporate Governance Code is here with the tracked change version here. This is the second revision of the Code (the first revision was in 2018).The revisions to the JFSA Guidelines for Investor and Company Engagement are here. Tracked changes are here.The major changes to the Code recommend enhancements to Board independence, diversity, Sustainability and ESG, and also recommend improvements to investor accessibility and voting and a small change to listed parent-listed subsidiary relationships which unfortunately will not do much to counter abuse by companies of listed sub minority shareholders. Below is more discussion of the changes and what they mean.But I remind investors, these changes are almost all box-ticking exercises. They will not improve governance for shareholders except at the margins. Companies which "get" good governance are still rare. And those which don't get it seem to abuse shareholders on a regular basis. And for that, investors still need more cowbell.

TSE Prime: Japan's Corporate Governance Code Finalized So Boxes Will Be Furiously Ticked

Shareholder proposals for AGMs in Japan are somewhat rare. Activist proposals rarer still. They only affect roughly 2% of companies with June AGMs and shareholder proposals are rarely passed, but they may reflect the pressure on a company, and when something has enough support, management may end up agreeing to it if not outright supporting it later on.Activist fund Strategic Capital has made shareholder proposals to 6 companies (that we know of) in the past month or so, starting with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wakita-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11924:1" rel="noopener">Wakita &amp; Co Ltd (8125 JP)</a> which has a May AGM, as discussed in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/japan-activism-a-look-into-wakita-8125-jp-potential-pre-event" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50034" rel="noopener">Japan Activism: A Look into Wakita (8125 JP) Potential Pre-Event</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wakita-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11924:1" rel="noopener">Wakita &amp; Co Ltd (8125 JP)</a> at the beginning of the month, and five more names announced on the 28th of April. Those five names are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asanuma-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19612:1" rel="noopener">Asanuma Corp (1852 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seikitokyu-kogyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7819:1" rel="noopener">Seikitokyu Kogyo (1898 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arisawa-mfg-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18028:1" rel="noopener">Arisawa Mfg (5208 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bunka-shutter-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5903:1" rel="noopener">Bunka Shutter (5930 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kyokuto-boeki-kaisha-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12884:1" rel="noopener">Kyokuto Boeki Kaisha (8093 JP)</a>.This eclectic group is unified by overly strong balance sheets. In this case, "newly" emphasised net receivables.  <h2>First up... <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asanuma-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19612:1" rel="noopener">Asanuma Corp (1852 JP)</a> </h2><hr>Activist AGM Proposals so far this year are as follows (🤖 is Japanese language, 👹 is English):<table class="table table-striped"><tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 36px;">Date Anncd</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 33.6px;">Ticker</td>
<td style="width: 122.4px;">Company</td>
<td style="width: 41.6px;">AGM</td>
<td style="width: 48px;">Proposal</td>
<td style="width: 187.2px;">Proposer</td>
<td style="width: 128px;">Smartkarma Insights</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 36px;">15 Apr</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 33.6px;">8918</td>
<td style="width: 122.4px;">Land</td>
<td style="width: 41.6px;">27 May</td>
<td style="width: 48px;"><a href="http://www.land.jp/pdf/20210415154419_1.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">🤖</a></td>
<td style="width: 187.2px;">An individual</td>
<td style="width: 128px;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 36px;">23 Apr</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 33.6px;">8125</td>
<td style="width: 122.4px;">Wakita</td>
<td style="width: 41.6px;">27 May</td>
<td style="width: 48px;">
<a href="https://contents.xj-storage.jp/xcontents/81250/a6125b97/fbfe/4961/baac/116bc18b2917/140120210423498992.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">🤖</a> , <a href="https://stracap.jp/english/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/To-Shareholder-of-WAKITA-CO.-LTD..pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">👹</a>
</td>
<td style="width: 187.2px;">Strategic Capital</td>
<td style="width: 128px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/japan-activism-a-look-into-wakita-8125-jp-potential-pre-event" target="_blank" rel="noopener">insight 1</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wakita-rejects-stracap-s-shareholder-proposals" target="_blank" rel="noopener">insight 2</a>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 36px;">27 Apr</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 33.6px;">6815</td>
<td style="width: 122.4px;">Uniden</td>
<td style="width: 41.6px;">June</td>
<td style="width: 48px;"><a href="http://www.uniden.co.jp/ir/news/dat/2021/information_20210427.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">🤖</a></td>
<td style="width: 187.2px;">LIM Japan Event Master Fd</td>
<td style="width: 128px;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 36px;">28 Apr</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 33.6px;">.1852</td>
<td style="width: 122.4px;">Asanuma</td>
<td style="width: 41.6px;">June</td>
<td style="width: 48px;">
<a href="https://www.asanuma.co.jp/ir/pdf/etc/20210428k.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">🤖</a> , <a href="https://stracap.jp/english/proposal/2021_asanuma" target="_blank" rel="noopener">👹</a>
</td>
<td style="width: 187.2px;">Strategic Capital</td>
<td style="width: 128px;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 36px;">28 Apr</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 33.6px;">8093</td>
<td style="width: 122.4px;">Kyokuto Boeki Kaisha</td>
<td style="width: 41.6px;">June</td>
<td style="width: 48px;">
<a href="https://contents.xj-storage.jp/xcontents/AS01655/21124bce/241c/4a3a/8482/00305b8413e6/140120210428402431.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">🤖</a> , <a href="https://stracap.jp/english/proposal/2021_kbk" target="_blank" rel="noopener">👹</a>
</td>
<td style="width: 187.2px;">Strategic Capital</td>
<td style="width: 128px;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 36px;">28 Apr</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 33.6px;">1898</td>
<td style="width: 122.4px;">Seikitokyu Kogyo</td>
<td style="width: 41.6px;">June</td>
<td style="width: 48px;">
<a href="https://www.seikitokyu.co.jp/dev/wp-content/themes/twentysixteen/pdf/info/20210428.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">🤖</a> , <a href="https://stracap.jp/english/proposal/2021_seikitokyu" target="_blank" rel="noopener">👹</a>
</td>
<td style="width: 187.2px;">Strategic Capital</td>
<td style="width: 128px;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 36px;">28 Apr</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 33.6px;">5208</td>
<td style="width: 122.4px;">Arisawa Mfg</td>
<td style="width: 41.6px;">June</td>
<td style="width: 48px;"><a href="https://stracap.jp/english/proposal/2021_arisawa" target="_blank" rel="noopener">👹</a></td>
<td style="width: 187.2px;">Strategic Capital</td>
<td style="width: 128px;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 36px;">28 Apr</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 33.6px;">5930</td>
<td style="width: 122.4px;">Bunka Shutter</td>
<td style="width: 41.6px;">June</td>
<td style="width: 48px;"><a href="https://stracap.jp/english/proposal/2021_bunkasutter" target="_blank" rel="noopener">👹</a></td>
<td style="width: 187.2px;">Strategic Capital</td>
<td style="width: 128px;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 36px;">28 Apr</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 33.6px;">2327</td>
<td style="width: 122.4px;">NS Solutions</td>
<td style="width: 41.6px;">June</td>
<td style="width: 48px;">
<a href="https://ssl4.eir-parts.net/doc/2327/tdnet/1958513/00.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">🤖</a> , </td>
<td style="width: 187.2px;">AVI Japan Opportunity Trust PLC</td>
<td style="width: 128px;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 36px;">30 Apr</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 33.6px;">4295</td>
<td style="width: 122.4px;">Faith</td>
<td style="width: 41.6px;">June</td>
<td style="width: 48px;"><a href="https://www.faith.co.jp/ir/pdf/20210430_ir.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">🤖</a></td>
<td style="width: 187.2px;">RMB Capital Japan Oppty Fd</td>
<td style="width: 128px;"></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>

Shareholder proposals for AGMs in Japan are somewhat rare. Activist proposals rarer still. They only affect roughly 2% of companies with June AGMs and shareholder proposals are rarely passed, but they may reflect the pressure on a company, and when something has enough support, management may end up agreeing to it if not outright supporting it later on.Activist fund Strategic Capital has made shareholder proposals to 6 companies (that we know of) in the past month or so, starting with Wakita &amp; Co Ltd (8125 JP) which has a May AGM, as discussed in Japan Activism: A Look into Wakita (8125 JP) Potential Pre-Event and Wakita &amp; Co Ltd (8125 JP) at the beginning of the month, and five more names announced on the 28th of April. Those five names are Asanuma Corp (1852 JP), Seikitokyu Kogyo (1898 JP), Arisawa Mfg (5208 JP), Bunka Shutter (5930 JP), and Kyokuto Boeki Kaisha (8093 JP).This eclectic group is unified by overly strong balance sheets. In this case, "newly" emphasised net receivables.  First up... Asanuma Corp (1852 JP) Activist AGM Proposals so far this year are as follows (🤖 is Japanese language, 👹 is English):

Date Anncd
Ticker
Company
AGM
Proposal
Proposer
Smartkarma Insights


15 Apr
8918
Land
27 May
🤖
An individual



23 Apr
8125
Wakita
27 May

🤖 , 👹

Strategic Capital

insight 1, insight 2



27 Apr
6815
Uniden
June
🤖
LIM Japan Event Master Fd



28 Apr
.1852
Asanuma
June

🤖 , 👹

Strategic Capital



28 Apr
8093
Kyokuto Boeki Kaisha
June

🤖 , 👹

Strategic Capital



28 Apr
1898
Seikitokyu Kogyo
June

🤖 , 👹

Strategic Capital



28 Apr
5208
Arisawa Mfg
June
👹
Strategic Capital



28 Apr
5930
Bunka Shutter
June
👹
Strategic Capital



28 Apr
2327
NS Solutions
June

🤖 , 
AVI Japan Opportunity Trust PLC



30 Apr
4295
Faith
June
🤖
RMB Capital Japan Oppty Fd


  

2021 Japan AGM Activism - StraCap Proposals for Asanuma Corp (1852)

Last year, 55 Japanese listed companies received shareholder proposals in the June AGM season. Of course, some of the shareholder proposals made are spurious and made for a laugh, but last year <a href="https://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXMZO60929010Z20C20A6EA1000/?s=5" target="_blank" rel="noopener">23 companies received proposals from activist investors</a>, up from 16 in June 2019.  Data collated by <a href="https://www.whitecase.com/publications/alert/japans-2020-proxy-season-results-announced" target="_blank" rel="noopener">White &amp; Case</a> in summer 2020 showed that of the 22 companies which received activist proposals (their number is different than IR Japan's), 30 proposals to those 22 companies received more than 20% of votes, and just under half (14) received 30%. Various commentators noted that for the 2020 AGM season, the impact of COVID-19 and the fact that many meetings became virtual meetings, along with the fact that the lockdowns were of unknown effect but revenue and profit impact in the year ahead was deemed to be severe, many activist shareholders which would have proposed large buybacks as a use of excess cash may have decided to temper their request. Where they did not, often the response from management was that because of the significant potential impact of covid-19 mitigation/safety/response measures, large buybacks using up significant cash (just when Japanese corporates had pulled all available cash out of credit lines) was perhaps not wise. Importantly, no measure among the activists shareholder measures last year gained 50% of the vote on that agenda item let alone two-thirds needed to achieve a change in the Articles of Incorporation. Such wins remain rare. However, as White &amp; Case points out, an item which <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mizuho-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:219:1" rel="noopener">Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP)</a> management had objected to in 2015, 2016, 2017 and was rejected (shareholder input on income allocation) but with significant support of 41%, 48%, and 43% respectively in those years was re-suggested last year by management itself where the measure received 98% approval.Sometimes these messages get through. But importantly, they are a message because shareholders send them (see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/japan-needs-more-cowbell" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:41191" rel="noopener">Japan Needs More Cowbell</a> for more thoughts on the matter). The measure proposed by the activist to Mizuho was actually an individual activist named Mitsutaka YAMAGUCHI and he held 30,000 shares, giving him the right to make the proposal.*<div class="content-remarks">*The minimum criteria are that a shareholder hold 300 voting rights or 1.0% of shares outstanding for at least six months to be able to put a proposal to shareholders at an AGM. And based on a change in the Companies Act which should have gone into effect on March 1, the content for such shareholder proposals is restricted now to one of ten areas. </div>The deadline for such shareholder proposals is usually 8 weeks prior to the AGM which means in most cases for June-end AGMs, they had to be submitted by the end of April. I expect we will see a flurry of company reports of new shareholder proposals in the days ahead.This insight serves as an anchor for selected insights to follow which discuss shareholder proposals on specific companies, how to get information, and follow-up where notable, from shareholder proxy services, etc.

Last year, 55 Japanese listed companies received shareholder proposals in the June AGM season. Of course, some of the shareholder proposals made are spurious and made for a laugh, but last year 23 companies received proposals from activist investors, up from 16 in June 2019.  Data collated by White &amp; Case in summer 2020 showed that of the 22 companies which received activist proposals (their number is different than IR Japan's), 30 proposals to those 22 companies received more than 20% of votes, and just under half (14) received 30%. Various commentators noted that for the 2020 AGM season, the impact of COVID-19 and the fact that many meetings became virtual meetings, along with the fact that the lockdowns were of unknown effect but revenue and profit impact in the year ahead was deemed to be severe, many activist shareholders which would have proposed large buybacks as a use of excess cash may have decided to temper their request. Where they did not, often the response from management was that because of the significant potential impact of covid-19 mitigation/safety/response measures, large buybacks using up significant cash (just when Japanese corporates had pulled all available cash out of credit lines) was perhaps not wise. Importantly, no measure among the activists shareholder measures last year gained 50% of the vote on that agenda item let alone two-thirds needed to achieve a change in the Articles of Incorporation. Such wins remain rare. However, as White &amp; Case points out, an item which Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP) management had objected to in 2015, 2016, 2017 and was rejected (shareholder input on income allocation) but with significant support of 41%, 48%, and 43% respectively in those years was re-suggested last year by management itself where the measure received 98% approval.Sometimes these messages get through. But importantly, they are a message because shareholders send them (see Japan Needs More Cowbell for more thoughts on the matter). The measure proposed by the activist to Mizuho was actually an individual activist named Mitsutaka YAMAGUCHI and he held 30,000 shares, giving him the right to make the proposal.**The minimum criteria are that a shareholder hold 300 voting rights or 1.0% of shares outstanding for at least six months to be able to put a proposal to shareholders at an AGM. And based on a change in the Companies Act which should have gone into effect on March 1, the content for such shareholder proposals is restricted now to one of ten areas. The deadline for such shareholder proposals is usually 8 weeks prior to the AGM which means in most cases for June-end AGMs, they had to be submitted by the end of April. I expect we will see a flurry of company reports of new shareholder proposals in the days ahead.This insight serves as an anchor for selected insights to follow which discuss shareholder proposals on specific companies, how to get information, and follow-up where notable, from shareholder proxy services, etc. 

Japan Activism:  Shareholder Proposals for the Q2 AGM Season Start Trickling In

Japan

Wakita & Co., LTD. is a manufacturing and trading firm primarily handling construction and civil engineering equipment.  The Company also handles imported construction materials, industrial and commercial facilities, and audio-visual equipment.  Wakita leases construction machinery as well.

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Wakita & Co Ltd (8125 JP)

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (May 2023)

CELSYS has been working for a move to the Prime Market since August 2022 and with the recent rise in share price they could be able to satisfy all...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ToyoKen (1890) Mystery Bidder Is Yamauchi No. 10 Family Office - And That Changes Things

The Mystery Bidders WK 1-3 are, according to a Nikkei article in mid-day, Yamauchi Number 10 Family Office. This changes things. It is worth...

Travis Lundy

TSE Prime: Japan's Corporate Governance Code Finalized So Boxes Will Be Furiously Ticked

The TSE on Friday announced the revisions to the Governance Code. This codifies the "governance thresholds" required to join TSE Prime next year....

Travis Lundy

2021 Japan AGM Activism - StraCap Proposals for Asanuma Corp (1852)

2020 AGM Activism (A Series) - Strategic Capital AGM proposals for Asanuma will get dinged, like last year. They make some sense, but high div and...

Travis Lundy

Japan Activism: Shareholder Proposals for the Q2 AGM Season Start Trickling In

Japan AGM season starts in earnest in mid-June but the deadline for shareholder proposals is 8 weeks prior. 8 June AGM Companies so far received...

Travis Lundy

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